Will your team receive an invitation to the college hockey tournament? The NCAA Hockey Tournament Participation Probabilities table presents the probability that your college team receives a tournament invite depended upon three ways of playing its remaining games. These play methods include winning all remaining games (minus its conference tournament final), current winning probabilites, and losing all remaining games. All other future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Note the cutline between ranked teams 15 and 16. Teams above this line should receive a NCAA Tournament invitaiton based upon thier rank. Teams below this line will receive a tournament invitation ONLY if they obtain an automatic bid by winning their conference tournament.
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | PWR | Record | NCAA Tournament Participation Probabilities | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | Win Out Minus CF | Current | Lose Out | ||||
| 1 | Denver | NCHCNCHC | 63 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 100% | 98% | X |
| 2 | Boston College | EastEast | 62 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 100% | >99% | X |
| 3 | Michigan State | Big 10Big 10 | 61 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 100% | 99% | X |
| 4 | Dartmouth | ECACECAC | 60 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 100% | 90% | X |
| 5 | Maine | EastEast | 59 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 100% | 71% | X |
| 6 | Minnesota | Big 10Big 10 | 58 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 100% | 82% | X |
| 7 | St. Cloud State | NCHCNCHC | 57 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 100% | 78% | X |
| 8 | Cornell | ECACECAC | 56 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 100% | 47% | X |
| 9 | Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell | EastEast | 55 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 100% | 66% | X |
| 10 | Ohio State | Big 10Big 10 | 54 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 100% | 73% | X |
| 11 | Western Michigan | NCHCNCHC | 53 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 100% | 80% | X |
| 12 | Michigan | Big 10Big 10 | 52 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 100% | 76% | X |
| 13 | Providence | EastEast | 51 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 100% | 45% | X |
| 14 | Boston University | EastEast | 50 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 100% | 42% | X |
| 15 | Colorado College | NCHCNCHC | 49 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 100% | 64% | X |
| Cutline - Click Here to View 24 Line Movers | ||||||||||
| 16 | Minnesota State | CCHACCHA | 48 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 18 | >99% | 38% | X |
| 17 | ConnecticutUConn | EastEast | 46 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 100% | 14% | X |
| 18 | Clarkson | ECACECAC | 45 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 100% | 34% | X |
| 19 | Michigan Tech | CCHACCHA | 45 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 100% | 38% | X |
| 20 | Quinnipiac | ECACECAC | 44 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 100% | 19% | X |
| 21 | New Hampshire | EastEast | 43 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 100% | 25% | X |
| 22 | North Dakota | NCHCNCHC | 42 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 10 | 100% | 22% | X |
| 23 | Princeton | ECACECAC | 41 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 100% | 6% | X |
| 24 | Augustana | NCAA IndependentsInd. | 40 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 10 | >99% | 6% | X |
| 25 | Bentley | AtlanticAtlantic | 39 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 15 | >99% | 29% | X |
| 26 | Notre Dame | Big 10Big 10 | 39 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 10 | 100% | 6% | X |
| 27 | Colgate | ECACECAC | 37 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 100% | 10% | X |
| 28 | Union | ECACECAC | 35 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 100% | 17% | X |
| 29 | Harvard | ECACECAC | 35 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 100% | 23% | X |
| 30 | MassachusettsMass. | EastEast | 34 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 100% | 6% | X |
| 31 | Sacred Heart | AtlanticAtlantic | 33 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 13 | >99% | 16% | X |
| 32 | Air Force | AtlanticAtlantic | 32 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 18 | 98% | 25% | X |
| 33 | Long Island | NCAA IndependentsInd. | 31 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 100% | 15% | X |
| 34 | Alaska | NCAA IndependentsInd. | 30 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 10 | >99% | 3% | X |
| 35 | Minnesota-DuluthMN-Duluth | NCHCNCHC | 28 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 10 | 100% | 6% | X |
| 36 | Niagara | AtlanticAtlantic | 28 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 98% | 16% | X |
| 37 | Bowling Green | CCHACCHA | 27 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 11 | >99% | 16% | X |
| 38 | Wisconsin | Big 10Big 10 | 26 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 100% | 2% | X |
| 39 | Arizona St. | NCHCNCHC | 25 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 100% | 3% | X |
| 40 | Penn State | Big 10Big 10 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 100% | 4% | X |
| 41 | Bemidji State | CCHACCHA | 24 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 10 | >99% | 20% | X |
| 42 | St. Thomas | CCHACCHA | 22 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 11 | >99% | 13% | X |
| 43 | Merrimack | EastEast | 21 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 100% | 4% | X |
| 44 | Vermont | EastEast | 20 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 100% | 1% | X |
| 45 | Rensselaer | ECACECAC | 19 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 100% | 5% | X |
| 46 | American Int'l | AtlanticAtlantic | 18 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 87% | 7% | X |
| 47 | Army | AtlanticAtlantic | 16 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 10 | >99% | 5% | X |
| 48 | NortheasternN. Eastern | EastEast | 16 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 100% | 4% | X |
| 49 | Robert Morris | AtlanticAtlantic | 15 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10 | >99% | 11% | X |
| 50 | Lake Superior | CCHACCHA | 14 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 8 | >99% | 6% | X |
| 51 | Yale | ECACECAC | 13 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 100% | 2% | X |
| 52 | Holy Cross | AtlanticAtlantic | 12 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 41% | 3% | X |
| 53 | Lindenwood | NCAA IndependentsInd. | 11 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 87% | <1% | X |
| 54 | Nebraska-OmahaNebr-Omaha | NCHCNCHC | 10 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 100% | 1% | X |
| 55 | Canisius | AtlanticAtlantic | 10 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 76% | 2% | X |
| 56 | Miami | NCHCNCHC | 8 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 99% | <1% | X |
| 57 | Stonehill | NCAA IndependentsInd. | 7 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 43% | <1% | X |
| 58 | RIT | AtlanticAtlantic | 6 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 64% | <1% | X |
| 59 | Anchorage | NCAA IndependentsInd. | 5 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 4 | >99% | <1% | X |
| 60 | Ferris State | CCHACCHA | 4 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 20% | 1% | X |
| 61 | St. Lawrence | ECACECAC | 4 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 8 | >99% | <1% | X |
| 62 | Northern Michigan | CCHACCHA | 2 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 33% | <1% | X |
| 63 | Brown | ECACECAC | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 100% | <1% | X |
| 64 | Mercyhurst | AtlanticAtlantic | 0 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 3% | <1% | X |