The Most Important Games for the Sounders are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Sounders final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Sounders fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Sounders Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Sounders (7‑4‑3) vs Austin FC (3‑7‑5) |
36 | Sounders Wins | 1% | 4% | 14% | 17% | 17% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 11% | ||
| Austin FC Wins | <1% | 2% | 8% | 13% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 15% | ||
| Sounders (7‑4‑3) vs Union (1‑10‑4) |
31 | Sounders Wins | 1% | 3% | 15% | 17% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 11% | ||
| Union Wins | <1% | 2% | 9% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 14% | ||
| Whitecaps (10‑2‑2) vs Minnesota United (6‑5‑4) |
3 | Whitecaps Wins | <1% | 3% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 11% | ||
| Minnesota United Wins | 1% | 3% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 12% | ||
| D.C. United (4‑5‑6) vs Dynamo (7‑6‑1) |
3 | D.C. United Wins | <1% | 3% | 12% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 11% | ||
| Dynamo Wins | <1% | 3% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 11% | ||
| Sporting KC (3‑10‑2) vs Minnesota United (6‑5‑4) |
3 | Sporting KC Wins | 1% | 3% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 11% | ||
| Minnesota United Wins | 1% | 3% | 12% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 11% | ||
| Orlando City SC (4‑9‑2) vs EarthquakesEarthquaks (10‑3‑2) |
3 | Orlando City SC Wins | 1% | 4% | 11% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 11% | ||
| EarthquakesEarthquaks Wins | <1% | 3% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 11% | ||
| Sporting KC (3‑10‑2) vs LAFC (8‑5‑3) |
3 | Sporting KC Wins | <1% | 3% | 13% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 11% | ||
| LAFC Wins | <1% | 3% | 12% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 11% | ||
| Whitecaps (10‑2‑2) vs FC Cincinnati (5‑5‑5) |
2 | Whitecaps Wins | <1% | 3% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 11% | ||
| FC Cincinnati Wins | 1% | 3% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 12% | ||
| Austin FC (3‑7‑5) vs Dynamo (7‑6‑1) |
2 | Austin FC Wins | 1% | 3% | 12% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 11% | ||
| Dynamo Wins | 1% | 3% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 11% | ||
| Real Salt Lake (8‑4‑2) vs LAFC (8‑5‑3) |
1 | Real Salt Lake Wins | <1% | 3% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 11% | ||
| LAFC Wins | <1% | 3% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 12% | ||
| Real Salt Lake (8‑4‑2) vs Timbers (5‑8‑2) |
1 | Real Salt Lake Wins | 1% | 3% | 11% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 11% | ||
| Timbers Wins | 1% | 3% | 13% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 11% | ||
| Whitecaps (10‑2‑2) vs Fire (8‑4‑2) |
1 | Whitecaps Wins | <1% | 3% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 11% | ||
| Fire Wins | 1% | 3% | 12% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 11% | ||
| Rapids (5‑9‑1) vs St. Louis City SC (5‑6‑4) |
1 | Rapids Wins | <1% | 3% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 11% | ||
| St. Louis City SC Wins | <1% | 3% | 12% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 11% | ||
| EarthquakesEarthquaks (10‑3‑2) vs Galaxy (5‑6‑5) |
1 | EarthquakesEarthquaks Wins | <1% | 3% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 11% | ||
| Galaxy Wins | 1% | 4% | 11% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 11% | ||
| San Diego FC (4‑6‑5) vs FC Dallas (7‑4‑4) |
0 | San Diego FC Wins | 1% | 3% | 12% | 15% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 11% | ||
| FC Dallas Wins | 1% | 3% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 11% | ||
| Galaxy (5‑6‑5) vs St. Louis City SC (5‑6‑4) |
0 | Galaxy Wins | <1% | 3% | 12% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 11% | ||
| St. Louis City SC Wins | 1% | 3% | 12% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 12% | ||
| Timbers (5‑8‑2) vs FC Dallas (7‑4‑4) |
0 | Timbers Wins | <1% | 3% | 13% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 11% | ||
| FC Dallas Wins | <1% | 3% | 11% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 11% | ||
| Rapids (5‑9‑1) vs San Diego FC (4‑6‑5) |
0 | Rapids Wins | 1% | 3% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 11% | ||
| San Diego FC Wins | <1% | 3% | 12% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 10% | ||