Are the Air Force Falcons going to play in the Conference Championship game? The Air Force standings table presents the probabilities of the teams different finishings including qualifing to play in the conference championship game. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 8 game season |
1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
| Boise State | 3i Boise State Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 27 vs App. St. 47-14 Lost Sat, Oct 04 @ Notre Dame 7-28 Won Sat, Oct 11 vs New Mexico 41-25 Won Sat, Oct 18 vs UNLV 56-31 Fri, Oct 24 @ Nevada Sat, Nov 01 vs Fresno State Sat, Nov 15 @ San Diego State Sat, Nov 22 vs Colorado St. |
0 | 3 | 42% | 20% | 14% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Hawaii | 3 Hawaii Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 20 vs Fresno State 21-23 Won Sat, Sep 27 @ Air Force 44-35 Won Sat, Oct 11 vs Utah St. 44-26 Won Sat, Oct 18 @ Colorado St. 31-19 Sat, Nov 01 @ San José State Sat, Nov 08 vs San Diego State Fri, Nov 21 @ UNLV Sat, Nov 29 vs Wyoming |
1 | 4 | 10% | 16% | 18% | 18% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| San Diego State | 2 San Diego State Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 20 vs California 34-0 Won Sat, Sep 27 @ N. Illinois 6-3 Won Fri, Oct 03 vs Colorado St. 45-24 Won Sat, Oct 11 @ Nevada 44-10 Sat, Oct 25 @ Fresno State Sat, Nov 01 vs Wyoming Sat, Nov 08 @ Hawaii Sat, Nov 15 vs Boise State |
0 | 2 | 22% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Fresno State | 2 Fresno State Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 13 vs Southern 56-7 Won Sat, Sep 20 @ Hawaii 23-21 Won Sat, Oct 04 vs Nevada 20-17 Lost Fri, Oct 10 @ Colorado St. 21-49 Sat, Oct 25 vs San Diego State Sat, Nov 01 @ Boise State Sat, Nov 15 vs Wyoming Sat, Nov 22 vs Utah St. |
1 | 3 | 11% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | <1% |
| UNLV | 2 UNLV Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 20 @ Miami OH 41-38 Won Sat, Oct 04 @ Wyoming 31-17 Won Sat, Oct 11 vs Air Force 51-48 Lost Sat, Oct 18 @ Boise State 31-56 Sat, Nov 01 vs New Mexico Sat, Nov 08 @ Colorado St. Sat, Nov 15 vs Utah St. Fri, Nov 21 vs Hawaii |
1 | 3 | 9% | 25% | 21% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Utah St. | 2 Utah St. Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 20 vs McNeese 48-7 Lost Sat, Sep 27 @ Vanderbilt 35-55 Lost Sat, Oct 11 @ Hawaii 26-44 Won Fri, Oct 17 vs San José State 30-25 Sat, Oct 25 @ New Mexico Sat, Nov 08 vs Nevada Sat, Nov 15 @ UNLV Sat, Nov 22 @ Fresno State |
1 | 3 | 5% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Wyoming | 1 Wyoming Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 20 @ Colorado 20-37 Lost Sat, Oct 04 vs UNLV 17-31 Won Sat, Oct 11 vs San José State 35-28 Lost Sat, Oct 18 @ Air Force 21-24 Sat, Oct 25 vs Colorado St. Sat, Nov 01 @ San Diego State Sat, Nov 15 @ Fresno State Sat, Nov 22 vs Nevada |
2 | 3 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 9% | 7% |
| San José State | 1 San José State Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 27 @ Stanford 29-30 Won Fri, Oct 03 vs New Mexico 35-28 Lost Sat, Oct 11 @ Wyoming 28-35 Lost Fri, Oct 17 @ Utah St. 25-30 Sat, Nov 01 vs Hawaii Sat, Nov 08 vs Air Force Sat, Nov 15 @ Nevada Sat, Nov 22 @ San Diego State |
2 | 3 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 16% | 16% | 13% | 13% |
| New Mexico | 1 New Mexico Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 27 vs New Mexico St. 38-20 Lost Fri, Oct 03 @ San José State 28-35 Lost Sat, Oct 11 @ Boise State 25-41 Won Sat, Oct 18 vs Nevada 24-22 Sat, Oct 25 vs Utah St. Sat, Nov 01 @ UNLV Sat, Nov 15 vs Colorado St. Sat, Nov 22 @ Air Force |
2 | 3 | <1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 2% |
| Colorado St. | 1 Colorado St. Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 27 vs Wash. St. 3-20 Lost Fri, Oct 03 @ San Diego State 24-45 Won Fri, Oct 10 vs Fresno State 49-21 Lost Sat, Oct 18 vs Hawaii 19-31 Sat, Oct 25 @ Wyoming Sat, Nov 08 vs UNLV Sat, Nov 15 @ New Mexico Sat, Nov 22 @ Boise State |
2 | 3 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 18% | 21% | 10% |
| Air Force | 1 Air Force Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 27 vs Hawaii 35-44 Lost Sat, Oct 04 @ Navy 31-34 Lost Sat, Oct 11 @ UNLV 48-51 Won Sat, Oct 18 vs Wyoming 24-21 Sat, Nov 01 vs Black Knights Sat, Nov 08 @ San José State Sat, Nov 15 @ UConn Sat, Nov 22 vs New Mexico |
4 | 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 11% | 15% | 16% | 20% | 21% | 9% |
| Nevada | 0 Nevada Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 20 @ W. Kentucky 16-31 Lost Sat, Oct 04 @ Fresno State 17-20 Lost Sat, Oct 11 vs San Diego State 10-44 Lost Sat, Oct 18 @ New Mexico 22-24 Fri, Oct 24 vs Boise State Sat, Nov 08 @ Utah St. Sat, Nov 15 vs San José State Sat, Nov 22 @ Wyoming |
3 | 3 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 21% | 57% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| (1)Boise State | 3 | 0 | <1% |
| (4)Fresno State | 2 | 1 | <1% |
| (5)UNLV | 2 | 1 | <1% |
| (6)Utah St. | 2 | 1 | <1% |
| (2)Hawaii | 3 | 1 | X |
| (3)San Diego State | 2 | 0 | X |
| (7)Wyoming | 1 | 2 | X |
| (8)San José State | 1 | 2 | X |
| (9)New Mexico | 1 | 2 | X |
| (10)Colorado St. | 1 | 2 | X |
| (12)Nevada | 0 | 3 | X |
| Elimination | >99% | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Utah St. (4‑3) |
30‑49 | Away | Sat Sep 13, 9:45 pm |
| 4 | Boise State (5‑2) |
37‑49 | Home | Sat Sep 20, 7:00 pm |
| 5 | Hawaii (6‑2) |
35‑44 | Home | Sat Sep 27, 4:10 pm |
| 7 | UNLV (6‑1) |
48‑51 | Away | Sat Oct 11, 3:30 pm |
| 8 | Wyoming (3‑4) |
24‑21 | Home | Sat Oct 18, 3:30 pm |
| 11 | San José State (2‑5) |
Away | Sat Nov 8, TBD | |
| 13 | New Mexico (4‑3) |
Home | Sat Nov 22, 7:00 pm | |
| 14 | Colorado St. (2‑5) |
Away | Fri Nov 28, TBD |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bucknell | ‑‑ | 49‑13 | Home | Sat Aug 30, 3:30 pm |
| 6 | Navy (6‑0) |
American AthleticAm. Athletic | 31‑34 | Away | Sat Oct 4, 12:00 pm |
| 10 | Black Knights (3‑4) |
American AthleticAm. Athletic | Home | Sat Nov 1, 12:00 pm | |
| 12 | UConn (5‑2) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | Away | Sat Nov 15, 12:00 pm |