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Wed Jul 9 3:30 am

MLB - Week 17 of 28

Tigers What If?

The Tigers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Tigers play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Tigers What If?

Next Game - Rays (49‑43)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 60 34 64% 24% 10% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Standings 59 34 62% 25% 12% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Lose Next Game 59 35 58% 26% 14% 1% <1% <1% <1%


Current Series - Rays (49‑43) - 1 Remaining Game

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Tigers Sweeps 60 34 64% 24% 10% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Standings 59 34 62% 25% 12% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Rays Sweeps 59 35 58% 26% 14% 1% <1% <1% <1%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
69 of 69 100% 128 34 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
60 of 69 87% 119 43 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
50 of 69 72% 109 53 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
46 of 69 67% 105 57 95% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
45 of 69 65% 104 58 93% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
44 of 69 64% 103 59 88% 11% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
43 of 69 62% 102 60 84% 15% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
42 of 69 61% 101 61 77% 22% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
41 of 69 59% 100 62 69% 29% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
40 of 69 58% 99 63 59% 37% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1%
39 of 69 57% 98 64 50% 43% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1%
38 of 69 55% 97 65 40% 48% 11% <1% <1% <1% <1%
37 of 69 54% 96 66 28% 53% 19% <1% <1% <1% <1%
36 of 69 52% 95 67 20% 53% 26% <1% <1% <1% <1%
35 of 69 51% 94 68 13% 49% 37% 1% <1% <1% <1%
34 of 69 49% 93 69 7% 42% 49% 1% <1% <1% <1%
33 of 69 48% 92 70 4% 34% 59% 3% 1% <1% <1%
32 of 69 46% 91 71 1% 24% 69% 4% 2% <1% <1%
31 of 69 45% 90 72 1% 16% 74% 5% 4% 1% <1%
30 of 69 43% 89 73 <1% 9% 75% 5% 7% 3% <1%
29 of 69 42% 88 74 <1% 4% 73% 5% 10% 6% 2%
28 of 69 41% 87 75 <1% 2% 67% 3% 12% 11% 4%
27 of 69 39% 86 76 <1% 1% 56% 2% 11% 17% 13%
26 of 69 38% 85 77 <1% <1% 46% 1% 8% 19% 25%
25 of 69 36% 84 78 <1% <1% 34% <1% 5% 17% 43%
24 of 69 35% 83 79 <1% <1% 24% <1% 2% 12% 62%
23 of 69 33% 82 80 <1% <1% 15% <1% 1% 7% 77%
22 of 69 32% 81 81 <1% <1% 10% <1% <1% 3% 88%
21 of 69 30% 80 82 <1% <1% 5% <1% <1% 1% 94%
20 of 69 29% 79 83 <1% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1% 98%
10 of 69 14% 69 93 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 69 0% 59 103 X X <1% X X X >99%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs