The Most Important Games for the Union are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Union final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Union fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Union Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Union (1‑6) vs D.C. United (2‑4‑1) |
21 | Union Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 64% | ||
| D.C. United Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 71% | ||
| Rapids (4‑3) vs Inter Miami CF (3‑1‑3) |
2 | Rapids Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 64% | ||
| Inter Miami CF Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 65% | ||
| Austin FC (1‑3‑3) vs Toronto FC (3‑2‑2) |
2 | Austin FC Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 64% | ||
| Toronto FC Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 64% | ||
| Nashville SC (5‑1‑1) vs Atlanta United (1‑5‑1) |
1 | Nashville SC Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 64% | ||
| Atlanta United Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 65% | ||
| Fire (4‑2‑1) vs FC Cincinnati (2‑4‑1) |
1 | Fire Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 64% | ||
| FC Cincinnati Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 65% | ||
| CF Montréal (1‑6) vs Red Bull (3‑2‑2) |
1 | CF Montréal Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 64% | ||
| Red Bull Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 65% | ||
| Revolution (3‑3) vs Crew (1‑3‑3) |
1 | Revolution Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 64% | ||
| Crew Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 66% | ||
| Charlotte FC (3‑2‑2) vs NY City FC (3‑2‑2) |
0 | Charlotte FC Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 64% | ||
| NY City FC Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 64% | ||
| Dynamo (2‑4) vs Orlando City SC (1‑5‑1) |
0 | Dynamo Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 64% | ||
| Orlando City SC Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 65% | ||