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Sat Apr 13 9:15 pm

NCAA Hockey - Regular Season Complete

NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the college hockey tournament? The NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your college team will proceed to different tournament rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.

NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities
  Record NCAA Hockey
National Champions		 Championship Game
Participate		 Frozen Four Round 2 Round 1
Team W L T Pts
Denver 32 9 3 67 100% ^ ^ ^ ^
Boston College 34 6 1 69 X 100% ^ ^ ^
Boston University 28 10 2 58 X X 100% ^ ^
Michigan 23 15 3 49 X X 100% ^ ^
Quinnipiac 27 10 2 56 X X X 100% ^
Michigan State 25 10 3 53 X X X 100% ^
Minnesota 23 11 5 51 X X X 100% ^
Cornell 22 7 6 50 X X X 100% ^
RIT 27 11 2 56 X X X X 100%
North Dakota 26 12 2 54 X X X X 100%
Wisconsin 26 12 2 54 X X X X 100%
Nebraska-OmahaNebr-Omaha 23 13 4 50 X X X X 100%
Maine 23 12 2 48 X X X X 100%
Michigan Tech 19 15 6 44 X X X X 100%
MassachusettsMass. 20 14 3 43 X X X X 100%
Western Michigan 21 16 1 43 X X X X 100%
Arizona St. 24 8 6 54 X X X X X
Holy Cross 21 14 4 46 X X X X X
Colorado College 21 13 3 45 X X X X X
American Int'l 20 16 4 44 X X X X X
Bemidji State 20 16 2 42 X X X X X
New Hampshire 20 15 1 41 X X X X X
Minnesota State 18 15 4 40 X X X X X
Providence 18 13 4 40 X X X X X
Niagara 18 18 3 39 X X X X X
St. Cloud State 17 16 5 39 X X X X X
Air Force 18 19 1 37 X X X X X
Alaska 17 14 3 37 X X X X X
Clarkson 18 16 1 37 X X X X X
NortheasternN. Eastern 17 16 3 37 X X X X X
Colgate 16 16 4 36 X X X X X
Dartmouth 13 10 9 35 X X X X X
Lake Superior 17 20 1 35 X X X X X
Union 16 18 3 35 X X X X X
Bentley 16 17 2 34 X X X X X
St. Lawrence 14 19 6 34 X X X X X
Long Island 16 20 1 33 X X X X X
Penn State 15 18 3 33 X X X X X
Anchorage 15 17 2 32 X X X X X
ConnecticutUConn 15 19 2 32 X X X X X
Notre Dame 15 19 2 32 X X X X X
Ohio State 14 20 4 32 X X X X X
St. Thomas 15 20 2 32 X X X X X
Sacred Heart 14 19 3 31 X X X X X
Northern Michigan 12 16 6 30 X X X X X
Minnesota-DuluthMN-Duluth 12 20 5 29 X X X X X
Vermont 13 19 3 29 X X X X X
Augustana 12 18 4 28 X X X X X
Canisius 12 21 4 28 X X X X X
Bowling Green 13 22 1 27 X X X X X
Merrimack 13 21 1 27 X X X X X
Robert Morris 11 25 3 25 X X X X X
Princeton 10 16 4 24 X X X X X
Rensselaer 10 23 4 24 X X X X X
Army 10 23 2 22 X X X X X
Ferris State 10 24 2 22 X X X X X
Mercyhurst 9 22 4 22 X X X X X
Yale 10 18 2 22 X X X X X
Harvard 7 19 6 20 X X X X X
Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell 8 24 4 20 X X X X X
Brown 8 19 3 19 X X X X X
Miami 7 26 3 17 X X X X X
Lindenwood 6 18 4 16 X X X X X
Stonehill 2 33 0 4 X X X X X
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next tournament round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this tournament round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot