The Whitecaps What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Whitecaps play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Win Next Game | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 42% | 19% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Standings | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 41% | 19% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 2% |
| Lose Next Game | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 34% | 20% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 42% | 19% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Standings | 41% | 19% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 2% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 34% | 20% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
|
Best Case Scenario Whitecaps beats Timbers |
Worst Case Scenario Timbers beats Whitecaps |
|||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
| 29 of 29 | 100% | 33 | 1 | 0 | 99 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 25 of 29 | 86% | 29 | 5 | 0 | 87 | 94% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 24 of 29 | 83% | 28 | 6 | 0 | 84 | 85% | 15% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 23 of 29 | 79% | 27 | 7 | 0 | 81 | 69% | 29% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 22 of 29 | 76% | 26 | 8 | 0 | 78 | 48% | 42% | 9% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 21 of 29 | 72% | 25 | 9 | 0 | 75 | 28% | 47% | 22% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 20 of 29 | 69% | 24 | 10 | 0 | 72 | 12% | 38% | 36% | 12% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 19 of 29 | 66% | 23 | 11 | 0 | 69 | 4% | 22% | 39% | 27% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 18 of 29 | 62% | 22 | 12 | 0 | 66 | 1% | 9% | 28% | 36% | 21% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 17 of 29 | 59% | 21 | 13 | 0 | 63 | <1% | 2% | 13% | 31% | 34% | 16% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 16 of 29 | 55% | 20 | 14 | 0 | 60 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 17% | 34% | 31% | 13% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| 15 of 29 | 52% | 19 | 15 | 0 | 57 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 20% | 36% | 28% | 9% | 1% | <1% |
| 14 of 29 | 48% | 18 | 16 | 0 | 54 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 24% | 38% | 24% | 6% | 1% |
| 13 of 29 | 45% | 17 | 17 | 0 | 51 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 29% | 38% | 20% | 4% |
| 12 of 29 | 41% | 16 | 18 | 0 | 48 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 34% | 36% | 16% |
| 11 of 29 | 38% | 15 | 19 | 0 | 45 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 17% | 38% | 42% |
| 10 of 29 | 34% | 14 | 20 | 0 | 42 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 22% | 72% |
| 9 of 29 | 31% | 13 | 21 | 0 | 39 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 91% |
| 5 of 29 | 17% | 9 | 25 | 0 | 27 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 0 of 29 | 0% | 4 | 30 | 0 | 12 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |