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Tue Jan 14 8:30 am

NCAA Hockey - Week 16 of 23

NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the college hockey tournament? The NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your college team will proceed to different tournament rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.

NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities
  Record NCAA Hockey
National Champions
Championship Game
Participate
Frozen Four Round 2 Round 1
Team W L T Pts
Michigan State 18 2 2 38 16% 28% 48% 77% >99%
Boston College 13 4 1 27 16% 28% 47% 75% >99%
Providence 15 3 2 32 11% 20% 37% 65% 99%
Maine 15 4 2 32 9% 18% 34% 64% 99%
Minnesota 18 4 2 38 9% 17% 34% 64% >99%
Western Michigan 13 4 1 27 7% 14% 27% 53% 93%
Denver 17 5 0 34 6% 13% 26% 53% 95%
Ohio State 15 6 1 31 4% 10% 20% 44% 87%
Michigan 13 8 1 27 4% 8% 17% 36% 73%
Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell 12 6 2 26 3% 8% 16% 36% 75%
Boston University 11 7 1 23 2% 6% 13% 32% 71%
Minnesota State 15 5 2 32 2% 5% 12% 27% 63%
ConnecticutUConn 12 8 1 25 2% 4% 10% 25% 59%
New Hampshire 10 6 3 23 2% 4% 8% 19% 45%
Quinnipiac 13 7 1 27 1% 3% 7% 18% 46%
Arizona St. 11 8 1 23 1% 3% 7% 16% 38%
St. Cloud State 11 9 0 22 1% 2% 5% 12% 29%
North Dakota 12 8 1 25 1% 2% 5% 11% 26%
Clarkson 12 6 2 26 <1% 1% 3% 9% 25%
Bentley 12 8 2 26 <1% 1% 2% 6% 29%
Michigan Tech 12 8 2 26 <1% 1% 2% 5% 18%
Dartmouth 8 6 2 18 <1% 1% 2% 5% 16%
Cornell 6 5 4 16 <1% 1% 2% 5% 15%
Bowling Green 11 7 3 25 <1% 1% 1% 4% 14%
Colgate 10 8 2 22 <1% <1% 2% 4% 15%
Wisconsin 9 12 1 19 <1% <1% 1% 4% 10%
Sacred Heart 12 8 4 28 <1% <1% 1% 3% 19%
Colorado College 10 9 1 21 <1% <1% 1% 3% 8%
NortheasternN. Eastern 7 10 4 18 <1% <1% 1% 3% 7%
Air Force 12 12 1 25 <1% <1% 1% 2% 15%
Bemidji State 8 10 4 20 <1% <1% 1% 2% 10%
Union 12 8 1 25 <1% <1% 1% 2% 8%
St. Thomas 9 10 4 22 <1% <1% 1% 2% 7%
MassachusettsMass. 10 10 2 22 <1% <1% 1% 2% 6%
Nebraska-OmahaNebr-Omaha 10 10 0 20 <1% <1% 1% 2% 5%
Penn State 9 10 2 20 <1% <1% 1% 2% 5%
Augustana 12 8 1 25 <1% <1% 1% 1% 4%
Niagara 11 9 3 25 <1% <1% <1% 2% 15%
Holy Cross 9 12 2 20 <1% <1% <1% 1% 11%
Lake Superior 9 12 1 19 <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
American Int'l 7 13 1 15 <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
Princeton 6 8 1 13 <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
Vermont 8 10 3 19 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
Merrimack 8 11 1 17 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
Harvard 5 7 2 12 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
Minnesota-DuluthMN-Duluth 8 11 1 17 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2%
Robert Morris 8 10 3 19 <1% <1% <1% <1% 5%
Rensselaer 9 10 2 20 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Long Island 12 9 1 25 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Canisius 7 11 2 16 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Ferris State 6 14 2 14 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Brown 4 9 2 10 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Yale 4 10 1 9 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Alaska 7 9 4 18 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Notre Dame 7 14 1 15 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Anchorage 5 17 4 14 X X X X X
Army 7 16 0 14 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Stonehill 7 19 0 14 X X X X X
St. Lawrence 6 13 1 13 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Lindenwood 5 16 1 11 X X X X X
RIT 4 17 1 9 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Miami 3 15 2 8 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Mercyhurst 2 19 3 7 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Northern Michigan 2 19 1 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next tournament round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this tournament round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot