The Most Important Games for the Bears are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bears final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Bears Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Bears (3‑2) vs Falcons (2‑3) |
27 | Bears Wins | 4% | 6% | 2% | <1% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 49% | ||
| Falcons Wins | 1% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 56% | ||
| Cowboys (2‑3) vs Packers (3‑2) |
3 | Cowboys Wins | 3% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 49% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 49% | ||
| Packers Wins | 3% | 6% | 2% | <1% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 50% | ||
| Commanders (1‑3‑1) vs Forty-Niners49ers (5‑0) |
3 | Commanders Wins | 4% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 50% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 49% | ||
| Forty-Niners49ers Wins | 3% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 49% | ||
| Bills (3‑1) vs Rams (2‑2) |
2 | Bills Wins | 3% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 49% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 49% | ||
| Rams Wins | 3% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 50% | ||
| Giants (3‑1‑1) vs Saints (1‑4) |
2 | Giants Wins | 3% | 6% | 2% | <1% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 49% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 49% | ||
| Saints Wins | 3% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 49% | ||
| Eagles (2‑3) vs Panthers (2‑2) |
1 | Eagles Wins | 3% | 6% | 2% | <1% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 49% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 49% | ||
| Panthers Wins | 3% | 5% | 2% | <1% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 49% | ||
| Broncos (3‑2) vs Seahawks (3‑2) |
1 | Broncos Wins | 3% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 49% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 49% | ||
| Seahawks Wins | 3% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 50% | ||
| Cardinals (1‑4) vs Rams (2‑2) |
0 | Cardinals Wins | 3% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 49% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 49% | ||
| Rams Wins | 3% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 49% | ||
| Steelers (3‑2) vs Buccaneers (1‑4) |
0 | Steelers Wins | 3% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 49% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 49% | ||
| Buccaneers Wins | 3% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 50% | ||