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Thu Jul 10 3:30 am

MLB - Week 17 of 28

Tigers What If?

The Tigers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Tigers play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Tigers What If?

Next Game - Mariners (48‑44)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 60 35 63% 25% 11% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Standings 59 35 61% 24% 13% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Lose Next Game 59 36 58% 25% 14% 1% 1% 1% <1%


Current Series - Mariners (48‑44) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Tigers Sweeps 62 35 67% 23% 9% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Standings 59 35 61% 24% 13% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Mariners Sweeps 59 38 51% 28% 18% 1% 1% 1% 1%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
68 of 68 100% 127 35 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
60 of 68 88% 119 43 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
50 of 68 74% 109 53 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
44 of 68 65% 103 59 93% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
43 of 68 63% 102 60 89% 11% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
42 of 68 62% 101 61 84% 16% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
41 of 68 60% 100 62 75% 23% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
40 of 68 59% 99 63 67% 30% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1%
39 of 68 57% 98 64 57% 38% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1%
38 of 68 56% 97 65 46% 45% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1%
37 of 68 54% 96 66 35% 50% 14% <1% <1% <1% <1%
36 of 68 53% 95 67 26% 52% 22% 1% <1% <1% <1%
35 of 68 51% 94 68 16% 51% 32% 1% <1% <1% <1%
34 of 68 50% 93 69 9% 46% 42% 2% <1% <1% <1%
33 of 68 49% 92 70 5% 37% 54% 3% 1% <1% <1%
32 of 68 47% 91 71 3% 28% 62% 5% 2% <1% <1%
31 of 68 46% 90 72 1% 18% 69% 6% 5% 1% <1%
30 of 68 44% 89 73 <1% 10% 71% 6% 8% 4% 1%
29 of 68 43% 88 74 <1% 5% 68% 6% 12% 8% 2%
28 of 68 41% 87 75 <1% 2% 61% 4% 13% 13% 7%
27 of 68 40% 86 76 <1% 1% 50% 3% 12% 19% 15%
26 of 68 38% 85 77 <1% <1% 40% 1% 8% 20% 30%
25 of 68 37% 84 78 <1% <1% 28% <1% 4% 17% 50%
24 of 68 35% 83 79 <1% <1% 19% <1% 2% 11% 68%
23 of 68 34% 82 80 <1% <1% 11% <1% <1% 5% 83%
22 of 68 32% 81 81 <1% <1% 6% <1% <1% 2% 92%
20 of 68 29% 79 83 <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
10 of 68 15% 69 93 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 68 0% 59 103 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs