The Most Important Games for the Red Bull are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Red Bull final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Red Bull fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Red Bull Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Red Bull (7‑8‑4) vs Nashville SC (13‑2‑4) |
31 | Red Bull Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 13% | 15% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 69% | ||
| Nashville SC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 72% | ||
| Red Bull (7‑8‑4) vs Fire (10‑6‑2) |
30 | Red Bull Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 58% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 69% | ||
| Fire Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 75% | ||
| Nashville SC (13‑2‑4) vs Crew (5‑9‑5) |
4 | Nashville SC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 69% | ||
| Crew Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 71% | ||
| Inter Miami CF (11‑3‑5) vs Union (5‑10‑4) |
4 | Inter Miami CF Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 69% | ||
| Union Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 71% | ||
| Charlotte FC (8‑7‑4) vs D.C. United (5‑5‑9) |
3 | Charlotte FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 69% | ||
| D.C. United Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 71% | ||
| Revolution (9‑6‑3) vs D.C. United (5‑5‑9) |
3 | Revolution Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 69% | ||
| D.C. United Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 70% | ||
| Austin FC (4‑10‑5) vs Union (5‑10‑4) |
3 | Austin FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 69% | ||
| Union Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 70% | ||
| CF Montréal (4‑10‑5) vs Crew (5‑9‑5) |
3 | CF Montréal Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 69% | ||
| Crew Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 70% | ||
| Real Salt Lake (8‑6‑4) vs Orlando City SC (6‑10‑3) |
3 | Real Salt Lake Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 69% | ||
| Orlando City SC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 70% | ||
| Sounders (7‑8‑3) vs FC Cincinnati (7‑6‑6) |
2 | Sounders Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 69% | ||
| FC Cincinnati Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 69% | ||
| Inter Miami CF (11‑3‑5) vs Toronto FC (4‑7‑8) |
2 | Inter Miami CF Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 69% | ||
| Toronto FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 71% | ||
| Revolution (9‑6‑3) vs NY City FC (7‑7‑5) |
2 | Revolution Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 69% | ||
| NY City FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 70% | ||
| Charlotte FC (8‑7‑4) vs Toronto FC (4‑7‑8) |
1 | Charlotte FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 69% | ||
| Toronto FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 70% | ||
| Galaxy (5‑8‑7) vs CF Montréal (4‑10‑5) |
1 | Galaxy Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 69% | ||
| CF Montréal Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 69% | ||
| Sporting KC (4‑13‑2) vs Atlanta United (4‑12‑3) |
1 | Sporting KC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 69% | ||
| Atlanta United Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 69% | ||
| Minnesota United (6‑6‑7) vs Atlanta United (4‑12‑3) |
1 | Minnesota United Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 69% | ||
| Atlanta United Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 70% | ||
| Fire (10‑6‑2) vs Orlando City SC (6‑10‑3) |
1 | Fire Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 69% | ||
| Orlando City SC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 11% | 70% | ||
| NY City FC (7‑7‑5) vs FC Cincinnati (7‑6‑6) |
0 | NY City FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 69% | ||
| FC Cincinnati Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 69% | ||