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Fri Oct 2 4:00 am

MLS - Week 34 of 38

Crew Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Crew are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Crew final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Crew fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Crew Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Crew Resultant Playoff Probabilities
Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
Crew
(8‑14‑5)

vs
Orlando City SC
(10‑13‑4)
34 Crew Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 10% 13% 69%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 9% 81%
Orlando City SC Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 91%
Fire
(12‑8‑6)

vs
NY City FC
(8‑10‑9)
5 Fire Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 7% 9% 80%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 9% 81%
NY City FC Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 9% 82%
Inter Miami CF
(12‑5‑10)

vs
D.C. United
(6‑8‑12)
5 Inter Miami CF Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 7% 9% 80%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 9% 81%
D.C. United Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 8% 83%
San Diego FC
(8‑11‑8)

vs
Red Bull
(9‑12‑6)
3 San Diego FC Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 10% 80%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 9% 81%
Red Bull Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 8% 83%
Atlanta United
(7‑14‑6)

vs
FC Cincinnati
(8‑9‑9)
3 Atlanta United Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 7% 9% 80%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 9% 81%
FC Cincinnati Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 9% 82%
CF Montréal
(6‑15‑6)

vs
Toronto FC
(6‑10‑11)
2 CF Montréal Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 6% 10% 80%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 9% 81%
Toronto FC Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 8% 81%
Fire
(12‑8‑6)

vs
Whitecaps
(15‑6‑5)
1 Fire Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 6% 9% 81%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 9% 81%
Whitecaps Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 9% 81%
Real Salt Lake
(9‑13‑5)

vs
Union
(11‑10‑6)
1 Real Salt Lake Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 9% 81%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 9% 81%
Union Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 9% 81%
Sounders
(10‑9‑8)

vs
Revolution
(14‑9‑4)
1 Sounders Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 9% 81%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 9% 81%
Revolution Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 9% 81%
Charlotte FC
(12‑8‑7)

vs
FC Dallas
(13‑6‑8)
1 Charlotte FC Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 9% 80%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 9% 81%
FC Dallas Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 8% 81%
Austin FC
(7‑10‑10)

vs
Nashville SC
(18‑3‑6)
0 Austin FC Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 9% 81%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 9% 81%
Nashville SC Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 9% 81%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *   denotes first round bye and second round home field advantage in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home bye in the playoffs
  • *** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs