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Sun Jul 12 12:45 am

MLB - Week 16 of 27

Tigers What If?

The Tigers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Tigers play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Tigers What If?

Next Game - Phillies (53‑43)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 45 51 <1% 2% 2% 1% 4% 7% 84%
Current Standings 44 51 <1% 2% 2% 1% 4% 6% 86%
Lose Next Game 44 52 <1% 1% 1% 1% 3% 6% 87%


Current Series - Phillies (53‑43) - 1 Remaining Game

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Tigers Sweeps 45 51 <1% 2% 2% 1% 4% 7% 84%
Current Standings 44 51 <1% 2% 2% 1% 4% 6% 86%
Phillies Sweeps 44 52 <1% 1% 1% 1% 3% 6% 87%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
67 of 67 100% 111 51 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
60 of 67 90% 104 58 97% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
59 of 67 88% 103 59 95% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
58 of 67 87% 102 60 92% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
57 of 67 85% 101 61 88% 12% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
56 of 67 84% 100 62 83% 17% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
55 of 67 82% 99 63 77% 23% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
54 of 67 81% 98 64 70% 30% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
53 of 67 79% 97 65 61% 38% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
52 of 67 78% 96 66 52% 47% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
51 of 67 76% 95 67 43% 55% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
50 of 67 75% 94 68 34% 63% 1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
49 of 67 73% 93 69 25% 68% 1% 5% 1% <1% <1%
48 of 67 72% 92 70 17% 71% 2% 8% 2% <1% <1%
47 of 67 70% 91 71 11% 70% 4% 11% 4% <1% <1%
46 of 67 69% 90 72 5% 65% 6% 15% 8% <1% <1%
45 of 67 67% 89 73 3% 57% 9% 16% 13% 1% <1%
44 of 67 66% 88 74 1% 45% 12% 17% 22% 3% <1%
43 of 67 64% 87 75 <1% 32% 13% 16% 30% 8% 1%
42 of 67 63% 86 76 <1% 20% 14% 13% 35% 15% 3%
41 of 67 61% 85 77 <1% 11% 13% 9% 37% 25% 6%
40 of 67 60% 84 78 <1% 6% 9% 5% 31% 34% 16%
39 of 67 58% 83 79 <1% 2% 6% 2% 21% 38% 31%
38 of 67 57% 82 80 <1% 1% 4% 1% 12% 32% 51%
37 of 67 55% 81 81 <1% <1% 2% <1% 5% 22% 71%
36 of 67 54% 80 82 <1% <1% 1% <1% 2% 12% 86%
35 of 67 52% 79 83 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 95%
30 of 67 45% 74 88 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 67 30% 64 98 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 67 15% 54 108 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 67 0% 44 118 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs