The Minnesota United What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Minnesota United play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Win Next Game | 8 | 7 | 7 | 31 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 42% |
| Current Standings | 7 | 7 | 7 | 28 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 47% |
| Lose Next Game | 7 | 8 | 7 | 28 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 61% |
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Best Case Scenario | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 39% |
| Current Standings | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 47% |
| Worst Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 63% |
|
Best Case Scenario Fire beats Sounders Minnesota United beats Orlando City SC Austin FC beats Timbers |
Worst Case Scenario Sounders beats Fire Orlando City SC beats Minnesota United Timbers beats Austin FC |
|||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
| 13 of 13 | 100% | 20 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 18% | 81% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 12 of 13 | 92% | 19 | 8 | 7 | 64 | 7% | 84% | 9% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 11 of 13 | 85% | 18 | 9 | 7 | 61 | 2% | 60% | 33% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 10 of 13 | 77% | 17 | 10 | 7 | 58 | <1% | 22% | 45% | 26% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 9 of 13 | 69% | 16 | 11 | 7 | 55 | <1% | 2% | 17% | 36% | 31% | 12% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 8 of 13 | 62% | 15 | 12 | 7 | 52 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 24% | 35% | 25% | 8% | 1% | <1% |
| 7 of 13 | 54% | 14 | 13 | 7 | 49 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 27% | 34% | 20% | 6% |
| 6 of 13 | 46% | 13 | 14 | 7 | 46 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 14% | 32% | 50% |
| 5 of 13 | 38% | 12 | 15 | 7 | 43 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 93% |
| 4 of 13 | 31% | 11 | 16 | 7 | 40 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 3 of 13 | 23% | 10 | 17 | 7 | 37 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 2 of 13 | 15% | 9 | 18 | 7 | 34 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 1 of 13 | 8% | 8 | 19 | 7 | 31 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |
| 0 of 13 | 0% | 7 | 20 | 7 | 28 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |