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Sun Sep 27 10:15 pm

MLS - Week 33 of 38

Austin FC Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Austin FC are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Austin FC final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Austin FC fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Austin FC Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Austin FC Resultant Playoff Probabilities
Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
Austin FC
(7‑10‑10)

vs
Nashville SC
(18‑3‑6)
21 Austin FC Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 9% 80%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 91%
Nashville SC Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 95%
St. Louis City SC
(12‑6‑8)

vs
Galaxy
(9‑10‑9)
3 St. Louis City SC Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 91%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 91%
Galaxy Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 93%
Red Bull
(9‑11‑6)

vs
San Diego FC
(8‑11‑8)
3 Red Bull Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 90%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 91%
San Diego FC Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 93%
EarthquakesEarthquaks
(13‑8‑6)

vs
Rapids
(11‑13‑3)
3 EarthquakesEarthquaks Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 90%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 91%
Rapids Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 92%
Revolution
(14‑9‑4)

vs
Sounders
(9‑9‑8)
2 Revolution Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 91%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 91%
Sounders Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 92%
Sporting KC
(6‑17‑3)

vs
Sounders
(9‑9‑8)
2 Sporting KC Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 90%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 91%
Sounders Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 92%
Sporting KC
(6‑17‑3)

vs
Timbers
(9‑13‑5)
2 Sporting KC Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 90%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 91%
Timbers Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 4% 92%
Union
(11‑10‑6)

vs
Real Salt Lake
(9‑13‑5)
1 Union Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 91%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 91%
Real Salt Lake Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 4% 92%
Charlotte FC
(12‑8‑7)

vs
FC Dallas
(13‑6‑8)
1 Charlotte FC Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 91%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 91%
FC Dallas Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 91%
Dynamo
(13‑9‑5)

vs
Minnesota United
(7‑12‑8)
1 Dynamo Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 91%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 91%
Minnesota United Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 92%
Red Bull
(9‑11‑6)

vs
St. Louis City SC
(12‑6‑8)
1 Red Bull Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 91%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 91%
St. Louis City SC Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 91%
Whitecaps
(15‑6‑5)

vs
LAFC
(11‑9‑8)
0 Whitecaps Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 4% 91%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 91%
LAFC Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 91%
Whitecaps
(15‑6‑5)

vs
Fire
(12‑8‑6)
0 Whitecaps Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 91%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 91%
Fire Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 4% 92%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *   denotes first round bye and second round home field advantage in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home bye in the playoffs
  • *** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs