The Most Important Games for the Austin FC are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Austin FC final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Austin FC fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Austin FC Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Austin FC (4‑2) vs Timbers (3‑2‑1) |
22 | Austin FC Wins | 16% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Timbers Wins | 10% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 7% | ||
| Sporting KC (0‑5‑1) vs St. Louis City SC (2‑2‑2) |
4 | Sporting KC Wins | 15% | 16% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 6% | ||
| St. Louis City SC Wins | 14% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Atlanta United (2‑2‑2) vs FC Dallas (3‑2‑1) |
3 | Atlanta United Wins | 14% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 6% | ||
| FC Dallas Wins | 14% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 6% | ||
| NY City FC (2‑2‑2) vs Minnesota United (3‑1‑2) |
2 | NY City FC Wins | 14% | 16% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Minnesota United Wins | 14% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Dynamo (0‑4‑2) vs LAFC (3‑3) |
1 | Dynamo Wins | 14% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 6% | ||
| LAFC Wins | 14% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 6% | ||
| San Diego FC (3‑1‑2) vs Sounders (1‑2‑3) |
1 | San Diego FC Wins | 14% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Sounders Wins | 15% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Rapids (3‑1‑2) vs Whitecaps (4‑1‑1) |
1 | Rapids Wins | 14% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Whitecaps Wins | 14% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Galaxy (0‑4‑2) vs Real Salt Lake (2‑4) |
0 | Galaxy Wins | 14% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Real Salt Lake Wins | 14% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 6% | ||