PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Mar 22 10:45 pm

MLS - Week 7 of 38

Whitecaps What If?

The Whitecaps What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Whitecaps play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Whitecaps What If?

Next Game - Timbers (1‑3‑1)

  Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
Win Next Game 5 1 0 15 42% 19% 12% 8% 6% 4% 3% 2% 1% 2%
Current Standings 4 1 0 12 41% 19% 12% 8% 6% 4% 3% 2% 1% 2%
Lose Next Game 4 2 0 12 34% 20% 13% 10% 7% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
Best Case Scenario 42% 19% 12% 8% 6% 4% 3% 2% 1% 2%
Current Standings 41% 19% 12% 8% 6% 4% 3% 2% 1% 2%
Worst Case Scenario 34% 20% 13% 10% 7% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2%
Best Case Scenario
   Whitecaps beats Timbers
Worst Case Scenario
   Timbers beats Whitecaps
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
29 of 29 100% 33 1 0 99 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 29 86% 29 5 0 87 94% 6% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 29 83% 28 6 0 84 85% 15% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 29 79% 27 7 0 81 69% 29% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
22 of 29 76% 26 8 0 78 48% 42% 9% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
21 of 29 72% 25 9 0 75 28% 47% 22% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
20 of 29 69% 24 10 0 72 12% 38% 36% 12% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
19 of 29 66% 23 11 0 69 4% 22% 39% 27% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
18 of 29 62% 22 12 0 66 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1%
17 of 29 59% 21 13 0 63 <1% 2% 13% 31% 34% 16% 3% <1% <1% <1%
16 of 29 55% 20 14 0 60 <1% <1% 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% <1% <1%
15 of 29 52% 19 15 0 57 <1% <1% <1% 5% 20% 36% 28% 9% 1% <1%
14 of 29 48% 18 16 0 54 <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 24% 38% 24% 6% 1%
13 of 29 45% 17 17 0 51 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 4%
12 of 29 41% 16 18 0 48 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 34% 36% 16%
11 of 29 38% 15 19 0 45 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 17% 38% 42%
10 of 29 34% 14 20 0 42 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 22% 72%
9 of 29 31% 13 21 0 39 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 91%
5 of 29 17% 9 25 0 27 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 29 0% 4 30 0 12 X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes first round bye and second round home field advantage in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home bye in the playoffs
  • *** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs