PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Oct 19 1:30 am

Mountain West Football - Week 9 of 14

Air Force Falcons Standings

Are the Air Force Falcons going to play in the Conference Championship game? The Air Force standings table presents the probabilities of the teams different finishings including qualifing to play in the conference championship game. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Mountain West Football Standings
Record Rcrd Regular Season Finish
Team Wi
Schedule Content
Number of Wins
-----
Hover/Touch Content
Recent Games
L GPi
Games Played
8 game season
1*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
2*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Boise State 3i
Boise State Recent Games

Won  Sat, Sep 27 vs App. St.        47-14
Lost Sat, Oct 04 @  Notre Dame       7-28
Won  Sat, Oct 11 vs New Mexico      41-25
Won  Sat, Oct 18 vs UNLV            56-31
     Fri, Oct 24 @  Nevada          
     Sat, Nov 01 vs Fresno State    
     Sat, Nov 15 @  San Diego State 
     Sat, Nov 22 vs Colorado St.    

0 3 42% 20% 14% 9% 7% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Hawaii 3
Hawaii Recent Games

Lost Sat, Sep 20 vs Fresno State    21-23
Won  Sat, Sep 27 @  Air Force       44-35
Won  Sat, Oct 11 vs Utah St.        44-26
Won  Sat, Oct 18 @  Colorado St.    31-19
     Sat, Nov 01 @  San José State  
     Sat, Nov 08 vs San Diego State 
     Fri, Nov 21 @  UNLV            
     Sat, Nov 29 vs Wyoming         

1 4 10% 16% 18% 18% 15% 10% 7% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1%
 
San Diego State 2
San Diego State Recent Games

Won  Sat, Sep 20 vs California      34-0 
Won  Sat, Sep 27 @  N. Illinois      6-3 
Won  Fri, Oct 03 vs Colorado St.    45-24
Won  Sat, Oct 11 @  Nevada          44-10
     Sat, Oct 25 @  Fresno State    
     Sat, Nov 01 vs Wyoming         
     Sat, Nov 08 @  Hawaii          
     Sat, Nov 15 vs Boise State     

0 2 22% 15% 13% 12% 11% 9% 7% 5% 4% 2% <1% <1%
Fresno State 2
Fresno State Recent Games

Won  Sat, Sep 13 vs Southern        56-7 
Won  Sat, Sep 20 @  Hawaii          23-21
Won  Sat, Oct 04 vs Nevada          20-17
Lost Fri, Oct 10 @  Colorado St.    21-49
     Sat, Oct 25 vs San Diego State 
     Sat, Nov 01 @  Boise State     
     Sat, Nov 15 vs Wyoming         
     Sat, Nov 22 vs Utah St.        

1 3 11% 11% 13% 13% 12% 11% 9% 7% 6% 4% 2% <1%
UNLV 2
UNLV Recent Games

Won  Sat, Sep 20 @  Miami OH        41-38
Won  Sat, Oct 04 @  Wyoming         31-17
Won  Sat, Oct 11 vs Air Force       51-48
Lost Sat, Oct 18 @  Boise State     31-56
     Sat, Nov 01 vs New Mexico      
     Sat, Nov 08 @  Colorado St.    
     Sat, Nov 15 vs Utah St.        
     Fri, Nov 21 vs Hawaii          

1 3 9% 25% 21% 16% 12% 8% 5% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Utah St. 2
Utah St. Recent Games

Won  Sat, Sep 20 vs McNeese         48-7 
Lost Sat, Sep 27 @  Vanderbilt      35-55
Lost Sat, Oct 11 @  Hawaii          26-44
Won  Fri, Oct 17 vs San José State  30-25
     Sat, Oct 25 @  New Mexico      
     Sat, Nov 08 vs Nevada          
     Sat, Nov 15 @  UNLV            
     Sat, Nov 22 @  Fresno State    

1 3 5% 8% 10% 12% 15% 15% 14% 10% 6% 3% 1% <1%
Wyoming 1
Wyoming Recent Games

Lost Sat, Sep 20 @  Colorado        20-37
Lost Sat, Oct 04 vs UNLV            17-31
Won  Sat, Oct 11 vs San José State  35-28
Lost Sat, Oct 18 @  Air Force       21-24
     Sat, Oct 25 vs Colorado St.    
     Sat, Nov 01 @  San Diego State 
     Sat, Nov 15 @  Fresno State    
     Sat, Nov 22 vs Nevada          

2 3 <1% 1% 3% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 15% 14% 9% 7%
San José State 1
San José State Recent Games

Lost Sat, Sep 27 @  Stanford        29-30
Won  Fri, Oct 03 vs New Mexico      35-28
Lost Sat, Oct 11 @  Wyoming         28-35
Lost Fri, Oct 17 @  Utah St.        25-30
     Sat, Nov 01 vs Hawaii          
     Sat, Nov 08 vs Air Force       
     Sat, Nov 15 @  Nevada          
     Sat, Nov 22 @  San Diego State 

2 3 <1% 1% 2% 4% 5% 7% 10% 12% 16% 16% 13% 13%
New Mexico 1
New Mexico Recent Games

Won  Sat, Sep 27 vs New Mexico St.  38-20
Lost Fri, Oct 03 @  San José State  28-35
Lost Sat, Oct 11 @  Boise State     25-41
Won  Sat, Oct 18 vs Nevada          24-22
     Sat, Oct 25 vs Utah St.        
     Sat, Nov 01 @  UNLV            
     Sat, Nov 15 vs Colorado St.    
     Sat, Nov 22 @  Air Force       

2 3 <1% 3% 5% 8% 10% 11% 13% 12% 12% 12% 11% 2%
Colorado St. 1
Colorado St. Recent Games

Lost Sat, Sep 27 vs Wash. St.        3-20
Lost Fri, Oct 03 @  San Diego State 24-45
Won  Fri, Oct 10 vs Fresno State    49-21
Lost Sat, Oct 18 vs Hawaii          19-31
     Sat, Oct 25 @  Wyoming         
     Sat, Nov 08 vs UNLV            
     Sat, Nov 15 @  New Mexico      
     Sat, Nov 22 @  Boise State     

2 3 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 7% 10% 12% 15% 18% 21% 10%
Air Force 1
Air Force Recent Games

Lost Sat, Sep 27 vs Hawaii          35-44
Lost Sat, Oct 04 @  Navy            31-34
Lost Sat, Oct 11 @  UNLV            48-51
Won  Sat, Oct 18 vs Wyoming         24-21
     Sat, Nov 01 vs Black Knights   
     Sat, Nov 08 @  San José State  
     Sat, Nov 15 @  UConn           
     Sat, Nov 22 vs New Mexico      

4 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 11% 15% 16% 20% 21% 9%
Nevada 0
Nevada Recent Games

Lost Sat, Sep 20 @  W. Kentucky     16-31
Lost Sat, Oct 04 @  Fresno State    17-20
Lost Sat, Oct 11 vs San Diego State 10-44
Lost Sat, Oct 18 @  New Mexico      22-24
     Fri, Oct 24 vs Boise State     
     Sat, Nov 08 @  Utah St.        
     Sat, Nov 15 vs San José State  
     Sat, Nov 22 @  Wyoming         

3 3 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 6% 10% 21% 57%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes Conference Championship Game Participant


(11) Falcons 1st Round Playoff Matchup Probabilities
Record Probability
Opponent W L
(1)Boise State 3 0 <1%
(4)Fresno State 2 1 <1%
(5)UNLV 2 1 <1%
(6)Utah St. 2 1 <1%
(2)Hawaii 3 1 X
(3)San Diego State 2 0 X
(7)Wyoming 1 2 X
(8)San José State 1 2 X
(9)New Mexico 1 2 X
(10)Colorado St. 1 2 X
(12)Nevada 0 3 X
Elimination >99%



Falcons Conference Schedule
Current Week 10
Week Wk Opponent Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
3 Utah St.
(4‑3)
30‑49 Away Sat Sep 13, 9:45 pm
4 Boise State
(5‑2)
37‑49 Home Sat Sep 20, 7:00 pm
5 Hawaii
(6‑2)
35‑44 Home Sat Sep 27, 4:10 pm
7 UNLV
(6‑1)
48‑51 Away Sat Oct 11, 3:30 pm
8 Wyoming
(3‑4)
24‑21 Home Sat Oct 18, 3:30 pm
11 San José State
(2‑5)
  Away Sat Nov 8, TBD
13 New Mexico
(4‑3)
  Home Sat Nov 22, 7:00 pm
14 Colorado St.
(2‑5)
  Away Fri Nov 28, TBD


Falcons Nonconference Schedule
Week Wk Opponent Conference Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
1 Bucknell ‑‑ 49‑13 Home Sat Aug 30, 3:30 pm
6 Navy
(6‑0)
American AthleticAm. Athletic 31‑34 Away Sat Oct 4, 12:00 pm
10 Black Knights
(3‑4)
American AthleticAm. Athletic   Home Sat Nov 1, 12:00 pm
12 UConn
(5‑2)
NCAA IndependentsInd.   Away Sat Nov 15, 12:00 pm