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Mon Jun 16 3:30 am

MLB - Week 14 of 28

Tigers What If?

The Tigers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Tigers play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Tigers What If?

Next Game - Pirates (29‑44)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 47 27 49% 26% 13% 4% 3% 2% 2%
Current Standings 46 27 48% 26% 14% 4% 3% 2% 3%
Lose Next Game 46 28 45% 27% 15% 4% 3% 3% 3%


Current Series - Pirates (29‑44) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Tigers Sweeps 49 27 53% 25% 12% 4% 3% 2% 2%
Current Standings 46 27 48% 26% 14% 4% 3% 2% 3%
Pirates Sweeps 46 30 40% 26% 17% 5% 4% 3% 4%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
89 of 89 100% 135 27 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
80 of 89 90% 126 36 >99% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
70 of 89 79% 116 46 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
60 of 89 67% 106 56 94% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
59 of 89 66% 105 57 91% 9% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
58 of 89 65% 104 58 88% 12% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
57 of 89 64% 103 59 83% 16% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
56 of 89 63% 102 60 78% 21% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
55 of 89 62% 101 61 70% 28% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
54 of 89 61% 100 62 63% 34% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1%
53 of 89 60% 99 63 56% 38% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1%
52 of 89 58% 98 64 46% 45% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1%
51 of 89 57% 97 65 37% 48% 12% 3% <1% <1% <1%
50 of 89 56% 96 66 28% 51% 16% 4% <1% <1% <1%
49 of 89 55% 95 67 20% 51% 22% 6% 1% <1% <1%
48 of 89 54% 94 68 14% 47% 29% 8% 2% <1% <1%
47 of 89 53% 93 69 8% 42% 35% 11% 3% <1% <1%
46 of 89 52% 92 70 4% 35% 40% 13% 6% 1% <1%
45 of 89 51% 91 71 2% 27% 44% 14% 10% 2% <1%
44 of 89 49% 90 72 1% 19% 46% 14% 14% 5% 1%
43 of 89 48% 89 73 <1% 13% 45% 12% 18% 9% 2%
42 of 89 47% 88 74 <1% 7% 42% 9% 20% 16% 6%
41 of 89 46% 87 75 <1% 4% 37% 6% 19% 21% 12%
40 of 89 45% 86 76 <1% 2% 31% 3% 16% 25% 22%
39 of 89 44% 85 77 <1% 1% 24% 2% 11% 24% 38%
38 of 89 43% 84 78 <1% <1% 18% 1% 7% 21% 53%
37 of 89 42% 83 79 <1% <1% 13% <1% 3% 15% 70%
36 of 89 40% 82 80 <1% <1% 8% <1% 1% 8% 82%
35 of 89 39% 81 81 <1% <1% 5% <1% <1% 4% 90%
30 of 89 34% 76 86 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 89 22% 66 96 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 89 11% 56 106 X X <1% X <1% <1% >99%
0 of 89 0% 46 116 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs