The Galaxy What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Galaxy play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Win Next Game | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 39% |
| Current Standings | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 47% |
| Lose Next Game | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 57% |
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 39% |
| Current Standings | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 47% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 57% |
|
Best Case Scenario NY City FC beats Rapids Galaxy beats Sporting KC Sounders beats Earthquakes |
Worst Case Scenario Rapids beats NY City FC Sporting KC beats Galaxy Earthquakes beats Sounders |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
| 31 of 31 | 100% | 32 | 1 | 1 | 97 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 30 of 31 | 97% | 31 | 2 | 1 | 94 | >99% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 25 of 31 | 81% | 26 | 7 | 1 | 79 | >99% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 21 of 31 | 68% | 22 | 11 | 1 | 67 | 95% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 20 of 31 | 65% | 21 | 12 | 1 | 64 | 83% | 16% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 19 of 31 | 61% | 20 | 13 | 1 | 61 | 60% | 34% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 18 of 31 | 58% | 19 | 14 | 1 | 58 | 28% | 43% | 23% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 17 of 31 | 55% | 18 | 15 | 1 | 55 | 5% | 22% | 35% | 26% | 10% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 16 of 31 | 52% | 17 | 16 | 1 | 52 | <1% | 2% | 11% | 26% | 31% | 21% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 15 of 31 | 48% | 16 | 17 | 1 | 49 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 24% | 30% | 22% | 9% | 2% |
| 14 of 31 | 45% | 15 | 18 | 1 | 46 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 20% | 30% | 43% |
| 13 of 31 | 42% | 14 | 19 | 1 | 43 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 94% |
| 10 of 31 | 32% | 11 | 22 | 1 | 34 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 5 of 31 | 16% | 6 | 27 | 1 | 19 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |
| 0 of 31 | 0% | 1 | 32 | 1 | 4 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |