The Minnesota United What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Minnesota United play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 9 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 9% | 25% | 23% | 17% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
Current Standings | 8 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 8% | 23% | 21% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
Lose Next Game | 8 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 5% | 17% | 20% | 18% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | 8% | 24% | 21% | 17% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
Current Standings | 8% | 23% | 21% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
Worst Case Scenario | 8% | 22% | 21% | 18% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
Best Case Scenario Toronto FC beats LAFC |
Worst Case Scenario LAFC beats Toronto FC |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
16 of 16 | 100% | 24 | 4 | 6 | 78 | 96% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
15 of 16 | 94% | 23 | 5 | 6 | 75 | 89% | 11% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
14 of 16 | 88% | 22 | 6 | 6 | 72 | 76% | 24% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
13 of 16 | 81% | 21 | 7 | 6 | 69 | 57% | 41% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
12 of 16 | 75% | 20 | 8 | 6 | 66 | 35% | 56% | 8% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
11 of 16 | 69% | 19 | 9 | 6 | 63 | 15% | 58% | 24% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
10 of 16 | 63% | 18 | 10 | 6 | 60 | 4% | 39% | 43% | 13% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
9 of 16 | 56% | 17 | 11 | 6 | 57 | 1% | 15% | 41% | 34% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
8 of 16 | 50% | 16 | 12 | 6 | 54 | <1% | 2% | 17% | 39% | 31% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
7 of 16 | 44% | 15 | 13 | 6 | 51 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 16% | 37% | 32% | 11% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
6 of 16 | 38% | 14 | 14 | 6 | 48 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 34% | 35% | 15% | 2% | <1% |
5 of 16 | 31% | 13 | 15 | 6 | 45 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 27% | 38% | 21% | 6% |
4 of 16 | 25% | 12 | 16 | 6 | 42 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 20% | 36% | 40% |
3 of 16 | 19% | 11 | 17 | 6 | 39 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 86% |
2 of 16 | 13% | 10 | 18 | 6 | 36 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
1 of 16 | 6% | 9 | 19 | 6 | 33 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
0 of 16 | 0% | 8 | 20 | 6 | 30 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |