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Sun Oct 11 5:15 pm

NCAA Hockey - Week 3 of 23

NCAA Hockey Tournament Line Movers

A Line Mover is a team that

Simple put, if a line mover wins it conference tournament the cutline currently located between ranked teams 15 and 16 will move up one position, thus eliminating a team that would have received an NCAA Tournament bid based upon its rank. If your team is ranked on the bubble you want line-moving teams to lose in their conference tournament. The list contains 33 teams in 5 conferences, thus the cutline could theoretically move 5 spots. The list size will quickly contract during the individual conference tournaments.

NCAA Hockey Tournament Line Movers
Rank Team ConferenceConf Record WPi
Win Percentage
NPIi
NCAA Power Index
Probability of Winning
Its Conference Tournament
W L T Ptsi
Pts = 2*W + 1*T + 0*L
16 Wisconsin Big 10Big 10 4 0 0 8 100 .5714 26%
22 Ohio State Big 10Big 10 1 1 0 2 50 .5165 8%
58 Minnesota Big 10Big 10 0 2 0 0 0 .3798 2%
62 Penn State Big 10Big 10 0 2 0 0 0 .3267 1%
 
19 Bowling Green CCHACCHA 2 2 0 4 50 .5280 20%
24 Michigan Tech CCHACCHA 3 1 0 6 75 .5064 19%
32 Lake Superior CCHACCHA 1 1 0 2 50 .4995 13%
42 Bemidji State CCHACCHA 1 2 0 2 33 .4757 10%
46 Northern Michigan CCHACCHA 1 3 0 2 25 .4603 6%
51 Ferris State CCHACCHA 0 3 1 1 13 .4476 3%
56 Minnesota State CCHACCHA 0 2 0 0 0 .4286 5%
 
17 Clarkson ECACECAC 1 1 0 2 50 .5445 10%
25 Brown ECACECAC 0 0 0 0 50 .5000 7%
26 Cornell ECACECAC 0 0 0 0 50 .5000 7%
27 Dartmouth ECACECAC 0 0 0 0 50 .5000 7%
28 Harvard ECACECAC 0 0 0 0 50 .5000 7%
30 Princeton ECACECAC 0 0 0 0 50 .5000 7%
31 Yale ECACECAC 0 0 0 0 50 .5000 7%
35 Rensselaer ECACECAC 1 1 0 2 50 .4887 6%
41 Colgate ECACECAC 0 2 0 0 0 .4759 2%
61 St. Lawrence ECACECAC 0 3 0 0 0 .3500 1%
 
37 MassachusettsMass. EastEast 1 2 1 3 38 .4869 5%
43 New Hampshire EastEast 0 1 1 1 25 .4738 4%
44 Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell EastEast 1 1 0 2 50 .4667 5%
50 Merrimack EastEast 0 1 1 1 25 .4542 4%
54 ConnecticutUConn EastEast 1 1 0 2 50 .4356 5%
59 Vermont EastEast 0 1 0 0 0 .3643 3%
60 Boston College EastEast 0 1 0 0 0 .3606 1%
 
23 St. Cloud State NCHCNCHC 1 2 0 2 33 .5144 2%
29 Nebraska-OmahaNebr-Omaha NCHCNCHC 0 0 0 0 50 .5000 5%
34 Miami NCHCNCHC 1 1 0 2 50 .4952 4%
36 St. Thomas NCHCNCHC 1 1 0 2 50 .4887 5%
40 Arizona St. NCHCNCHC 2 2 0 4 50 .4766 5%
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win its conference tournament
  • 50% - probability the team will win its conference tournament - green number indicates the team controls its destiny
  • 50% - probability the team will win its conference tournament - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny