The Most Important Games for the Fire are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Fire final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Fire fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Fire Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Fire (3‑1‑1) vs CF Montréal (0‑4‑1) |
20 | Fire Wins | 11% | 12% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 15% | ||
| CF Montréal Wins | 8% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 18% | ||
| Galaxy (0‑3‑2) vs Orlando City SC (2‑2‑1) |
4 | Galaxy Wins | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 15% | ||
| Orlando City SC Wins | 10% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 15% | ||
| Revolution (0‑3‑1) vs Red Bulls (2‑1‑2) |
3 | Revolution Wins | 11% | 13% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 15% | ||
| Red Bulls Wins | 10% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 15% | ||
| Whitecaps (4‑1) vs Toronto FC (0‑4‑1) |
3 | Whitecaps Wins | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 15% | ||
| Toronto FC Wins | 10% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 15% | ||
| Rapids (2‑1‑2) vs Charlotte FC (3‑1‑1) |
2 | Rapids Wins | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 15% | ||
| Charlotte FC Wins | 10% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 15% | ||
| Atlanta United (1‑2‑2) vs NY City FC (2‑1‑2) |
2 | Atlanta United Wins | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 15% | ||
| NY City FC Wins | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 15% | ||
| Crew (2‑0‑3) vs D.C. United (1‑1‑3) |
1 | Crew Wins | 11% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 15% | ||
| D.C. United Wins | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 15% | ||
| FC Cincinnati (2‑2‑1) vs Nashville SC (3‑1‑1) |
1 | FC Cincinnati Wins | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 15% | ||
| Nashville SC Wins | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 15% | ||
| Inter Miami CF (3‑0‑1) vs Union (4‑1) |
1 | Inter Miami CF Wins | 11% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 15% | ||
| Union Wins | 11% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 15% | ||