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Sun Jul 12 12:45 am

MLB - Week 16 of 27

Diamondbacks What If?

The Diamondbacks What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Diamondbacks play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Diamondbacks What If?

Next Game - Dodgers (61‑35)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 49 47 <1% <1% 1% 6% 9% 11% 73%
Current Standings 48 47 <1% <1% <1% 5% 8% 10% 76%
Lose Next Game 48 48 <1% <1% <1% 5% 7% 9% 78%


Current Series - Dodgers (61‑35) - 1 Remaining Game

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Diamondbacks Sweeps 49 47 <1% <1% 1% 6% 9% 11% 73%
Current Standings 48 47 <1% <1% <1% 5% 8% 10% 76%
Dodgers Sweeps 48 48 <1% <1% <1% 5% 7% 9% 78%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
67 of 67 100% 115 47 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
60 of 67 90% 108 54 93% 5% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
59 of 67 88% 107 55 89% 7% <1% 4% <1% <1% <1%
58 of 67 87% 106 56 84% 10% <1% 6% <1% <1% <1%
57 of 67 85% 105 57 76% 15% <1% 9% <1% <1% <1%
56 of 67 84% 104 58 67% 18% <1% 15% <1% <1% <1%
55 of 67 82% 103 59 59% 23% <1% 19% <1% <1% <1%
54 of 67 81% 102 60 49% 26% <1% 25% <1% <1% <1%
53 of 67 79% 101 61 39% 29% <1% 32% <1% <1% <1%
52 of 67 78% 100 62 28% 30% 1% 41% <1% <1% <1%
51 of 67 76% 99 63 20% 30% 1% 48% <1% <1% <1%
50 of 67 75% 98 64 13% 27% 2% 56% 1% <1% <1%
49 of 67 73% 97 65 9% 24% 3% 62% 2% <1% <1%
48 of 67 72% 96 66 4% 19% 5% 68% 4% <1% <1%
47 of 67 70% 95 67 2% 15% 6% 70% 7% <1% <1%
46 of 67 69% 94 68 1% 9% 6% 70% 13% 1% <1%
45 of 67 67% 93 69 <1% 6% 6% 65% 22% 2% <1%
44 of 67 66% 92 70 <1% 3% 5% 57% 31% 4% <1%
43 of 67 64% 91 71 <1% 1% 4% 44% 40% 9% 1%
42 of 67 63% 90 72 <1% 1% 3% 31% 45% 18% 3%
41 of 67 61% 89 73 <1% <1% 2% 19% 43% 28% 8%
40 of 67 60% 88 74 <1% <1% 1% 11% 34% 36% 18%
39 of 67 58% 87 75 <1% <1% 1% 4% 23% 38% 34%
38 of 67 57% 86 76 <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 32% 52%
37 of 67 55% 85 77 <1% <1% <1% <1% 6% 23% 71%
36 of 67 54% 84 78 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 85%
35 of 67 52% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 94%
30 of 67 45% 78 84 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 67 30% 68 94 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 67 15% 58 104 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 67 0% 48 114 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs