The Most Important Games for the Boise St. Broncos are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Broncos final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Boise St. Broncos fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Boise St. Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Boise St. (8‑3) vs Nevada (7‑3) |
10 | Boise St. Wins | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 7% | ||
| Nevada Wins | 4% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | ||
| San José State (5‑6) vs New Mexico (8‑2) |
1 | San José State Wins | 9% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 7% | ||
| New Mexico Wins | 4% | 2% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 8% | ||
| UNLV (4‑6) vs Fresno St. (6‑4) |
1 | UNLV Wins | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 7% | ||
| Fresno St. Wins | 4% | 2% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 8% | ||
| Air Force (3‑8) vs San Diego St. (5‑3) |
1 | Air Force Wins | 9% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 7% | ||
| San Diego St. Wins | 4% | 2% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | ||
| Grand Canyon (6‑3) vs Wyoming (8‑2) |
0 | Grand Canyon Wins | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 7% | ||
| Wyoming Wins | 4% | 2% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | ||
| Colorado St. (8‑2) vs Utah St. (9‑1) |
0 | Colorado St. Wins | 9% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 7% | ||
| Utah St. Wins | 4% | 2% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | ||