The Most Important Games for the Fire are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Fire final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Fire fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Fire Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Fire (3‑1‑2) vs Red Bulls (2‑2‑2) |
23 | Fire Wins | 7% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 22% | ||
| Red Bulls Wins | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 24% | ||
| Charlotte FC (3‑2‑1) vs Nashville SC (3‑2‑1) |
2 | Charlotte FC Wins | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 22% | ||
| Nashville SC Wins | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 23% | ||
| FC Dallas (3‑2‑1) vs Atlanta United (2‑2‑2) |
2 | FC Dallas Wins | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 22% | ||
| Atlanta United Wins | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 22% | ||
| Minnesota United (3‑1‑2) vs NY City FC (2‑2‑2) |
2 | Minnesota United Wins | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 22% | ||
| NY City FC Wins | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 22% | ||
| FC Cincinnati (3‑2‑1) vs Revolution (1‑3‑1) |
1 | FC Cincinnati Wins | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 22% | ||
| Revolution Wins | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 22% | ||
| Toronto FC (0‑4‑2) vs Inter Miami CF (4‑0‑1) |
1 | Toronto FC Wins | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 22% | ||
| Inter Miami CF Wins | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 22% | ||
| CF Montréal (0‑4‑2) vs Crew (3‑0‑3) |
1 | CF Montréal Wins | 6% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 22% | ||
| Crew Wins | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 22% | ||
| Union (4‑2) vs Orlando City SC (3‑2‑1) |
1 | Union Wins | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 22% | ||
| Orlando City SC Wins | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 23% | ||