The Rapids What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Rapids play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 5 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 11% | 19% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 7% |
Current Standings | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 10% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 10% |
Lose Next Game | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 7% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 12% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | 12% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 7% |
Current Standings | 10% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 10% |
Worst Case Scenario | 7% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 12% |
Best Case Scenario Real Salt Lake beats San Diego FC Rapids beats Sounders Galaxy beats Timbers |
Worst Case Scenario San Diego FC beats Real Salt Lake Sounders beats Rapids Timbers beats Galaxy |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
25 of 25 | 100% | 29 | 2 | 3 | 90 | >99% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
22 of 25 | 88% | 26 | 5 | 3 | 81 | 92% | 8% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
21 of 25 | 84% | 25 | 6 | 3 | 78 | 83% | 17% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
20 of 25 | 80% | 24 | 7 | 3 | 75 | 71% | 28% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
19 of 25 | 76% | 23 | 8 | 3 | 72 | 55% | 42% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
18 of 25 | 72% | 22 | 9 | 3 | 69 | 37% | 53% | 9% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
17 of 25 | 68% | 21 | 10 | 3 | 66 | 21% | 55% | 22% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
16 of 25 | 64% | 20 | 11 | 3 | 63 | 9% | 43% | 37% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
15 of 25 | 60% | 19 | 12 | 3 | 60 | 2% | 24% | 42% | 25% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
14 of 25 | 56% | 18 | 13 | 3 | 57 | <1% | 8% | 30% | 37% | 20% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
13 of 25 | 52% | 17 | 14 | 3 | 54 | <1% | 1% | 11% | 29% | 34% | 19% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
12 of 25 | 48% | 16 | 15 | 3 | 51 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 28% | 34% | 19% | 5% | 1% | <1% |
11 of 25 | 44% | 15 | 16 | 3 | 48 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 26% | 33% | 22% | 7% | 1% |
10 of 25 | 40% | 14 | 17 | 3 | 45 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 23% | 34% | 25% | 9% |
9 of 25 | 36% | 13 | 18 | 3 | 42 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 20% | 35% | 39% |
8 of 25 | 32% | 12 | 19 | 3 | 39 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 18% | 78% |
5 of 25 | 20% | 9 | 22 | 3 | 30 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
0 of 25 | 0% | 4 | 27 | 3 | 15 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |