The Air Force Falcons What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Air Force plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |
| Win Next Game | 2 | 4 | X | X | X | X | 5% | 5% | 14% | 13% | 16% | 6% | 41% | ^ |
| Current Standings | 1 | 4 | X | X | X | X | 3% | 2% | 7% | 6% | 12% | 7% | 27% | 35% |
| Lose Next Game | 1 | 5 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 11% | 9% | 21% | 59% |
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |
| Current Standings | X | X | X | X | 3% | 2% | 7% | 6% | 12% | 7% | 27% | 35% |
|
Best Case Scenario None |
Worst Case Scenario None |
|||||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | ||
| 2 of 2 | 100% | 3 | 4 | X | X | X | X | 13% | 10% | 33% | 27% | 15% | 2% | <1% | ^ |
| 1 of 2 | 50% | 2 | 5 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 19% | 14% | 62% | 5% |
| 0 of 2 | 0% | 1 | 6 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |