PlayoffStatus.com↓≡

Home ►MLS►Western Playoff Picture►Whitecaps Playoff Picture►Whitecaps What If?
Sun Mar 9 11:15 pm

MLS - Week 4 of 35

Whitecaps What If?

The Whitecaps What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Whitecaps play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Whitecaps What If?

Next Game - FC Dallas (1‑1‑1)

  Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 5**
First Round Bye
 6**
First Round Bye
 7**
First Round Bye
 8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 9 10
Win Next Game 4 0 0 12 23% 16% 11% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 11%
Current Standings 3 0 0 9 17% 13% 11% 9% 8% 7% 6% 6% 5% 18%
Lose Next Game 3 1 0 9 13% 11% 10% 9% 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 22%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 5**
First Round Bye
 6**
First Round Bye
 7**
First Round Bye
 8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 9 10
Best Case Scenario 23% 16% 11% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 11%
Current Standings 17% 13% 11% 9% 8% 7% 6% 6% 5% 18%
Worst Case Scenario 13% 11% 10% 9% 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 22%
Best Case Scenario
   Whitecaps beats FC Dallas
 Worst Case Scenario
   FC Dallas beats Whitecaps
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 5**
First Round Bye
 6**
First Round Bye
 7**
First Round Bye
 8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 9 10
31 of 31 100% 34 0 0 102 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
30 of 31 97% 33 1 0 99 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 31 81% 28 6 0 84 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
20 of 31 65% 23 11 0 69 99% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
18 of 31 58% 21 13 0 63 86% 14% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
17 of 31 55% 20 14 0 60 63% 31% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
16 of 31 52% 19 15 0 57 31% 43% 21% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
15 of 31 48% 18 16 0 54 6% 24% 36% 24% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
14 of 31 45% 17 17 0 51 <1% 3% 13% 28% 30% 18% 6% 1% <1% <1%
13 of 31 42% 16 18 0 48 <1% <1% <1% 3% 12% 25% 30% 20% 8% 2%
12 of 31 39% 15 19 0 45 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 8% 21% 30% 40%
11 of 31 35% 14 20 0 42 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 93%
10 of 31 32% 13 21 0 39 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
5 of 31 16% 8 26 0 24 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 31 0% 3 31 0 9 X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes first round bye and second round home field advantage in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home bye in the playoffs
  • *** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs