The Yankees What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Yankees play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Win Next Game | 9 | 2 | 26% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 37% |
| Current Standings | 8 | 2 | 25% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 38% |
| Lose Next Game | 8 | 3 | 24% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 39% |
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Yankees Sweeps | 10 | 2 | 26% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 37% |
| Current Standings | 8 | 2 | 25% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 38% |
| Athletics Sweeps | 8 | 4 | 23% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 39% |
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | ||
| 152 of 152 | 100% | 160 | 2 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 150 of 152 | 99% | 158 | 4 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 140 of 152 | 92% | 148 | 14 | >99% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 130 of 152 | 86% | 138 | 24 | >99% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 120 of 152 | 79% | 128 | 34 | 99% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 116 of 152 | 76% | 124 | 38 | 94% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 115 of 152 | 76% | 123 | 39 | 92% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 114 of 152 | 75% | 122 | 40 | 90% | 9% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 113 of 152 | 74% | 121 | 41 | 86% | 12% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 112 of 152 | 74% | 120 | 42 | 84% | 14% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 111 of 152 | 73% | 119 | 43 | 79% | 18% | 1% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 110 of 152 | 72% | 118 | 44 | 75% | 21% | 2% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 109 of 152 | 72% | 117 | 45 | 69% | 25% | 2% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 108 of 152 | 71% | 116 | 46 | 63% | 29% | 3% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 107 of 152 | 70% | 115 | 47 | 58% | 32% | 4% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 106 of 152 | 70% | 114 | 48 | 52% | 35% | 5% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 105 of 152 | 69% | 113 | 49 | 45% | 38% | 7% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 104 of 152 | 68% | 112 | 50 | 40% | 38% | 9% | 12% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 103 of 152 | 68% | 111 | 51 | 33% | 41% | 11% | 14% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 102 of 152 | 67% | 110 | 52 | 28% | 41% | 14% | 16% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| 101 of 152 | 66% | 109 | 53 | 22% | 41% | 16% | 18% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| 100 of 152 | 66% | 108 | 54 | 18% | 40% | 17% | 20% | 4% | <1% | <1% |
| 99 of 152 | 65% | 107 | 55 | 14% | 37% | 20% | 22% | 6% | 1% | <1% |
| 98 of 152 | 64% | 106 | 56 | 11% | 34% | 22% | 25% | 8% | 1% | <1% |
| 97 of 152 | 64% | 105 | 57 | 8% | 32% | 24% | 25% | 10% | 1% | <1% |
| 96 of 152 | 63% | 104 | 58 | 6% | 28% | 26% | 25% | 12% | 2% | <1% |
| 95 of 152 | 63% | 103 | 59 | 4% | 26% | 27% | 25% | 15% | 3% | <1% |
| 94 of 152 | 62% | 102 | 60 | 3% | 21% | 27% | 26% | 17% | 5% | 1% |
| 93 of 152 | 61% | 101 | 61 | 2% | 18% | 27% | 25% | 21% | 6% | 1% |
| 92 of 152 | 61% | 100 | 62 | 1% | 16% | 27% | 23% | 23% | 8% | 1% |
| 91 of 152 | 60% | 99 | 63 | 1% | 13% | 26% | 21% | 26% | 10% | 2% |
| 90 of 152 | 59% | 98 | 64 | 1% | 11% | 26% | 20% | 27% | 13% | 3% |
| 89 of 152 | 59% | 97 | 65 | <1% | 9% | 25% | 17% | 28% | 15% | 4% |
| 88 of 152 | 58% | 96 | 66 | <1% | 7% | 23% | 15% | 28% | 19% | 7% |
| 87 of 152 | 57% | 95 | 67 | <1% | 5% | 23% | 13% | 29% | 21% | 9% |
| 86 of 152 | 57% | 94 | 68 | <1% | 4% | 21% | 11% | 27% | 24% | 12% |
| 85 of 152 | 56% | 93 | 69 | <1% | 3% | 20% | 9% | 26% | 26% | 16% |
| 84 of 152 | 55% | 92 | 70 | <1% | 3% | 18% | 7% | 23% | 29% | 20% |
| 83 of 152 | 55% | 91 | 71 | <1% | 2% | 16% | 6% | 22% | 29% | 25% |
| 82 of 152 | 54% | 90 | 72 | <1% | 1% | 15% | 4% | 20% | 29% | 31% |
| 81 of 152 | 53% | 89 | 73 | <1% | 1% | 14% | 4% | 17% | 29% | 36% |
| 80 of 152 | 53% | 88 | 74 | <1% | 1% | 13% | 2% | 15% | 28% | 42% |
| 79 of 152 | 52% | 87 | 75 | <1% | 1% | 11% | 2% | 12% | 26% | 48% |
| 78 of 152 | 51% | 86 | 76 | <1% | <1% | 10% | 1% | 10% | 24% | 54% |
| 77 of 152 | 51% | 85 | 77 | <1% | <1% | 9% | 1% | 8% | 21% | 60% |
| 76 of 152 | 50% | 84 | 78 | <1% | <1% | 8% | 1% | 6% | 19% | 66% |
| 75 of 152 | 49% | 83 | 79 | <1% | <1% | 7% | 1% | 5% | 18% | 70% |
| 74 of 152 | 49% | 82 | 80 | <1% | <1% | 6% | <1% | 3% | 14% | 76% |
| 73 of 152 | 48% | 81 | 81 | <1% | <1% | 6% | <1% | 3% | 12% | 80% |
| 72 of 152 | 47% | 80 | 82 | <1% | <1% | 5% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 84% |
| 71 of 152 | 47% | 79 | 83 | <1% | <1% | 3% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 88% |
| 70 of 152 | 46% | 78 | 84 | <1% | <1% | 4% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 89% |
| 69 of 152 | 45% | 77 | 85 | <1% | <1% | 3% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 93% |
| 68 of 152 | 45% | 76 | 86 | <1% | <1% | 2% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 94% |
| 67 of 152 | 44% | 75 | 87 | <1% | <1% | 2% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 95% |
| 60 of 152 | 39% | 68 | 94 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 50 of 152 | 33% | 58 | 104 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 40 of 152 | 26% | 48 | 114 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 30 of 152 | 20% | 38 | 124 | X | X | <1% | X | X | X | >99% |
| 20 of 152 | 13% | 28 | 134 | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 10 of 152 | 7% | 18 | 144 | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 0 of 152 | 0% | 8 | 154 | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |