The Most Important Games for the Union are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Union final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Union fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Union Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Union (4‑3‑1) vs Atlanta United (2‑3‑3) |
24 | Union Wins | 15% | 15% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 9% | ||
| Atlanta United Wins | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 11% | ||
| CF Montréal (0‑6‑2) vs Orlando City SC (3‑2‑3) |
4 | CF Montréal Wins | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 9% | ||
| Orlando City SC Wins | 14% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 9% | ||
| D.C. United (1‑4‑3) vs Red Bulls (3‑2‑3) |
3 | D.C. United Wins | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 9% | ||
| Red Bulls Wins | 14% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 9% | ||
| San Diego FC (4‑2‑2) vs Charlotte FC (5‑2‑1) |
3 | San Diego FC Wins | 15% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 9% | ||
| Charlotte FC Wins | 14% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 9% | ||
| Sounders (2‑3‑3) vs Nashville SC (4‑3‑1) |
2 | Sounders Wins | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 9% | ||
| Nashville SC Wins | 14% | 14% | 14% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 9% | ||
| Real Salt Lake (3‑5) vs Toronto FC (0‑4‑4) |
2 | Real Salt Lake Wins | 14% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 9% | ||
| Toronto FC Wins | 14% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 9% | ||
| FC Cincinnati (5‑2‑1) vs Fire (3‑2‑3) |
1 | FC Cincinnati Wins | 14% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 9% | ||
| Fire Wins | 14% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 9% | ||
| Inter Miami CF (4‑0‑3) vs Crew (5‑0‑3) |
1 | Inter Miami CF Wins | 13% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 9% | ||
| Crew Wins | 14% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 9% | ||
| NY City FC (3‑3‑2) vs Revolution (2‑4‑1) |
0 | NY City FC Wins | 14% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 9% | ||
| Revolution Wins | 15% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 9% | ||