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Mon Mar 30 1:00 am

NCAA Hockey - Regular Season Complete

NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the college hockey tournament? The NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your college team will proceed to different tournament rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.

NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities
Team ConferenceConf Record WPi
Win Percentage
NPIi
NCAA Power Index
NCAA Hockey
National Champions
Championship Game
Participate
Frozen Four Round 2 Round 1
W L T Ptsi
Schedule Content
Pts = 2*W + 1*T + 0*L
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Michigan Big 10Big 10 31 7 1 63 81 .5960 37% 60% 100% ^ ^
North Dakota NCHCNCHC 29 9 1 59 76 .5882 28% 59% 100% ^ ^
Denver NCHCNCHC 27 11 3 57 70 .5786 20% 40% 100% ^ ^
Wisconsin Big 10Big 10 23 12 2 48 65 .5587 16% 41% 100% ^ ^
Quinnipiac ECACECAC 27 10 3 57 71 .5525 X X X 100% ^
Western Michigan NCHCNCHC 27 11 1 55 71 .5751 X X X 100% ^
Michigan State Big 10Big 10 26 9 2 54 73 .5795 X X X 100% ^
Minnesota-DuluthMN-Duluth NCHCNCHC 24 15 1 49 61 .5612 X X X 100% ^
Bentley AtlanticAtl. 23 12 5 51 64 .5245 X X X X 100%
Minnesota State CCHACCHA 22 11 7 51 64 .5400 X X X X 100%
Dartmouth ECACECAC 23 8 4 50 71 .5582 X X X X 100%
Providence EastEast 23 11 2 48 67 .5551 X X X X 100%
ConnecticutUConn EastEast 20 13 5 45 59 .5372 X X X X 100%
Cornell ECACECAC 22 11 1 45 66 .5465 X X X X 100%
Merrimack EastEast 21 16 2 44 56 .5289 X X X X 100%
Penn State Big 10Big 10 21 14 2 44 59 .5518 X X X X 100%
Michigan Tech CCHACCHA 23 13 3 49 63 .5299 X X X X X
Sacred Heart AtlanticAtl. 23 14 3 49 61 .5175 X X X X X
Augustana CCHACCHA 22 11 4 48 65 .5399 X X X X X
St. Thomas CCHACCHA 21 12 5 47 62 .5386 X X X X X
Union ECACECAC 22 12 3 47 64 .5217 X X X X X
MassachusettsMass. EastEast 22 13 1 45 63 .5363 X X X X X
Bowling Green CCHACCHA 18 11 7 43 60 .5263 X X X X X
Boston College EastEast 20 15 1 41 57 .5319 X X X X X
Air Force AtlanticAtl. 18 15 4 40 54 .5052 X X X X X
Clarkson ECACECAC 18 17 3 39 51 .5079 X X X X X
Maine EastEast 18 14 3 39 56 .5246 X X X X X
Princeton ECACECAC 18 13 3 39 57 .5260 X X X X X
Holy Cross AtlanticAtl. 18 18 2 38 50 .5033 X X X X X
Miami NCHCNCHC 18 16 2 38 53 .5159 X X X X X
Boston University EastEast 17 17 2 36 50 .5179 X X X X X
Canisius AtlanticAtl. 17 16 2 36 51 .4834 X X X X X
RIT AtlanticAtl. 17 17 2 36 50 .4905 X X X X X
NortheasternN. Eastern EastEast 17 18 1 35 49 .5185 X X X X X
Robert Morris AtlanticAtl. 16 21 3 35 44 .4858 X X X X X
Harvard ECACECAC 16 16 2 34 50 .5130 X X X X X
Alaska NCAA IndependentsInd. 15 15 3 33 50 .5088 X X X X X
St. Cloud State NCHCNCHC 16 19 1 33 46 .5194 X X X X X
Colorado College NCHCNCHC 13 17 6 32 44 .5165 X X X X X
Army AtlanticAtl. 12 17 6 30 43 .4868 X X X X X
Bemidji State CCHACCHA 13 19 4 30 42 .4832 X X X X X
Colgate ECACECAC 13 20 4 30 41 .4819 X X X X X
Lindenwood NCAA IndependentsInd. 15 15 0 30 50 .5018 X X X X X
Ohio State Big 10Big 10 14 21 2 30 41 .5300 X X X X X
Arizona St. NCHCNCHC 14 21 1 29 40 .4980 X X X X X
New Hampshire EastEast 14 20 1 29 41 .4958 X X X X X
Long Island NCAA IndependentsInd. 13 18 1 27 42 .4939 X X X X X
Niagara AtlanticAtl. 13 23 1 27 36 .4590 X X X X X
Vermont EastEast 13 21 1 27 39 .4771 X X X X X
Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell EastEast 13 22 0 26 37 .4850 X X X X X
Lake Superior CCHACCHA 11 22 3 25 35 .4748 X X X X X
Minnesota Big 10Big 10 11 22 3 25 35 .5033 X X X X X
Nebraska-OmahaNebr-Omaha NCHCNCHC 12 24 0 24 33 .4952 X X X X X
Notre Dame Big 10Big 10 9 23 5 23 31 .4813 X X X X X
Rensselaer ECACECAC 11 23 1 23 33 .4664 X X X X X
Stonehill NCAA IndependentsInd. 10 22 3 23 33 .4537 X X X X X
Ferris State CCHACCHA 8 27 2 18 24 .4585 X X X X X
St. Lawrence ECACECAC 7 25 3 17 24 .4306 X X X X X
Yale ECACECAC 8 22 1 17 27 .4480 X X X X X
Mercyhurst AtlanticAtl. 6 28 3 15 20 .4262 X X X X X
Brown ECACECAC 5 24 2 12 19 .4384 X X X X X
Anchorage NCAA IndependentsInd. 5 27 1 11 17 .4287 X X X X X
Northern Michigan CCHACCHA 3 29 2 8 12 .4321 X X X X X
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next tournament round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this tournament round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot