The Crew What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Crew play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 7 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 10% |
Current Standings | 6 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 15% |
Lose Next Game | 6 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 17% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 10% |
Current Standings | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 15% |
Worst Case Scenario | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 17% |
Best Case Scenario Crew beats Charlotte FC |
Worst Case Scenario Charlotte FC beats Crew |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
24 of 24 | 100% | 30 | 1 | 3 | 93 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
20 of 24 | 83% | 26 | 5 | 3 | 81 | 96% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
19 of 24 | 79% | 25 | 6 | 3 | 78 | 89% | 10% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
18 of 24 | 75% | 24 | 7 | 3 | 75 | 75% | 23% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
17 of 24 | 71% | 23 | 8 | 3 | 72 | 53% | 39% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
16 of 24 | 67% | 22 | 9 | 3 | 69 | 30% | 45% | 21% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
15 of 24 | 63% | 21 | 10 | 3 | 66 | 11% | 36% | 36% | 14% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
14 of 24 | 58% | 20 | 11 | 3 | 63 | 3% | 17% | 37% | 31% | 11% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
13 of 24 | 54% | 19 | 12 | 3 | 60 | <1% | 5% | 20% | 36% | 28% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
12 of 24 | 50% | 18 | 13 | 3 | 57 | <1% | <1% | 5% | 21% | 35% | 27% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
11 of 24 | 46% | 17 | 14 | 3 | 54 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 20% | 35% | 28% | 10% | 1% | <1% |
10 of 24 | 42% | 16 | 15 | 3 | 51 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 19% | 35% | 29% | 10% | 1% |
9 of 24 | 38% | 15 | 16 | 3 | 48 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 20% | 36% | 28% | 10% |
8 of 24 | 33% | 14 | 17 | 3 | 45 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 21% | 37% | 36% |
7 of 24 | 29% | 13 | 18 | 3 | 42 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 23% | 71% |
6 of 24 | 25% | 12 | 19 | 3 | 39 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 92% |
5 of 24 | 21% | 11 | 20 | 3 | 36 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
0 of 24 | 0% | 6 | 25 | 3 | 21 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |