Will your team receive an invitation to the college hockey tournament? The NCAA Hockey Tournament Participation Probabilities table presents the probability that your college team receives a tournament invite depended upon three ways of playing its remaining games. These play methods include winning all remaining games (minus its conference tournament final), current winning probabilites, and losing all remaining games. All other future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Note the cutline between ranked teams 14 and 15. Teams above this line should receive a NCAA Tournament invitaiton based upon thier rank. Teams below this line will receive a tournament invitation ONLY if they obtain an automatic bid by winning their conference tournament.
Note that this list will not be updated after the individual conference tournaments
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | PWR | Record | NCAA Tournament Participation Probabilities | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | Win Out Minus CF | Current | Lose Out | ||||
| 1 | Boston College | EastEast | 63 | 26 | 7 | 2 | 54 | - | 100% | - |
| 2 | Michigan State | Big 10Big 10 | 62 | 26 | 6 | 4 | 56 | - | 100% | - |
| 3 | Maine | EastEast | 61 | 24 | 7 | 6 | 54 | - | 100% | - |
| 4 | Western Michigan | NCHCNCHC | 60 | 30 | 7 | 1 | 61 | - | 100% | - |
| 5 | Minnesota | Big 10Big 10 | 59 | 25 | 10 | 4 | 54 | - | 100% | - |
| 6 | ConnecticutUConn | EastEast | 58 | 22 | 11 | 4 | 48 | - | 100% | - |
| 7 | Boston University | EastEast | 57 | 21 | 13 | 2 | 44 | - | 100% | - |
| 8 | Providence | EastEast | 56 | 21 | 10 | 5 | 47 | - | 100% | - |
| 9 | Denver | NCHCNCHC | 55 | 29 | 11 | 1 | 59 | - | 100% | - |
| 10 | Ohio State | Big 10Big 10 | 53 | 24 | 13 | 2 | 50 | - | 100% | - |
| 11 | MassachusettsMass. | EastEast | 53 | 20 | 13 | 5 | 45 | - | 100% | - |
| 12 | Quinnipiac | ECACECAC | 52 | 24 | 11 | 2 | 50 | - | 100% | - |
| 13 | Penn State | Big 10Big 10 | 51 | 20 | 13 | 4 | 44 | - | 100% | - |
| 14 | Minnesota State | CCHACCHA | 50 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 57 | - | 100% | - |
| Cutline - Click Here to View 0 Line Movers | ||||||||||
| 15 | Michigan | Big 10Big 10 | 49 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 39 | - | X | - |
| 16 | Arizona St. | NCHCNCHC | 48 | 21 | 14 | 2 | 44 | - | X | - |
| 17 | Cornell | ECACECAC | 47 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 42 | - | 100% | - |
| 18 | North Dakota | NCHCNCHC | 46 | 21 | 15 | 2 | 44 | - | X | - |
| 19 | Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell | EastEast | 45 | 16 | 16 | 4 | 36 | - | X | - |
| 20 | Clarkson | ECACECAC | 43 | 24 | 12 | 3 | 51 | - | X | - |
| 21 | New Hampshire | EastEast | 42 | 13 | 16 | 6 | 32 | - | X | - |
| 22 | Bentley | AtlanticAtlantic | 41 | 23 | 14 | 2 | 48 | - | 100% | - |
| 23 | Dartmouth | ECACECAC | 41 | 18 | 13 | 2 | 38 | - | X | - |
| 24 | NortheasternN. Eastern | EastEast | 40 | 14 | 20 | 3 | 31 | - | X | - |
| 25 | Long Island | NCAA IndependentsInd. | 38 | 18 | 12 | 2 | 38 | - | X | - |
| 26 | Holy Cross | AtlanticAtlantic | 38 | 24 | 14 | 2 | 50 | - | X | - |
| 27 | Sacred Heart | AtlanticAtlantic | 37 | 21 | 13 | 5 | 47 | - | X | - |
| 28 | Wisconsin | Big 10Big 10 | 36 | 13 | 21 | 3 | 29 | - | X | - |
| 29 | Colgate | ECACECAC | 35 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 39 | - | X | - |
| 30 | Nebraska-OmahaNebr-Omaha | NCHCNCHC | 34 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 37 | - | X | - |
| 31 | St. Thomas | CCHACCHA | 32 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 43 | - | X | - |
| 32 | Merrimack | EastEast | 32 | 13 | 21 | 1 | 27 | - | X | - |
| 33 | Colorado College | NCHCNCHC | 31 | 18 | 18 | 1 | 37 | - | X | - |
| 34 | Vermont | EastEast | 30 | 11 | 21 | 3 | 25 | - | X | - |
| 35 | Augustana | CCHACCHA | 30 | 18 | 13 | 4 | 40 | - | X | - |
| 36 | St. Cloud State | NCHCNCHC | 28 | 14 | 21 | 1 | 29 | - | X | - |
| 37 | Union | ECACECAC | 27 | 19 | 14 | 3 | 41 | - | X | - |
| 38 | Harvard | ECACECAC | 25 | 13 | 17 | 3 | 29 | - | X | - |
| 39 | Bowling Green | CCHACCHA | 25 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 40 | - | X | - |
| 40 | Alaska | NCAA IndependentsInd. | 25 | 12 | 14 | 6 | 30 | - | X | - |
| 41 | Notre Dame | Big 10Big 10 | 25 | 12 | 25 | 1 | 25 | - | X | - |
| 42 | Minnesota-DuluthMN-Duluth | NCHCNCHC | 22 | 13 | 20 | 3 | 29 | - | X | - |
| 43 | Princeton | ECACECAC | 22 | 12 | 15 | 3 | 27 | - | X | - |
| 44 | Brown | ECACECAC | 22 | 14 | 15 | 3 | 31 | - | X | - |
| 45 | Michigan Tech | CCHACCHA | 19 | 16 | 17 | 3 | 35 | - | X | - |
| 46 | Bemidji State | CCHACCHA | 18 | 15 | 18 | 5 | 35 | - | X | - |
| 47 | Army | AtlanticAtlantic | 16 | 16 | 20 | 2 | 34 | - | X | - |
| 48 | Lake Superior | CCHACCHA | 16 | 12 | 22 | 2 | 26 | - | X | - |
| 49 | Air Force | AtlanticAtlantic | 15 | 16 | 21 | 3 | 35 | - | X | - |
| 50 | Rensselaer | ECACECAC | 14 | 12 | 21 | 2 | 26 | - | X | - |
| 51 | Niagara | AtlanticAtlantic | 12 | 18 | 16 | 3 | 39 | - | X | - |
| 52 | American Int'l | AtlanticAtlantic | 12 | 13 | 23 | 2 | 28 | - | X | - |
| 53 | Ferris State | CCHACCHA | 11 | 13 | 20 | 3 | 29 | - | X | - |
| 54 | Lindenwood | NCAA IndependentsInd. | 9 | 8 | 22 | 2 | 18 | - | X | - |
| 55 | St. Lawrence | ECACECAC | 9 | 9 | 24 | 2 | 20 | - | X | - |
| 56 | Canisius | AtlanticAtlantic | 8 | 12 | 23 | 2 | 26 | - | X | - |
| 57 | Yale | ECACECAC | 8 | 6 | 21 | 3 | 15 | - | X | - |
| 58 | Robert Morris | AtlanticAtlantic | 7 | 10 | 20 | 5 | 25 | - | X | - |
| 59 | Anchorage | NCAA IndependentsInd. | 4 | 6 | 23 | 5 | 17 | - | X | - |
| 60 | RIT | AtlanticAtlantic | 4 | 10 | 23 | 2 | 22 | - | X | - |
| 61 | Stonehill | NCAA IndependentsInd. | 4 | 10 | 22 | 0 | 20 | - | X | - |
| 62 | Northern Michigan | CCHACCHA | 2 | 5 | 27 | 2 | 12 | - | X | - |
| 63 | Miami | NCHCNCHC | 2 | 3 | 28 | 3 | 9 | - | X | - |
| 64 | Mercyhurst | AtlanticAtlantic | 0 | 4 | 27 | 4 | 12 | - | X | - |