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Mon Jul 14 3:30 am

MLB - Week 18 of 28

Diamondbacks What If?

The Diamondbacks What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Diamondbacks play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Diamondbacks What If?

Next Game - Cardinals (51‑46)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 48 49 <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 5% 90%
Current Standings 47 49 <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 5% 91%
Lose Next Game 47 50 <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 4% 93%


Current Series - Cardinals (51‑46) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Diamondbacks Sweeps 50 49 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 7% 86%
Current Standings 47 49 <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 5% 91%
Cardinals Sweeps 47 52 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 96%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
66 of 66 100% 113 49 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
60 of 66 91% 107 55 98% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
58 of 66 88% 105 57 94% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
57 of 66 86% 104 58 91% 8% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
56 of 66 85% 103 59 87% 12% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
55 of 66 83% 102 60 81% 16% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
54 of 66 82% 101 61 73% 22% 1% 4% <1% <1% <1%
53 of 66 80% 100 62 64% 28% 1% 7% <1% <1% <1%
52 of 66 79% 99 63 53% 33% 3% 11% <1% <1% <1%
51 of 66 77% 98 64 40% 39% 5% 16% <1% <1% <1%
50 of 66 76% 97 65 29% 40% 8% 22% 1% <1% <1%
49 of 66 74% 96 66 19% 39% 12% 28% 2% <1% <1%
48 of 66 73% 95 67 11% 33% 16% 35% 6% <1% <1%
47 of 66 71% 94 68 6% 26% 18% 38% 11% 1% <1%
46 of 66 70% 93 69 2% 17% 19% 39% 20% 2% <1%
45 of 66 68% 92 70 1% 10% 17% 36% 28% 7% 1%
44 of 66 67% 91 71 <1% 5% 15% 27% 37% 14% 2%
43 of 66 65% 90 72 <1% 2% 10% 18% 38% 25% 6%
42 of 66 64% 89 73 <1% 1% 6% 9% 33% 35% 16%
41 of 66 62% 88 74 <1% <1% 3% 4% 23% 38% 31%
40 of 66 61% 87 75 <1% <1% 2% 1% 13% 33% 51%
39 of 66 59% 86 76 <1% <1% 1% <1% 5% 24% 69%
38 of 66 58% 85 77 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 85%
37 of 66 56% 84 78 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6% 94%
30 of 66 45% 77 85 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 66 30% 67 95 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 66 15% 57 105 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 66 0% 47 115 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs