The Most Important Games for the Union are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Union final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Union fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Union Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Union (13‑12‑8) vs Toronto FC (9‑12‑12) |
17 | Union Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 87% | 12% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Toronto FC Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 57% | 37% | 6% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Nashville SC (22‑3‑8) vs FC Cincinnati (12‑11‑10) |
14 | Nashville SC Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 94% | 6% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 87% | 12% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| FC Cincinnati Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 60% | 35% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Fire (16‑10‑7) vs Crew (13‑15‑5) |
9 | Fire Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 91% | 9% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 87% | 12% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Crew Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 75% | 21% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ||
| CF Montréal (6‑19‑8) vs Whitecaps (18‑8‑7) |
0 | CF Montréal Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 87% | 12% | 1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 87% | 12% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Whitecaps Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 87% | 12% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| D.C. United (7‑14‑12) vs NY City FC (9‑12‑12) |
0 | D.C. United Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 87% | 12% | 1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 87% | 12% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| NY City FC Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 87% | 12% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Inter Miami CF (16‑6‑11) vs Charlotte FC (15‑10‑8) |
0 | Inter Miami CF Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 87% | 12% | 1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 87% | 12% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Charlotte FC Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 87% | 12% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Orlando City SC (12‑14‑7) vs Revolution (18‑11‑4) |
0 | Orlando City SC Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 87% | 12% | 1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 87% | 12% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Revolution Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 87% | 12% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Red Bull (11‑16‑6) vs Atlanta United (9‑18‑6) |
0 | Red Bull Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 87% | 12% | 1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 87% | 12% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Atlanta United Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 87% | 12% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ||