The Bulls What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Bulls play future games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in |
8** Play-in |
9** Play-in |
10** Play-in |
11 | |
| Win Next Game | 7 | 10 | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 31% |
| Current Standings | 6 | 10 | <1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 35% |
| Lose Next Game | 6 | 11 | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 35% |
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in |
8** Play-in |
9** Play-in |
10** Play-in |
11 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 32% |
| Current Standings | <1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 35% |
| Worst Case Scenario | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 38% |
|
Best Case Scenario Pacers beats Bucks Bulls beats Hawks |
Worst Case Scenario Bucks beats Pacers Hawks beats Bulls |
||||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in |
8** Play-in |
9** Play-in |
10** Play-in |
11 | ||
| 64 of 64 | 100% | 70 | 10 | 98% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 62 of 64 | 97% | 68 | 12 | 94% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 61 of 64 | 95% | 67 | 13 | 91% | 9% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 60 of 64 | 94% | 66 | 14 | 86% | 14% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 59 of 64 | 92% | 65 | 15 | 81% | 19% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 58 of 64 | 91% | 64 | 16 | 76% | 24% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 57 of 64 | 89% | 63 | 17 | 70% | 29% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 56 of 64 | 88% | 62 | 18 | 64% | 34% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 55 of 64 | 86% | 61 | 19 | 57% | 39% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 54 of 64 | 84% | 60 | 20 | 50% | 45% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 53 of 64 | 83% | 59 | 21 | 42% | 49% | 8% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 52 of 64 | 81% | 58 | 22 | 37% | 51% | 12% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 51 of 64 | 80% | 57 | 23 | 30% | 52% | 17% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 50 of 64 | 78% | 56 | 24 | 23% | 52% | 23% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 49 of 64 | 77% | 55 | 25 | 18% | 49% | 29% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 48 of 64 | 75% | 54 | 26 | 13% | 46% | 34% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 47 of 64 | 73% | 53 | 27 | 9% | 39% | 39% | 11% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 46 of 64 | 72% | 52 | 28 | 6% | 32% | 42% | 17% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 45 of 64 | 70% | 51 | 29 | 4% | 26% | 42% | 23% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 44 of 64 | 69% | 50 | 30 | 2% | 18% | 40% | 30% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 43 of 64 | 67% | 49 | 31 | 1% | 13% | 34% | 35% | 15% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 42 of 64 | 66% | 48 | 32 | <1% | 7% | 28% | 36% | 21% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 41 of 64 | 64% | 47 | 33 | <1% | 4% | 20% | 36% | 28% | 11% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 40 of 64 | 63% | 46 | 34 | <1% | 2% | 14% | 31% | 32% | 17% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 39 of 64 | 61% | 45 | 35 | <1% | 1% | 7% | 24% | 35% | 23% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 38 of 64 | 59% | 44 | 36 | <1% | <1% | 5% | 18% | 31% | 28% | 14% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 37 of 64 | 58% | 43 | 37 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 27% | 32% | 20% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 36 of 64 | 56% | 42 | 38 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 20% | 31% | 26% | 12% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| 35 of 64 | 55% | 41 | 39 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 14% | 28% | 30% | 17% | 6% | 1% | <1% |
| 34 of 64 | 53% | 40 | 40 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 23% | 31% | 24% | 10% | 2% | <1% |
| 33 of 64 | 52% | 39 | 41 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 16% | 28% | 29% | 17% | 5% | 1% |
| 32 of 64 | 50% | 38 | 42 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 23% | 30% | 23% | 9% | 2% |
| 31 of 64 | 48% | 37 | 43 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 17% | 29% | 28% | 14% | 5% |
| 30 of 64 | 47% | 36 | 44 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 11% | 25% | 31% | 21% | 10% |
| 29 of 64 | 45% | 35 | 45 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 18% | 30% | 27% | 17% |
| 28 of 64 | 44% | 34 | 46 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 12% | 26% | 30% | 30% |
| 27 of 64 | 42% | 33 | 47 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 20% | 29% | 42% |
| 26 of 64 | 41% | 32 | 48 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 14% | 27% | 56% |
| 25 of 64 | 39% | 31 | 49 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 21% | 70% |
| 24 of 64 | 38% | 30 | 50 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 14% | 81% |
| 23 of 64 | 36% | 29 | 51 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 89% |
| 22 of 64 | 34% | 28 | 52 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 95% |
| 20 of 64 | 31% | 26 | 54 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| 10 of 64 | 16% | 16 | 64 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 0 of 64 | 0% | 6 | 74 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |