The Sounders What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Sounders play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 44% |
Current Standings | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 50% |
Lose Next Game | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 52% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 44% |
Current Standings | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 50% |
Worst Case Scenario | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 54% |
Best Case Scenario Sporting KC beats St. Louis City SC Sounders beats San Diego FC NY City FC beats Minnesota United |
Worst Case Scenario St. Louis City SC beats Sporting KC San Diego FC beats Sounders Minnesota United beats NY City FC |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
28 of 28 | 100% | 29 | 2 | 3 | 90 | >99% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
25 of 28 | 89% | 26 | 5 | 3 | 81 | 94% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
24 of 28 | 86% | 25 | 6 | 3 | 78 | 86% | 14% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
23 of 28 | 82% | 24 | 7 | 3 | 75 | 73% | 25% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
22 of 28 | 79% | 23 | 8 | 3 | 72 | 53% | 39% | 8% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
21 of 28 | 75% | 22 | 9 | 3 | 69 | 33% | 45% | 19% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
20 of 28 | 71% | 21 | 10 | 3 | 66 | 15% | 39% | 33% | 11% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
19 of 28 | 68% | 20 | 11 | 3 | 63 | 5% | 24% | 38% | 25% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
18 of 28 | 64% | 19 | 12 | 3 | 60 | 1% | 10% | 27% | 35% | 20% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
17 of 28 | 61% | 18 | 13 | 3 | 57 | <1% | 2% | 13% | 29% | 33% | 17% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
16 of 28 | 57% | 17 | 14 | 3 | 54 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 13% | 30% | 32% | 17% | 4% | <1% | <1% |
15 of 28 | 54% | 16 | 15 | 3 | 51 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 14% | 31% | 32% | 16% | 3% | <1% |
14 of 28 | 50% | 15 | 16 | 3 | 48 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 15% | 32% | 32% | 14% | 3% |
13 of 28 | 46% | 14 | 17 | 3 | 45 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 16% | 34% | 32% | 14% |
12 of 28 | 43% | 13 | 18 | 3 | 42 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 19% | 36% | 41% |
11 of 28 | 39% | 12 | 19 | 3 | 39 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 21% | 73% |
10 of 28 | 36% | 11 | 20 | 3 | 36 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 93% |
5 of 28 | 18% | 6 | 25 | 3 | 21 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |
0 of 28 | 0% | 1 | 30 | 3 | 6 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |