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Sun Jan 26 8:00 pm

NCAA Hockey - Week 18 of 23

NCAA Hockey Tournament Seedings Probabilities

Where will your team be seeded in the NCAA Tournament? The NCAA Hockey Tournament Seedings Probabilities table present the probability that a team obtains different seedings. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Note the cutline between ranked teams 14 and 15. Teams above this line should receive a NCAA Tournament invitaiton based upon thier rank. Teams below this line will receive a tournament invitation ONLY if they obtain an automatic bid by winning their conference tournament.

NCAA Hockey Tournament Seedings Probabilities
Rank Team ConferenceConf Record NCAA Tournament Seedings
W L T Pts 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 NT
1 Boston College EastEast 18 4 1 37 72% 26% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
2 Michigan State Big 10Big 10 20 3 3 43 27% 63% 6% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
3 Minnesota Big 10Big 10 19 6 3 41 <1% 3% 20% 20% 16% 13% 9% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
4 ConnecticutUConn EastEast 14 8 2 30 <1% 1% 8% 10% 12% 12% 12% 11% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% 3%
5 Western Michigan NCHCNCHC 17 4 1 35 <1% 2% 26% 18% 14% 11% 9% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
6 Maine EastEast 15 5 3 33 <1% 3% 15% 15% 14% 13% 11% 9% 6% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
7 Denver NCHCNCHC 18 6 0 36 <1% 1% 8% 10% 11% 12% 11% 10% 9% 7% 6% 5% 3% 1% <1% <1% 6%
8 Providence EastEast 15 6 3 33 <1% 1% 8% 11% 12% 12% 11% 10% 9% 8% 6% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% 4%
9 Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell EastEast 13 7 3 29 <1% <1% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 11% 10% 9% 7% 5% 2% <1% <1% 14%
10 Boston University EastEast 13 9 1 27 <1% <1% 2% 3% 5% 7% 9% 10% 11% 11% 9% 8% 6% 3% 1% <1% 16%
11 Ohio State Big 10Big 10 15 7 2 32 <1% <1% 3% 4% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 10% 9% 8% 6% 3% <1% <1% 18%
12 Michigan Big 10Big 10 14 10 2 30 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 6% 8% 9% 10% 10% 8% 4% 1% <1% 35%
13 Arizona St. NCHCNCHC 14 9 1 29 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 8% 4% 1% <1% 52%
14 Quinnipiac ECACECAC 15 9 2 32 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 7% 8% 8% 3% <1% 64%
Cutline - Click Here to View 25 Line Movers
15 Wisconsin Big 10Big 10 11 12 3 25 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 4% 3% 1% <1% 81%
16 New Hampshire EastEast 11 9 3 25 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 4% 2% <1% <1% 80%
17 Minnesota State CCHACCHA 17 7 2 36 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 7% 9% 10% 11% 8% 1% 45%
18 MassachusettsMass. EastEast 13 10 2 28 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 4% 2% 1% <1% 81%
19 Dartmouth ECACECAC 11 7 2 24 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 4% 5% 7% 4% <1% 74%
20 Cornell ECACECAC 8 6 5 21 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 5% 3% <1% 83%
21 Augustana NCAA IndependentsInd. 14 7 3 31 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% 96%
22 NortheasternN. Eastern EastEast 9 11 3 21 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% <1% <1% 93%
23 Merrimack EastEast 10 13 1 21 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% 97%
24 Penn State Big 10Big 10 11 10 3 25 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% 92%
25 Colgate ECACECAC 12 10 2 26 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 5% 1% 85%
26 North Dakota NCHCNCHC 12 10 1 25 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 3% 3% 1% <1% 89%
27 St. Cloud State NCHCNCHC 11 13 0 22 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% 96%
28 Long Island NCAA IndependentsInd. 12 10 2 26 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
29 Sacred Heart AtlanticAtlantic 15 9 4 34 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 11% 11% 74%
30 Clarkson ECACECAC 14 8 2 30 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 5% 5% 1% 86%
31 Michigan Tech CCHACCHA 15 9 2 32 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 12% 7% 76%
32 Colorado College NCHCNCHC 12 11 1 25 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 1% <1% 94%
33 Vermont EastEast 9 13 3 21 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
34 Nebraska-OmahaNebr-Omaha NCHCNCHC 14 10 0 28 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 2% 1% 91%
35 Holy Cross AtlanticAtlantic 13 11 2 28 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 14% 17% 66%
36 Minnesota-DuluthMN-Duluth NCHCNCHC 10 13 1 21 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% <1% 98%
37 Alaska NCAA IndependentsInd. 7 11 5 19 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
38 Bentley AtlanticAtlantic 13 12 2 28 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 9% 84%
39 Union ECACECAC 14 9 1 29 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 3% 2% 92%
40 Harvard ECACECAC 7 10 2 16 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 1% 96%
41 Notre Dame Big 10Big 10 9 16 1 19 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
42 Bowling Green CCHACCHA 12 9 4 28 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 5% 7% 87%
43 Princeton ECACECAC 8 10 1 17 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 97%
44 Lake Superior CCHACCHA 9 13 2 20 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 95%
45 Brown ECACECAC 8 9 2 18 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 97%
46 St. Thomas CCHACCHA 10 11 5 25 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 2% 5% 93%
47 Bemidji State CCHACCHA 9 13 4 22 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 4% 95%
48 Niagara AtlanticAtlantic 14 10 3 31 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 2% 12% 87%
49 Rensselaer ECACECAC 9 13 2 20 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
50 Yale ECACECAC 6 13 1 13 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%
51 Air Force AtlanticAtlantic 11 16 1 23 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 3% 97%
52 Army AtlanticAtlantic 11 15 0 22 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 3% 97%
53 American Int'l AtlanticAtlantic 8 17 1 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 98%
54 Anchorage NCAA IndependentsInd. 5 17 4 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
55 Robert Morris AtlanticAtlantic 9 13 3 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 99%
56 Lindenwood NCAA IndependentsInd. 6 18 2 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
57 Ferris State CCHACCHA 8 16 2 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 99%
58 St. Lawrence ECACECAC 7 16 1 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
59 Canisius AtlanticAtlantic 8 14 2 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 99%
60 Stonehill NCAA IndependentsInd. 9 20 0 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
61 Northern Michigan CCHACCHA 4 21 1 9 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
62 Miami NCHCNCHC 3 19 2 8 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
63 RIT AtlanticAtlantic 5 20 1 11 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
64 Mercyhurst AtlanticAtlantic 3 20 3 9 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot - ties of future unplayed games are not considered
  • X means the team cannot win this spot - ties of future unplayed games are not considered
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot