The Most Important Games for the Union are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Union final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Union fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Union Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Union (4‑1) vs Inter Miami CF (3‑0‑1) |
13 | Union Wins | 31% | 20% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 26% | 19% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 4% | ||
| Inter Miami CF Wins | 21% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 4% | ||
| Rapids (2‑1‑2) vs Charlotte FC (3‑1‑1) |
3 | Rapids Wins | 27% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 26% | 19% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 4% | ||
| Charlotte FC Wins | 26% | 19% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 4% | ||
| Toronto FC (0‑4‑1) vs Whitecaps (4‑1) |
3 | Toronto FC Wins | 27% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 26% | 19% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 4% | ||
| Whitecaps Wins | 27% | 18% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 4% | ||
| Crew (2‑0‑3) vs D.C. United (1‑1‑3) |
1 | Crew Wins | 27% | 19% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 26% | 19% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 4% | ||
| D.C. United Wins | 26% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 4% | ||
| FC Cincinnati (2‑2‑1) vs Nashville SC (3‑1‑1) |
1 | FC Cincinnati Wins | 26% | 19% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 26% | 19% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 4% | ||
| Nashville SC Wins | 26% | 19% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 4% | ||
| Red Bulls (2‑1‑2) vs Revolution (0‑3‑1) |
1 | Red Bulls Wins | 27% | 19% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 26% | 19% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 4% | ||
| Revolution Wins | 26% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 4% | ||
| CF Montréal (0‑4‑1) vs Fire (3‑1‑1) |
0 | CF Montréal Wins | 27% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 26% | 19% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 4% | ||
| Fire Wins | 26% | 20% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 4% | ||
| Atlanta United (1‑2‑2) vs NY City FC (2‑1‑2) |
0 | Atlanta United Wins | 27% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 26% | 19% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 4% | ||
| NY City FC Wins | 27% | 19% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 4% | ||
| Orlando City SC (2‑2‑1) vs Galaxy (0‑3‑2) |
0 | Orlando City SC Wins | 26% | 20% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 26% | 19% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 4% | ||
| Galaxy Wins | 26% | 20% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 4% | ||