The Whitecaps What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Whitecaps play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 10 | 1 | 5 | 35 | 64% | 19% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Standings | 9 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 59% | 20% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Lose Next Game | 9 | 2 | 5 | 32 | 50% | 22% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | 64% | 19% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Standings | 59% | 20% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Worst Case Scenario | 50% | 22% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
Best Case Scenario Whitecaps beats Timbers |
Worst Case Scenario Timbers beats Whitecaps |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
19 of 19 | 100% | 28 | 1 | 5 | 89 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
18 of 19 | 95% | 27 | 2 | 5 | 86 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
17 of 19 | 89% | 26 | 3 | 5 | 83 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
16 of 19 | 84% | 25 | 4 | 5 | 80 | >99% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
15 of 19 | 79% | 24 | 5 | 5 | 77 | >99% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
14 of 19 | 74% | 23 | 6 | 5 | 74 | 99% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
13 of 19 | 68% | 22 | 7 | 5 | 71 | 95% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
12 of 19 | 63% | 21 | 8 | 5 | 68 | 85% | 15% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
11 of 19 | 58% | 20 | 9 | 5 | 65 | 63% | 33% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
10 of 19 | 53% | 19 | 10 | 5 | 62 | 35% | 47% | 15% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
9 of 19 | 47% | 18 | 11 | 5 | 59 | 12% | 39% | 36% | 12% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
8 of 19 | 42% | 17 | 12 | 5 | 56 | 2% | 15% | 35% | 33% | 13% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
7 of 19 | 37% | 16 | 13 | 5 | 53 | <1% | 2% | 11% | 31% | 36% | 17% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
6 of 19 | 32% | 15 | 14 | 5 | 50 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 26% | 37% | 23% | 6% | 1% | <1% |
5 of 19 | 26% | 14 | 15 | 5 | 47 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 18% | 36% | 29% | 11% | 2% |
4 of 19 | 21% | 13 | 16 | 5 | 44 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 30% | 35% | 22% |
3 of 19 | 16% | 12 | 17 | 5 | 41 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 23% | 70% |
2 of 19 | 11% | 11 | 18 | 5 | 38 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 96% |
1 of 19 | 5% | 10 | 19 | 5 | 35 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
0 of 19 | 0% | 9 | 20 | 5 | 32 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |