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Sat Dec 20 10:15 pm

NCAA Hockey - Week 13 of 23

NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the college hockey tournament? The NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your college team will proceed to different tournament rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.

NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities
Team ConferenceConf Record WPi
Win Percentage
NPIi
NCAA Power Index
NCAA Hockey
National Champions
Championship Game
Participate
Frozen Four Round 2 Round 1
W L T Ptsi
Schedule Content
Pts = 2*W + 1*T + 0*L
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Upcoming Games Opponents
Wisconsin Big 10Big 10 12 2 2 26 81 .5830 14% 24% 42% 68% 99%
Michigan Big 10Big 10 16 4 0 32 80 .5886 12% 22% 38% 65% 99%
North Dakota NCHCNCHC 14 4 0 28 78 .5748 11% 19% 35% 60% 96%
Dartmouth ECACECAC 11 1 0 22 92 .5900 8% 17% 32% 58% 95%
Michigan State Big 10Big 10 12 4 0 24 75 .5636 8% 16% 30% 55% 92%
Minnesota-DuluthMN-Duluth NCHCNCHC 14 6 0 28 70 .5615 7% 14% 27% 50% 88%
Penn State Big 10Big 10 11 5 0 22 69 .5576 5% 9% 19% 38% 72%
Denver NCHCNCHC 12 6 1 25 66 .5631 4% 9% 18% 38% 73%
Quinnipiac ECACECAC 12 4 2 26 72 .5355 3% 7% 14% 30% 61%
Western Michigan NCHCNCHC 10 6 0 20 63 .5353 3% 6% 12% 24% 47%
Minnesota State CCHACCHA 11 4 5 27 68 .5416 2% 6% 13% 29% 64%
Harvard ECACECAC 7 3 1 15 68 .5430 2% 5% 11% 25% 54%
Boston College EastEast 10 5 1 21 66 .5330 2% 5% 10% 23% 48%
ConnecticutUConn EastEast 9 5 3 21 62 .5259 2% 4% 9% 19% 42%
Cornell ECACECAC 7 4 0 14 64 .5348 1% 3% 8% 18% 42%
NortheasternN. Eastern EastEast 10 6 0 20 63 .5297 1% 3% 7% 17% 38%
New Hampshire EastEast 10 7 0 20 59 .5206 1% 3% 7% 16% 35%
Augustana CCHACCHA 10 6 3 23 61 .5292 1% 3% 6% 15% 37%
Providence EastEast 8 6 2 18 56 .5314 1% 3% 6% 14% 32%
Holy Cross AtlanticAtl. 10 6 1 21 62 .5209 1% 2% 6% 15% 41%
Maine EastEast 11 7 1 23 61 .5056 1% 2% 5% 10% 24%
Princeton ECACECAC 7 4 0 14 64 .5261 1% 2% 4% 11% 28%
St. Thomas CCHACCHA 9 7 3 21 55 .5192 1% 2% 4% 11% 27%
Union ECACECAC 12 5 2 26 68 .5129 1% 2% 4% 9% 23%
Miami NCHCNCHC 10 6 2 22 61 .5103 1% 2% 4% 8% 18%
Boston University EastEast 9 8 1 19 53 .5134 1% 1% 4% 8% 19%
Michigan Tech CCHACCHA 10 6 2 22 61 .5080 <1% 1% 3% 7% 20%
Bowling Green CCHACCHA 8 5 3 19 59 .5080 <1% 1% 3% 6% 18%
Bemidji State CCHACCHA 9 8 3 21 53 .5090 <1% 1% 2% 6% 18%
RIT AtlanticAtl. 10 7 0 20 59 .5013 <1% 1% 2% 5% 19%
Bentley AtlanticAtl. 9 6 1 19 59 .4941 <1% 1% 2% 5% 19%
Air Force AtlanticAtl. 9 7 2 20 56 .4977 <1% 1% 2% 5% 17%
Colorado College NCHCNCHC 8 7 3 19 53 .5079 <1% 1% 2% 5% 11%
Arizona St. NCHCNCHC 8 9 1 17 47 .5025 <1% 1% 2% 4% 10%
Minnesota Big 10Big 10 8 10 1 17 45 .5086 <1% 1% 1% 3% 7%
Sacred Heart AtlanticAtl. 7 7 2 16 50 .4848 <1% <1% 1% 3% 11%
Lindenwood NCAA IndependentsInd. 8 8 0 16 50 .5103 <1% <1% 1% 3% 7%
St. Cloud State NCHCNCHC 8 10 0 16 44 .5124 <1% <1% 1% 2% 6%
MassachusettsMass. EastEast 9 9 0 18 50 .4953 <1% <1% 1% 2% 5%
Nebraska-OmahaNebr-Omaha NCHCNCHC 7 11 0 14 39 .5012 <1% <1% 1% 2% 5%
Canisius AtlanticAtl. 8 8 2 18 50 .4719 <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
Niagara AtlanticAtl. 7 9 0 14 44 .4567 <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
Army AtlanticAtl. 6 9 4 16 42 .4820 <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
Clarkson ECACECAC 7 11 0 14 39 .4883 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
Long Island NCAA IndependentsInd. 6 10 0 12 38 .5042 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
Ohio State Big 10Big 10 6 10 0 12 38 .5075 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
Merrimack EastEast 7 10 0 14 41 .4848 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2%
Colgate ECACECAC 6 10 2 14 39 .4708 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Robert Morris AtlanticAtl. 4 10 2 10 31 .4458 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Lake Superior CCHACCHA 6 11 1 13 36 .4792 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell EastEast 6 11 0 12 35 .4641 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Vermont EastEast 5 10 0 10 33 .4654 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Yale ECACECAC 4 8 0 8 33 .4664 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Rensselaer ECACECAC 5 13 0 10 28 .4433 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Alaska NCAA IndependentsInd. 4 10 1 9 30 .4711 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Notre Dame Big 10Big 10 4 11 1 9 28 .4593 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Ferris State CCHACCHA 4 14 0 8 22 .4380 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Stonehill NCAA IndependentsInd. 3 13 1 7 21 .4310 X X X X X
Anchorage NCAA IndependentsInd. 3 11 0 6 21 .4399 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Brown ECACECAC 3 10 0 6 23 .4449 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
St. Lawrence ECACECAC 2 15 1 5 14 .4010 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Northern Michigan CCHACCHA 1 19 0 2 5 .4134 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Mercyhurst AtlanticAtl. 0 15 1 1 3 .3677 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next tournament round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this tournament round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot