The Red Bull What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Red Bull play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Win Next Game | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 19% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 16% |
| Current Standings | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 21% |
| Lose Next Game | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 28% |
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 19% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 15% |
| Current Standings | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 21% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 30% |
|
Best Case Scenario Real Salt Lake beats Atlanta United Earthquakes beats Union Red Bull beats CF Montréal |
Worst Case Scenario Atlanta United beats Real Salt Lake Union beats Earthquakes CF Montréal beats Red Bull |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
| 32 of 32 | 100% | 34 | 0 | 0 | 102 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 30 of 32 | 94% | 32 | 2 | 0 | 96 | >99% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 25 of 32 | 78% | 27 | 7 | 0 | 81 | >99% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 20 of 32 | 63% | 22 | 12 | 0 | 66 | 97% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 19 of 32 | 59% | 21 | 13 | 0 | 63 | 89% | 11% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 18 of 32 | 56% | 20 | 14 | 0 | 60 | 69% | 28% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 17 of 32 | 53% | 19 | 15 | 0 | 57 | 38% | 43% | 17% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 16 of 32 | 50% | 18 | 16 | 0 | 54 | 10% | 31% | 35% | 19% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 15 of 32 | 47% | 17 | 17 | 0 | 51 | 1% | 5% | 19% | 32% | 27% | 13% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 14 of 32 | 44% | 16 | 18 | 0 | 48 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 18% | 29% | 27% | 14% | 4% | 1% |
| 13 of 32 | 41% | 15 | 19 | 0 | 45 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 26% | 29% | 27% |
| 12 of 32 | 38% | 14 | 20 | 0 | 42 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 87% |
| 10 of 32 | 31% | 12 | 22 | 0 | 36 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 5 of 32 | 16% | 7 | 27 | 0 | 21 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 0 of 32 | 0% | 2 | 32 | 0 | 6 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |