The Whitecaps What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Whitecaps play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 9 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 69% | 16% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Standings | 8 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 65% | 17% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
Lose Next Game | 8 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 57% | 19% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | 69% | 16% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Standings | 65% | 17% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
Worst Case Scenario | 57% | 19% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
Best Case Scenario Whitecaps beats LAFC |
Worst Case Scenario LAFC beats Whitecaps |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
23 of 23 | 100% | 31 | 1 | 2 | 95 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
20 of 23 | 87% | 28 | 4 | 2 | 86 | >99% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
15 of 23 | 65% | 23 | 9 | 2 | 71 | 87% | 12% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
14 of 23 | 61% | 22 | 10 | 2 | 68 | 71% | 27% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
13 of 23 | 57% | 21 | 11 | 2 | 65 | 46% | 42% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
12 of 23 | 52% | 20 | 12 | 2 | 62 | 22% | 44% | 27% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
11 of 23 | 48% | 19 | 13 | 2 | 59 | 7% | 28% | 39% | 21% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
10 of 23 | 43% | 18 | 14 | 2 | 56 | 1% | 8% | 27% | 36% | 21% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
9 of 23 | 39% | 17 | 15 | 2 | 53 | <1% | 1% | 8% | 24% | 35% | 24% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
8 of 23 | 35% | 16 | 16 | 2 | 50 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 20% | 34% | 28% | 11% | 2% | <1% |
7 of 23 | 30% | 15 | 17 | 2 | 47 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 14% | 31% | 32% | 16% | 4% |
6 of 23 | 26% | 14 | 18 | 2 | 44 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 27% | 35% | 26% |
5 of 23 | 22% | 13 | 19 | 2 | 41 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 23% | 70% |
4 of 23 | 17% | 12 | 20 | 2 | 38 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 95% |
0 of 23 | 0% | 8 | 24 | 2 | 26 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |