PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Mar 30 9:30 pm

MLS - Week 7 of 35

Rapids What If?

The Rapids What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Rapids play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Rapids What If?

Next Game - Whitecaps (4‑1‑1)

  Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
Win Next Game 4 1 2 14 20% 16% 14% 11% 10% 8% 7% 5% 4% 6%
Current Standings 3 1 2 11 17% 15% 13% 11% 10% 8% 7% 6% 5% 9%
Lose Next Game 3 2 2 11 14% 14% 13% 11% 10% 9% 8% 6% 5% 9%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
Best Case Scenario 21% 17% 13% 11% 9% 8% 7% 5% 4% 6%
Current Standings 17% 15% 13% 11% 10% 8% 7% 6% 5% 9%
Worst Case Scenario 14% 14% 12% 12% 10% 9% 8% 7% 5% 10%
Best Case Scenario
   Atlanta United beats FC Dallas
   Dynamo beats LAFC
   Rapids beats Whitecaps
Worst Case Scenario
   FC Dallas beats Atlanta United
   LAFC beats Dynamo
   Whitecaps beats Rapids
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
28 of 28 100% 31 1 2 95 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 28 89% 28 4 2 86 99% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 28 82% 26 6 2 80 92% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 28 79% 25 7 2 77 82% 18% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
21 of 28 75% 24 8 2 74 66% 30% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
20 of 28 71% 23 9 2 71 47% 41% 11% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
19 of 28 68% 22 10 2 68 27% 45% 23% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
18 of 28 64% 21 11 2 65 12% 37% 36% 13% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
17 of 28 61% 20 12 2 62 4% 21% 37% 29% 9% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
16 of 28 57% 19 13 2 59 1% 7% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1%
15 of 28 54% 18 14 2 56 <1% 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% <1% <1% <1%
14 of 28 50% 17 15 2 53 <1% <1% 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% <1% <1%
13 of 28 46% 16 16 2 50 <1% <1% <1% 3% 13% 30% 33% 16% 3% <1%
12 of 28 43% 15 17 2 47 <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3%
11 of 28 39% 14 18 2 44 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 15% 34% 32% 16%
10 of 28 36% 13 19 2 41 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 17% 34% 45%
9 of 28 32% 12 20 2 38 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 19% 77%
8 of 28 29% 11 21 2 35 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 95%
5 of 28 18% 8 24 2 26 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 28 0% 3 29 2 11 X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes first round bye and second round home field advantage in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home bye in the playoffs
  • *** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs