Are the Air Force Falcons going to play in the Conference Championship game? The Air Force standings table presents the probabilities of the teams different finishings including qualifing to play in the conference championship game. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 8 game season |
1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
| Fresno State | 2i Fresno State Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 06 @ Oregon St. 36-27 Won Sat, Sep 13 vs Southern 56-7 Won Sat, Sep 20 @ Hawaii 23-21 Won Sat, Oct 04 vs Nevada 20-17 Fri, Oct 10 @ Colorado St. Sat, Oct 25 vs San Diego State Sat, Nov 01 @ Boise State Sat, Nov 15 vs Wyoming |
0 | 2 | 25% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| UNLV | 1 UNLV Recent Games Won Fri, Aug 29 @ Sam Houston 38-21 Won Sat, Sep 06 vs UCLA 30-23 Won Sat, Sep 20 @ Miami OH 41-38 Won Sat, Oct 04 @ Wyoming 31-17 Sat, Oct 11 vs Air Force Sat, Oct 18 @ Boise State Sat, Nov 01 vs New Mexico Sat, Nov 08 @ Colorado St. |
0 | 1 | 28% | 22% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| San Diego State | 1 San Diego State Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 06 @ Wash. St. 13-36 Won Sat, Sep 20 vs California 34-0 Won Sat, Sep 27 @ N. Illinois 6-3 Won Fri, Oct 03 vs Colorado St. 45-24 Sat, Oct 11 @ Nevada Sat, Oct 25 @ Fresno State Sat, Nov 01 vs Wyoming Sat, Nov 08 @ Hawaii |
0 | 1 | 15% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | <1% |
| Boise State | 1 Boise State Recent Games Won Fri, Sep 05 vs Eastern Washington 51-14 Won Sat, Sep 20 @ Air Force 49-37 Won Sat, Sep 27 vs App. St. 47-14 Lost Sat, Oct 04 @ Notre Dame 7-28 Sat, Oct 11 vs New Mexico Sat, Oct 18 vs UNLV Fri, Oct 24 @ Nevada Sat, Nov 01 vs Fresno State |
0 | 1 | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% |
| Utah St. | 1 Utah St. Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 06 @ Texas A&M 22-44 Won Sat, Sep 13 vs Air Force 49-30 Won Sat, Sep 20 vs McNeese 48-7 Lost Sat, Sep 27 @ Vanderbilt 35-55 Sat, Oct 11 @ Hawaii Fri, Oct 17 vs San José State Sat, Oct 25 @ New Mexico Sat, Nov 08 vs Nevada |
0 | 1 | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% |
| San José State | 1 San José State Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 06 @ Texas 7-38 Won Sat, Sep 20 vs Idaho 31-28 Lost Sat, Sep 27 @ Stanford 29-30 Won Fri, Oct 03 vs New Mexico 35-28 Sat, Oct 11 @ Wyoming Fri, Oct 17 @ Utah St. Sat, Nov 01 vs Hawaii Sat, Nov 08 vs Air Force |
0 | 1 | 4% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 5% |
| Hawaii | 1 Hawaii Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 06 vs Sam Houston 37-20 Won Sat, Sep 13 vs Portland State 23-3 Lost Sat, Sep 20 vs Fresno State 21-23 Won Sat, Sep 27 @ Air Force 44-35 Sat, Oct 11 vs Utah St. Sat, Oct 18 @ Colorado St. Sat, Nov 01 @ San José State Sat, Nov 08 vs San Diego State |
1 | 2 | 4% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 1% |
| New Mexico | 0 New Mexico Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 06 vs Idaho State 32-22 Won Fri, Sep 12 @ UCLA 35-10 Won Sat, Sep 27 vs New Mexico St. 38-20 Lost Fri, Oct 03 @ San José State 28-35 Sat, Oct 11 @ Boise State Sat, Oct 18 vs Nevada Sat, Oct 25 vs Utah St. Sat, Nov 01 @ UNLV |
1 | 1 | 4% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% |
| Wyoming | 0 Wyoming Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 06 vs Northern Iowa 31-7 Lost Sat, Sep 13 vs Utah 6-31 Lost Sat, Sep 20 @ Colorado 20-37 Lost Sat, Oct 04 vs UNLV 17-31 Sat, Oct 11 vs San José State Sat, Oct 18 @ Air Force Sat, Oct 25 vs Colorado St. Sat, Nov 01 @ San Diego State |
1 | 1 | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% |
| Colorado St. | 0 Colorado St. Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 06 vs Northern Colorado 21-17 Lost Sat, Sep 20 vs UTSA 16-17 Lost Sat, Sep 27 vs Wash. St. 3-20 Lost Fri, Oct 03 @ San Diego State 24-45 Fri, Oct 10 vs Fresno State Sat, Oct 18 vs Hawaii Sat, Oct 25 @ Wyoming Sat, Nov 08 vs UNLV |
1 | 1 | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 16% | 18% | 24% |
| Nevada | 0 Nevada Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 06 vs Sacramento State 20-17 Lost Sat, Sep 13 vs Middle Tenn. St. 13-14 Lost Sat, Sep 20 @ W. Kentucky 16-31 Lost Sat, Oct 04 @ Fresno State 17-20 Sat, Oct 11 vs San Diego State Sat, Oct 18 @ New Mexico Fri, Oct 24 vs Boise State Sat, Nov 08 @ Utah St. |
1 | 1 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 15% | 22% | 25% |
| Air Force | 0 Air Force Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 13 @ Utah St. 30-49 Lost Sat, Sep 20 vs Boise State 37-49 Lost Sat, Sep 27 vs Hawaii 35-44 Lost Sat, Oct 04 @ Navy 31-34 Sat, Oct 11 @ UNLV Sat, Oct 18 vs Wyoming Sat, Nov 01 vs Black Knights Sat, Nov 08 @ San José State |
3 | 3 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 18% | 22% | 28% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| (3)San Diego State | 1 | 0 | <1% |
| (4)Boise State | 1 | 0 | <1% |
| (1)Fresno State | 2 | 0 | <1% |
| (2)UNLV | 1 | 0 | <1% |
| (6)San José State | 1 | 0 | <1% |
| (7)Hawaii | 1 | 1 | <1% |
| (8)New Mexico | 0 | 1 | <1% |
| (9)Wyoming | 0 | 1 | <1% |
| (10)Colorado St. | 0 | 1 | <1% |
| (11)Nevada | 0 | 1 | <1% |
| (5)Utah St. | 1 | 0 | <1% |
| Elimination | >99% | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Utah St. (3‑2) |
30‑49 | Away | Sat Sep 13, 9:45 pm |
| 4 | Boise State (3‑2) |
37‑49 | Home | Sat Sep 20, 7:00 pm |
| 5 | Hawaii (4‑2) |
35‑44 | Home | Sat Sep 27, 4:10 pm |
| 7 | UNLV (5‑0) |
Away | Sat Oct 11, 3:30 pm | |
| 8 | Wyoming (2‑3) |
Home | Sat Oct 18, 3:30 pm | |
| 11 | San José State (2‑3) |
Away | Sat Nov 8, TBD | |
| 13 | New Mexico (3‑2) |
Home | Sat Nov 22, 7:00 pm | |
| 14 | Colorado St. (1‑4) |
Away | Fri Nov 28, TBD |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bucknell | ‑‑ | 49‑13 | Home | Sat Aug 30, 3:30 pm |
| 6 | Navy (5‑0) |
American AthleticAm. Athletic | 31‑34 | Away | Sat Oct 4, 12:00 pm |
| 10 | Black Knights (2‑3) |
American AthleticAm. Athletic | Home | Sat Nov 1, 12:00 pm | |
| 12 | UConn (4‑2) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | Away | Sat Nov 15, 12:00 pm |