The Fire What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Fire play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Win Next Game | 16 | 11 | 7 | 55 | X | X | X | X | X | 21% | 53% | 26% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 15 | 11 | 7 | 52 | X | X | X | X | X | 9% | 25% | 41% | 24% | ^ |
| Lose Next Game | 15 | 12 | 7 | 52 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 52% | 48% | ^ |
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Best Case Scenario | X | X | X | X | X | 59% | 41% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | X | X | X | X | X | 9% | 25% | 41% | 24% | ^ |
| Worst Case Scenario | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ^ |
|
Best Case Scenario Red Bulls beats Crew Inter Miami CF beats Nashville SC Fire beats Revolution |
Worst Case Scenario Crew beats Red Bulls Nashville SC beats Inter Miami CF Revolution beats Fire |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
| 1 of 1 | 100% | 16 | 11 | 7 | 55 | X | X | X | X | X | 21% | 53% | 26% | ^ | ^ |
| 0 of 1 | 0% | 15 | 12 | 7 | 52 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 53% | 47% | ^ |