The Most Important Games for the Union are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Union final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Union fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Union Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Union (10‑10‑6) vs Orlando City SC (10‑12‑4) |
59 | Union Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 22% | 33% | 18% | 10% | 5% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 19% | 29% | 19% | 12% | 7% | 7% | ||
| Orlando City SC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 22% | 21% | 17% | 12% | 15% | ||
| Atlanta United (7‑14‑5) vs NY City FC (8‑10‑8) |
8 | Atlanta United Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 20% | 31% | 18% | 11% | 7% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 19% | 29% | 19% | 12% | 7% | 7% | ||
| NY City FC Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 18% | 27% | 20% | 13% | 8% | 7% | ||
| CF Montréal (5‑15‑6) vs FC Cincinnati (8‑8‑9) |
6 | CF Montréal Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 19% | 31% | 19% | 11% | 6% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 19% | 29% | 19% | 12% | 7% | 7% | ||
| FC Cincinnati Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 18% | 28% | 19% | 13% | 8% | 7% | ||
| Whitecaps (15‑6‑4) vs D.C. United (6‑8‑11) |
5 | Whitecaps Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 19% | 29% | 19% | 12% | 8% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 19% | 29% | 19% | 12% | 7% | 7% | ||
| D.C. United Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 18% | 27% | 19% | 12% | 8% | 8% | ||
| St. Louis City SC (12‑6‑8) vs Red Bull (9‑11‑6) |
5 | St. Louis City SC Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 19% | 30% | 19% | 12% | 7% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 19% | 29% | 19% | 12% | 7% | 7% | ||
| Red Bull Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 19% | 28% | 19% | 12% | 8% | 8% | ||
| Nashville SC (17‑3‑6) vs Toronto FC (6‑9‑11) |
3 | Nashville SC Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 19% | 29% | 19% | 12% | 7% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 19% | 29% | 19% | 12% | 7% | 7% | ||
| Toronto FC Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 19% | 28% | 19% | 12% | 8% | 8% | ||
| Real Salt Lake (8‑12‑5) vs Revolution (14‑7‑4) |
1 | Real Salt Lake Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 19% | 29% | 19% | 12% | 7% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 19% | 29% | 19% | 12% | 7% | 7% | ||
| Revolution Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 19% | 29% | 19% | 13% | 7% | 7% | ||
| Charlotte FC (12‑7‑7) vs Fire (11‑8‑6) |
1 | Charlotte FC Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 21% | 28% | 18% | 12% | 7% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 19% | 29% | 19% | 12% | 7% | 7% | ||
| Fire Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 14% | 31% | 20% | 12% | 7% | 7% | ||
| Crew (7‑14‑5) vs Inter Miami CF (12‑4‑10) |
0 | Crew Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 18% | 29% | 19% | 12% | 7% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 19% | 29% | 19% | 12% | 7% | 7% | ||
| Inter Miami CF Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 19% | 29% | 20% | 12% | 7% | 7% | ||