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Sun Jul 6 3:30 am

MLB - Week 16 of 28

Yankees What If?

The Yankees What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Yankees play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Yankees What If?

Next Game - Mets (52‑38)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 49 41 3% 7% 13% 20% 16% 13% 29%
Current Standings 48 41 2% 6% 13% 18% 16% 13% 32%
Lose Next Game 48 42 2% 5% 12% 18% 16% 13% 35%


Current Series - Mets (52‑38) - 1 Remaining Game

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Yankees Sweeps 49 41 3% 7% 13% 20% 16% 13% 29%
Current Standings 48 41 2% 6% 13% 18% 16% 13% 32%
Mets Sweeps 48 42 2% 5% 12% 18% 16% 13% 35%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
73 of 73 100% 121 41 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
70 of 73 96% 118 44 >99% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
60 of 73 82% 108 54 97% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
59 of 73 81% 107 55 95% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
58 of 73 79% 106 56 92% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
57 of 73 78% 105 57 88% 12% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
56 of 73 77% 104 58 82% 18% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
55 of 73 75% 103 59 75% 23% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
54 of 73 74% 102 60 67% 29% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
53 of 73 73% 101 61 59% 35% 4% 2% <1% <1% <1%
52 of 73 71% 100 62 48% 42% 7% 3% <1% <1% <1%
51 of 73 70% 99 63 39% 44% 11% 6% <1% <1% <1%
50 of 73 68% 98 64 28% 47% 15% 10% <1% <1% <1%
49 of 73 67% 97 65 20% 46% 20% 14% <1% <1% <1%
48 of 73 66% 96 66 13% 42% 26% 19% <1% <1% <1%
47 of 73 64% 95 67 9% 35% 31% 24% 1% <1% <1%
46 of 73 63% 94 68 5% 28% 34% 32% 2% <1% <1%
45 of 73 62% 93 69 2% 21% 35% 37% 4% <1% <1%
44 of 73 60% 92 70 1% 13% 35% 43% 8% <1% <1%
43 of 73 59% 91 71 <1% 8% 31% 45% 14% 1% <1%
42 of 73 58% 90 72 <1% 4% 26% 45% 22% 3% <1%
41 of 73 56% 89 73 <1% 2% 20% 40% 31% 7% 1%
40 of 73 55% 88 74 <1% 1% 14% 31% 38% 14% 2%
39 of 73 53% 87 75 <1% <1% 10% 23% 39% 22% 6%
38 of 73 52% 86 76 <1% <1% 5% 13% 37% 32% 13%
37 of 73 51% 85 77 <1% <1% 3% 8% 28% 36% 25%
36 of 73 49% 84 78 <1% <1% 1% 3% 19% 35% 42%
35 of 73 48% 83 79 <1% <1% 1% 1% 10% 27% 61%
34 of 73 47% 82 80 <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 18% 77%
33 of 73 45% 81 81 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 10% 89%
30 of 73 41% 78 84 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 73 27% 68 94 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 73 14% 58 104 X X X X X <1% >99%
0 of 73 0% 48 114 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs