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Wed May 27 2:30 pm

MLB - Week 10 of 27

Diamondbacks What If?

The Diamondbacks What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Diamondbacks play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Diamondbacks What If?

Next Game - Giants (22‑33)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 31 24 3% 6% 8% 11% 10% 9% 53%
Current Standings 30 24 3% 6% 7% 11% 10% 9% 54%
Lose Next Game 30 25 2% 5% 7% 10% 9% 10% 56%


Current Series - Giants (22‑33) - 1 Remaining Game

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Diamondbacks Sweeps 31 24 3% 6% 8% 11% 10% 9% 53%
Current Standings 30 24 3% 6% 7% 11% 10% 9% 54%
Giants Sweeps 30 25 2% 5% 7% 10% 9% 10% 56%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
108 of 108 100% 138 24 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
100 of 108 93% 130 32 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
90 of 108 83% 120 42 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
83 of 108 77% 113 49 94% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
82 of 108 76% 112 50 91% 8% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
81 of 108 75% 111 51 89% 10% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
80 of 108 74% 110 52 85% 13% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
79 of 108 73% 109 53 81% 17% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
78 of 108 72% 108 54 76% 20% 1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
77 of 108 71% 107 55 69% 25% 1% 5% <1% <1% <1%
76 of 108 70% 106 56 64% 26% 2% 8% <1% <1% <1%
75 of 108 69% 105 57 57% 31% 3% 10% <1% <1% <1%
74 of 108 69% 104 58 50% 33% 3% 13% <1% <1% <1%
73 of 108 68% 103 59 43% 36% 6% 15% <1% <1% <1%
72 of 108 67% 102 60 34% 37% 7% 21% <1% <1% <1%
71 of 108 66% 101 61 27% 38% 9% 24% 1% <1% <1%
70 of 108 65% 100 62 21% 37% 12% 28% 1% <1% <1%
69 of 108 64% 99 63 16% 34% 15% 34% 2% <1% <1%
68 of 108 63% 98 64 11% 32% 18% 35% 4% <1% <1%
67 of 108 62% 97 65 8% 28% 20% 37% 7% <1% <1%
66 of 108 61% 96 66 5% 22% 21% 40% 12% 1% <1%
65 of 108 60% 95 67 2% 16% 21% 42% 16% 2% <1%
64 of 108 59% 94 68 1% 12% 22% 38% 22% 4% <1%
63 of 108 58% 93 69 1% 8% 20% 31% 30% 9% 1%
62 of 108 57% 92 70 <1% 5% 20% 27% 32% 13% 3%
61 of 108 56% 91 71 <1% 3% 16% 21% 34% 20% 6%
60 of 108 56% 90 72 <1% 2% 14% 14% 32% 27% 11%
59 of 108 55% 89 73 <1% 1% 12% 9% 27% 31% 19%
58 of 108 54% 88 74 <1% <1% 9% 6% 22% 33% 31%
57 of 108 53% 87 75 <1% <1% 7% 3% 14% 32% 44%
56 of 108 52% 86 76 <1% <1% 4% 2% 10% 27% 58%
55 of 108 51% 85 77 <1% <1% 3% 1% 5% 21% 70%
54 of 108 50% 84 78 <1% <1% 2% <1% 3% 13% 82%
53 of 108 49% 83 79 <1% <1% 1% <1% 1% 8% 89%
52 of 108 48% 82 80 <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% 4% 95%
50 of 108 46% 80 82 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%
40 of 108 37% 70 92 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 108 28% 60 102 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 108 19% 50 112 X X <1% X X <1% >99%
10 of 108 9% 40 122 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 108 0% 30 132 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs