PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Mar 30 1:15 am

MLS - Week 6 of 35

Crew What If?

The Crew What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Crew play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Crew What If?

Next Game - CF Montréal (0‑4‑2)

  Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
Win Next Game 4 0 3 15 5% 9% 11% 12% 12% 11% 10% 9% 7% 15%
Current Standings 3 0 3 12 5% 8% 10% 11% 11% 11% 10% 9% 8% 17%
Lose Next Game 3 1 3 12 3% 7% 9% 11% 11% 11% 11% 10% 8% 21%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
Best Case Scenario 5% 9% 11% 12% 12% 11% 10% 9% 7% 14%
Current Standings 5% 8% 10% 11% 11% 11% 10% 9% 8% 17%
Worst Case Scenario 3% 6% 9% 11% 11% 11% 10% 10% 9% 22%
Best Case Scenario
   FC Dallas beats Atlanta United
   Crew beats CF Montréal
Worst Case Scenario
   Atlanta United beats FC Dallas
   CF Montréal beats Crew
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
28 of 28 100% 31 0 3 96 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 28 89% 28 3 3 87 93% 7% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 28 86% 27 4 3 84 84% 16% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 28 82% 26 5 3 81 70% 28% 2% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 28 79% 25 6 3 78 54% 40% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
21 of 28 75% 24 7 3 75 36% 48% 16% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
20 of 28 71% 23 8 3 72 20% 46% 28% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
19 of 28 68% 22 9 3 69 9% 35% 39% 15% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
18 of 28 64% 21 10 3 66 3% 20% 40% 29% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
17 of 28 61% 20 11 3 63 1% 8% 29% 38% 19% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1%
16 of 28 57% 19 12 3 60 <1% 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 3% <1% <1% <1%
15 of 28 54% 18 13 3 57 <1% <1% 4% 18% 36% 29% 11% 2% <1% <1%
14 of 28 50% 17 14 3 54 <1% <1% 1% 6% 21% 36% 26% 9% 2% <1%
13 of 28 46% 16 15 3 51 <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 24% 35% 23% 8% 1%
12 of 28 43% 15 16 3 48 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 8%
11 of 28 39% 14 17 3 45 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 9% 26% 35% 28%
10 of 28 36% 13 18 3 42 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 10% 29% 59%
9 of 28 32% 12 19 3 39 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 85%
5 of 28 18% 8 23 3 27 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 28 0% 3 28 3 12 X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes first round bye and second round home field advantage in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home bye in the playoffs
  • *** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs