The Most Important Games for the Union are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Union final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Union fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Union Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Union (13‑5‑4) vs CF Montréal (3‑13‑6) |
16 | Union Wins | 39% | 32% | 17% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 36% | 31% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| CF Montréal Wins | 22% | 29% | 23% | 14% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Union (13‑5‑4) vs Dynamo (7‑10‑5) |
15 | Union Wins | 44% | 31% | 15% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 36% | 31% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Dynamo Wins | 26% | 31% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Toronto FC (4‑11‑6) vs Nashville SC (12‑5‑5) |
3 | Toronto FC Wins | 39% | 32% | 16% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 36% | 31% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Nashville SC Wins | 35% | 31% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Red Bulls (8‑8‑6) vs Inter Miami CF (11‑3‑5) |
3 | Red Bulls Wins | 40% | 28% | 16% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 36% | 31% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Inter Miami CF Wins | 32% | 34% | 18% | 10% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Real Salt Lake (7‑10‑4) vs FC Cincinnati (13‑6‑3) |
3 | Real Salt Lake Wins | 37% | 32% | 17% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 36% | 31% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| FC Cincinnati Wins | 35% | 30% | 18% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| D.C. United (4‑11‑7) vs Crew (11‑3‑8) |
2 | D.C. United Wins | 37% | 33% | 17% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 36% | 31% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Crew Wins | 36% | 30% | 17% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| FC Cincinnati (13‑6‑3) vs Inter Miami CF (11‑3‑5) |
1 | FC Cincinnati Wins | 40% | 27% | 17% | 9% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 36% | 31% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Inter Miami CF Wins | 33% | 34% | 19% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Revolution (6‑8‑7) vs Red Bulls (8‑8‑6) |
1 | Revolution Wins | 36% | 31% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 36% | 31% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Red Bulls Wins | 36% | 31% | 18% | 9% | 5% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| NY City FC (9‑8‑4) vs Orlando City SC (9‑5‑8) |
1 | NY City FC Wins | 36% | 31% | 17% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 36% | 31% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Orlando City SC Wins | 36% | 30% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Atlanta United (4‑10‑7) vs Charlotte FC (9‑11‑2) |
0 | Atlanta United Wins | 36% | 31% | 17% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 36% | 31% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Charlotte FC Wins | 36% | 31% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| San Diego FC (13‑6‑3) vs Toronto FC (4‑11‑6) |
0 | San Diego FC Wins | 37% | 30% | 17% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 36% | 31% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Toronto FC Wins | 36% | 31% | 17% | 9% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Sporting KC (6‑11‑5) vs NY City FC (9‑8‑4) |
0 | Sporting KC Wins | 36% | 31% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 36% | 31% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| NY City FC Wins | 36% | 31% | 17% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Crew (11‑3‑8) vs Nashville SC (12‑5‑5) |
0 | Crew Wins | 37% | 30% | 17% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 36% | 31% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Nashville SC Wins | 36% | 32% | 17% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Revolution (6‑8‑7) vs Orlando City SC (9‑5‑8) |
0 | Revolution Wins | 36% | 31% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 36% | 31% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Orlando City SC Wins | 36% | 31% | 17% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| CF Montréal (3‑13‑6) vs Fire (8‑9‑4) |
0 | CF Montréal Wins | 36% | 31% | 17% | 9% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 36% | 31% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Fire Wins | 36% | 31% | 17% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Fire (8‑9‑4) vs Atlanta United (4‑10‑7) |
0 | Fire Wins | 36% | 32% | 17% | 9% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 36% | 31% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Atlanta United Wins | 36% | 31% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Charlotte FC (9‑11‑2) vs D.C. United (4‑11‑7) |
0 | Charlotte FC Wins | 36% | 31% | 17% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 36% | 31% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| D.C. United Wins | 36% | 31% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||