The Most Important Games for the Sounders are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Sounders final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Sounders fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Sounders Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Sounders (7‑8‑3) vs FC Cincinnati (7‑6‑6) |
43 | Sounders Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 54% | ||
| FC Cincinnati Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 61% | ||
| Sounders (7‑8‑3) vs Austin FC (4‑10‑5) |
41 | Sounders Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 48% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 54% | ||
| Austin FC Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 66% | ||
| Sporting KC (4‑13‑2) vs St. Louis City SC (8‑6‑5) |
5 | Sporting KC Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 52% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 54% | ||
| St. Louis City SC Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 54% | ||
| Atlanta United (4‑12‑3) vs Minnesota United (6‑6‑7) |
4 | Atlanta United Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 52% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 54% | ||
| Minnesota United Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 55% | ||
| Orlando City SC (6‑10‑3) vs Real Salt Lake (8‑6‑4) |
4 | Orlando City SC Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 53% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 54% | ||
| Real Salt Lake Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 55% | ||
| LAFC (10‑6‑4) vs Timbers (7‑9‑3) |
4 | LAFC Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 54% | ||
| Timbers Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 56% | ||
| Whitecaps (11‑3‑4) vs Dynamo (10‑6‑2) |
3 | Whitecaps Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 54% | ||
| Dynamo Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 55% | ||
| FC Dallas (8‑5‑6) vs Real Salt Lake (8‑6‑4) |
3 | FC Dallas Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 54% | ||
| Real Salt Lake Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 55% | ||
| LAFC (10‑6‑4) vs Rapids (8‑10‑1) |
2 | LAFC Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 53% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 54% | ||
| Rapids Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 55% | ||
| Rapids (8‑10‑1) vs San Diego FC (6‑7‑6) |
2 | Rapids Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 54% | ||
| San Diego FC Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 55% | ||
| CF Montréal (4‑10‑5) vs Galaxy (5‑8‑7) |
2 | CF Montréal Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 53% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 54% | ||
| Galaxy Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 55% | ||
| Whitecaps (11‑3‑4) vs FC Dallas (8‑5‑6) |
2 | Whitecaps Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 54% | ||
| FC Dallas Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 55% | ||
| Galaxy (5‑8‑7) vs EarthquakesEarthquaks (10‑6‑3) |
1 | Galaxy Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 54% | ||
| EarthquakesEarthquaks Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 54% | ||
| San Diego FC (6‑7‑6) vs Timbers (7‑9‑3) |
1 | San Diego FC Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 54% | ||
| Timbers Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 55% | ||
| Dynamo (10‑6‑2) vs St. Louis City SC (8‑6‑5) |
1 | Dynamo Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 54% | ||
| St. Louis City SC Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 55% | ||
| Union (5‑10‑4) vs Austin FC (4‑10‑5) |
0 | Union Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 54% | ||
| Austin FC Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 54% | ||
| Minnesota United (6‑6‑7) vs EarthquakesEarthquaks (10‑6‑3) |
0 | Minnesota United Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 56% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 54% | ||
| EarthquakesEarthquaks Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 55% | ||
| Sporting KC (4‑13‑2) vs Atlanta United (4‑12‑3) |
0 | Sporting KC Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 54% | ||
| Atlanta United Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 54% | ||