The Most Important Games for the Union are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Union final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Union fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Union Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Union (5‑10‑6) vs Red Bull (7‑9‑5) |
31 | Union Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 63% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 74% | ||
| Red Bull Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 82% | ||
| LAFC (10‑7‑5) vs D.C. United (5‑7‑9) |
5 | LAFC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 11% | 72% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 74% | ||
| D.C. United Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 75% | ||
| Minnesota United (7‑7‑7) vs Orlando City SC (7‑11‑3) |
4 | Minnesota United Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 74% | ||
| Orlando City SC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 76% | ||
| Nashville SC (15‑2‑4) vs FC Cincinnati (8‑6‑7) |
3 | Nashville SC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 74% | ||
| FC Cincinnati Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 75% | ||
| Revolution (10‑6‑4) vs Crew (5‑11‑5) |
2 | Revolution Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 74% | ||
| Crew Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 75% | ||
| Sounders (7‑9‑4) vs Fire (11‑6‑3) |
2 | Sounders Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 74% | ||
| Fire Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 74% | ||
| Inter Miami CF (11‑4‑6) vs CF Montréal (5‑10‑6) |
1 | Inter Miami CF Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 74% | ||
| CF Montréal Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 74% | ||
| Charlotte FC (9‑7‑5) vs Atlanta United (6‑12‑3) |
1 | Charlotte FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 74% | ||
| Atlanta United Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 74% | ||
| NY City FC (7‑8‑6) vs Toronto FC (5‑7‑9) |
0 | NY City FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 74% | ||
| Toronto FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 74% | ||