The Most Important Games for the Fire are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Fire final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Fire fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Fire Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Fire (8‑4‑2) vs NY City FC (5‑6‑4) |
19 | Fire Wins | 2% | 23% | 28% | 22% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 18% | 25% | 21% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| NY City FC Wins | 1% | 15% | 23% | 21% | 15% | 11% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Fire (8‑4‑2) vs Inter Miami CF (9‑2‑4) |
17 | Fire Wins | 3% | 24% | 26% | 19% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 18% | 25% | 21% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Inter Miami CF Wins | 1% | 13% | 25% | 23% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Fire (8‑4‑2) vs Whitecaps (10‑2‑2) |
16 | Fire Wins | 3% | 23% | 27% | 21% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 18% | 25% | 21% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Whitecaps Wins | 1% | 16% | 24% | 21% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Whitecaps (10‑2‑2) vs FC Cincinnati (5‑5‑5) |
2 | Whitecaps Wins | 2% | 18% | 24% | 21% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 18% | 25% | 21% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| FC Cincinnati Wins | 2% | 17% | 24% | 21% | 14% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Toronto FC (3‑6‑6) vs Revolution (8‑5‑1) |
2 | Toronto FC Wins | 2% | 20% | 25% | 20% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 18% | 25% | 21% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Revolution Wins | 2% | 18% | 24% | 21% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| CF Montréal (4‑8‑3) vs Inter Miami CF (9‑2‑4) |
2 | CF Montréal Wins | 2% | 21% | 23% | 20% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 18% | 25% | 21% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Inter Miami CF Wins | 2% | 17% | 25% | 22% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Dynamo (7‑6‑1) vs D.C. United (4‑5‑6) |
2 | Dynamo Wins | 2% | 19% | 24% | 21% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 18% | 25% | 21% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| D.C. United Wins | 2% | 18% | 24% | 21% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Union (1‑10‑4) vs Red Bull (6‑5‑4) |
2 | Union Wins | 2% | 19% | 24% | 21% | 14% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 18% | 25% | 21% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Red Bull Wins | 2% | 18% | 24% | 21% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Crew (4‑7‑4) vs FC Cincinnati (5‑5‑5) |
1 | Crew Wins | 2% | 18% | 26% | 21% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 18% | 25% | 21% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| FC Cincinnati Wins | 2% | 18% | 24% | 21% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Atlanta United (3‑10‑2) vs Revolution (8‑5‑1) |
1 | Atlanta United Wins | 2% | 20% | 26% | 20% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 18% | 25% | 21% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Revolution Wins | 2% | 19% | 24% | 22% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Atlanta United (3‑10‑2) vs Charlotte FC (6‑6‑3) |
1 | Atlanta United Wins | 2% | 18% | 25% | 22% | 14% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 18% | 25% | 21% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Charlotte FC Wins | 2% | 18% | 24% | 21% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| CF Montréal (4‑8‑3) vs Nashville SC (11‑1‑3) |
1 | CF Montréal Wins | 3% | 18% | 24% | 20% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 18% | 25% | 21% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Nashville SC Wins | 2% | 18% | 24% | 21% | 14% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Crew (4‑7‑4) vs NY City FC (5‑6‑4) |
1 | Crew Wins | 2% | 18% | 25% | 21% | 14% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 18% | 25% | 21% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| NY City FC Wins | 2% | 18% | 24% | 21% | 15% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Nashville SC (11‑1‑3) vs Orlando City SC (4‑9‑2) |
1 | Nashville SC Wins | 2% | 18% | 25% | 22% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 18% | 25% | 21% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Orlando City SC Wins | 3% | 18% | 24% | 22% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Toronto FC (3‑6‑6) vs D.C. United (4‑5‑6) |
0 | Toronto FC Wins | 2% | 19% | 24% | 21% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 18% | 25% | 21% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| D.C. United Wins | 2% | 18% | 24% | 21% | 14% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Sounders (7‑4‑3) vs Union (1‑10‑4) |
0 | Sounders Wins | 2% | 19% | 24% | 21% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 18% | 25% | 21% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Union Wins | 2% | 18% | 24% | 21% | 13% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| EarthquakesEarthquaks (10‑3‑2) vs Orlando City SC (4‑9‑2) |
0 | EarthquakesEarthquaks Wins | 2% | 18% | 24% | 21% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 18% | 25% | 21% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Orlando City SC Wins | 2% | 18% | 24% | 22% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Charlotte FC (6‑6‑3) vs Red Bull (6‑5‑4) |
0 | Charlotte FC Wins | 2% | 19% | 24% | 21% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 18% | 25% | 21% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Red Bull Wins | 2% | 18% | 26% | 21% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||