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Sun Jul 6 3:30 am

MLB - Week 16 of 28

Diamondbacks What If?

The Diamondbacks What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Diamondbacks play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Diamondbacks What If?

Next Game - Royals (42‑48)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 45 44 <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 8% 82%
Current Standings 44 44 <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 7% 84%
Lose Next Game 44 45 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 86%


Current Series - Royals (42‑48) - 1 Remaining Game

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Diamondbacks Sweeps 45 44 <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 8% 82%
Current Standings 44 44 <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 7% 84%
Royals Sweeps 44 45 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 86%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
74 of 74 100% 118 44 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
70 of 74 95% 114 48 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
62 of 74 84% 106 56 95% 4% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
61 of 74 82% 105 57 91% 6% <1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
60 of 74 81% 104 58 86% 9% <1% 5% <1% <1% <1%
59 of 74 80% 103 59 80% 13% <1% 7% <1% <1% <1%
58 of 74 78% 102 60 71% 17% 1% 11% <1% <1% <1%
57 of 74 77% 101 61 62% 22% 2% 15% <1% <1% <1%
56 of 74 76% 100 62 52% 25% 3% 20% <1% <1% <1%
55 of 74 74% 99 63 40% 28% 4% 27% <1% <1% <1%
54 of 74 73% 98 64 31% 30% 6% 33% 1% <1% <1%
53 of 74 72% 97 65 20% 29% 9% 41% 2% <1% <1%
52 of 74 70% 96 66 13% 25% 10% 47% 4% <1% <1%
51 of 74 69% 95 67 7% 21% 14% 50% 8% <1% <1%
50 of 74 68% 94 68 4% 15% 14% 52% 14% 1% <1%
49 of 74 66% 93 69 1% 10% 14% 50% 22% 3% <1%
48 of 74 65% 92 70 1% 6% 11% 42% 32% 7% <1%
47 of 74 64% 91 71 <1% 3% 9% 33% 39% 14% 2%
46 of 74 62% 90 72 <1% 1% 6% 21% 41% 24% 6%
45 of 74 61% 89 73 <1% <1% 4% 12% 36% 33% 15%
44 of 74 59% 88 74 <1% <1% 2% 6% 27% 37% 28%
43 of 74 58% 87 75 <1% <1% 1% 2% 16% 37% 44%
42 of 74 57% 86 76 <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 28% 63%
41 of 74 55% 85 77 <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 18% 79%
40 of 74 54% 84 78 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 90%
30 of 74 41% 74 88 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 74 27% 64 98 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 74 14% 54 108 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 74 0% 44 118 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs