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Sat Oct 10 11:30 pm

NCAA Hockey - Week 2 of 23

NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the college hockey tournament? The NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your college team will proceed to different tournament rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.

NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities
Team ConferenceConf Record WPi
Win Percentage
NPIi
NCAA Power Index
NCAA Hockey
National Champions
Championship Game
Participate
Frozen Four Round 2 Round 1
W L T Ptsi
Schedule Content
Pts = 2*W + 1*T + 0*L
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Touch/Hover Content
Upcoming Games Opponents
Michigan Big 10Big 10 4 0 0 8 100 .6261 10% 16% 26% 41% 64%
Wisconsin Big 10Big 10 4 0 0 8 100 .5714 7% 13% 22% 36% 58%
North Dakota NCHCNCHC 2 0 0 4 100 .6068 7% 12% 20% 34% 55%
Boston University EastEast 2 0 0 4 100 .5742 6% 11% 20% 33% 54%
Union ECACECAC 2 0 0 4 100 .5951 5% 10% 18% 32% 52%
Providence EastEast 2 0 0 4 100 .6149 5% 9% 17% 30% 51%
Colorado College NCHCNCHC 2 0 0 4 100 .6152 5% 9% 17% 30% 49%
Denver NCHCNCHC 2 0 0 4 100 .5900 5% 9% 16% 29% 48%
NortheasternN. Eastern EastEast 1 0 0 2 100 .6143 4% 9% 17% 30% 52%
Quinnipiac ECACECAC 3 1 0 6 75 .6037 4% 7% 14% 26% 46%
Western Michigan NCHCNCHC 2 0 0 4 100 .5857 4% 7% 14% 25% 44%
Stonehill NCAA IndependentsInd. 2 0 0 4 100 .5402 4% 7% 13% 25% 43%
Notre Dame Big 10Big 10 2 0 0 4 100 .5919 4% 7% 13% 24% 43%
Augustana CCHACCHA 1 0 1 3 75 .5736 3% 6% 12% 22% 43%
Michigan State Big 10Big 10 1 0 0 2 100 .6020 3% 6% 11% 21% 38%
Minnesota-DuluthMN-Duluth NCHCNCHC 2 1 1 5 63 .5876 2% 4% 9% 18% 34%
Bowling Green CCHACCHA 2 2 0 4 50 .5280 2% 4% 8% 16% 35%
Michigan Tech CCHACCHA 3 1 0 6 75 .5064 2% 4% 8% 16% 34%
Clarkson ECACECAC 1 1 0 2 50 .5445 2% 4% 8% 16% 33%
Maine EastEast 2 2 0 4 50 .5822 1% 3% 7% 15% 31%
Air Force AtlanticAtl. 1 1 0 2 50 .5165 1% 3% 6% 14% 31%
Holy Cross AtlanticAtl. 2 2 0 4 50 .5263 1% 2% 6% 13% 30%
Lake Superior CCHACCHA 1 1 0 2 50 .4995 1% 2% 5% 12% 27%
Cornell ECACECAC 0 0 0 0 50 .5000 1% 2% 5% 12% 27%
Yale ECACECAC 0 0 0 0 50 .5000 1% 2% 5% 12% 27%
Brown ECACECAC 0 0 0 0 50 .5000 1% 2% 5% 12% 26%
Dartmouth ECACECAC 0 0 0 0 50 .5000 1% 2% 5% 12% 26%
Harvard ECACECAC 0 0 0 0 50 .5000 1% 2% 5% 12% 26%
Princeton ECACECAC 0 0 0 0 50 .5000 1% 2% 5% 12% 26%
Nebraska-OmahaNebr-Omaha NCHCNCHC 0 0 0 0 50 .5000 1% 2% 5% 12% 25%
Ohio State Big 10Big 10 1 1 0 2 50 .5165 1% 2% 5% 11% 24%
Bentley AtlanticAtl. 1 1 0 2 50 .4857 1% 2% 4% 11% 26%
Rensselaer ECACECAC 1 1 0 2 50 .4887 1% 2% 4% 10% 23%
Miami NCHCNCHC 1 1 0 2 50 .5020 1% 2% 4% 9% 21%
Canisius AtlanticAtl. 2 1 1 5 63 .4981 1% 1% 4% 9% 24%
St. Thomas NCHCNCHC 1 1 0 2 50 .4887 1% 1% 4% 9% 21%
Arizona St. NCHCNCHC 2 2 0 4 50 .4766 1% 1% 4% 8% 19%
Sacred Heart AtlanticAtl. 1 1 0 2 50 .4356 <1% 1% 3% 8% 20%
Bemidji State CCHACCHA 1 2 0 2 33 .4757 <1% 1% 3% 7% 18%
Lindenwood NCAA IndependentsInd. 2 2 0 4 50 .4661 <1% 1% 3% 7% 16%
Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell EastEast 1 1 0 2 50 .4667 <1% 1% 2% 6% 17%
ConnecticutUConn EastEast 1 1 0 2 50 .4356 <1% 1% 2% 6% 15%
St. Cloud State NCHCNCHC 1 2 0 2 33 .5144 <1% 1% 2% 6% 14%
MassachusettsMass. EastEast 1 2 1 3 38 .4869 <1% 1% 2% 5% 14%
New Hampshire EastEast 0 1 1 1 25 .4738 <1% 1% 2% 5% 13%
Robert Morris AtlanticAtl. 0 2 0 0 0 .4286 <1% <1% 2% 5% 16%
Army AtlanticAtl. 0 1 0 0 0 .4463 <1% <1% 2% 5% 15%
Northern Michigan CCHACCHA 1 2 0 2 33 .4694 <1% <1% 1% 4% 12%
Alaska NCAA IndependentsInd. 1 3 0 2 25 .4808 <1% <1% 1% 4% 11%
Merrimack EastEast 0 1 1 1 25 .4542 <1% <1% 1% 4% 11%
RIT AtlanticAtl. 1 2 1 3 38 .4572 <1% <1% 1% 3% 11%
Niagara AtlanticAtl. 1 3 0 2 25 .4559 <1% <1% 1% 3% 10%
Colgate ECACECAC 0 2 0 0 0 .4759 <1% <1% 1% 3% 9%
Minnesota State CCHACCHA 0 2 0 0 0 .4286 <1% <1% 1% 2% 8%
Vermont EastEast 0 1 0 0 0 .3643 <1% <1% 1% 2% 8%
Long Island NCAA IndependentsInd. 1 3 0 2 25 .4590 <1% <1% 1% 2% 5%
Ferris State CCHACCHA 0 3 1 1 13 .4476 <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
St. Lawrence ECACECAC 0 3 0 0 0 .3500 <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
Boston College EastEast 0 1 0 0 0 .3606 <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
Minnesota Big 10Big 10 0 2 0 0 0 .3798 <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
Anchorage NCAA IndependentsInd. 0 4 0 0 0 .4425 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2%
Penn State Big 10Big 10 0 2 0 0 0 .3267 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next tournament round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this tournament round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot