The Most Important Games for the Commanders are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Commanders final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Commanders fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Commanders Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Commanders (7‑4) vs Cowboys (3‑7) |
44 | Commanders Wins | 2% | 19% | 2% | <1% | 11% | 29% | 25% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 17% | 2% | <1% | 10% | 27% | 25% | 17% | ||
| Cowboys Wins | <1% | 6% | 2% | <1% | 6% | 24% | 33% | 29% | ||
| Rams (5‑5) vs Eagles (8‑2) |
6 | Rams Wins | 2% | 19% | 2% | 1% | 10% | 24% | 24% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 17% | 2% | <1% | 10% | 27% | 25% | 17% | ||
| Eagles Wins | 1% | 15% | 1% | <1% | 11% | 28% | 27% | 16% | ||
| Bears (4‑6) vs Vikings (8‑2) |
4 | Bears Wins | 2% | 17% | 2% | <1% | 15% | 26% | 22% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 17% | 2% | <1% | 10% | 27% | 25% | 17% | ||
| Vikings Wins | 1% | 17% | 2% | <1% | 8% | 26% | 27% | 17% | ||
| Colts (5‑6) vs Lions (9‑1) |
3 | Colts Wins | 2% | 17% | 2% | <1% | 11% | 26% | 25% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 17% | 2% | <1% | 10% | 27% | 25% | 17% | ||
| Lions Wins | 1% | 18% | 2% | <1% | 10% | 27% | 25% | 17% | ||
| Giants (2‑8) vs Buccaneers (4‑6) |
2 | Giants Wins | 2% | 17% | 2% | <1% | 10% | 27% | 27% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 17% | 2% | <1% | 10% | 27% | 25% | 17% | ||
| Buccaneers Wins | 1% | 17% | 2% | 1% | 11% | 26% | 25% | 17% | ||
| Forty-Niners49'ers (5‑5) vs Packers (7‑3) |
2 | Forty-Niners49'ers Wins | 2% | 16% | 2% | <1% | 14% | 31% | 18% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 17% | 2% | <1% | 10% | 27% | 25% | 17% | ||
| Packers Wins | 2% | 17% | 2% | <1% | 9% | 24% | 28% | 17% | ||
| Seahawks (5‑5) vs Cardinals (6‑4) |
1 | Seahawks Wins | 2% | 18% | 1% | <1% | 10% | 26% | 26% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 17% | 2% | <1% | 10% | 27% | 25% | 17% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 2% | 17% | 2% | 1% | 10% | 26% | 25% | 17% | ||
| Panthers (3‑7) vs Chiefs (9‑1) |
0 | Panthers Wins | 2% | 17% | 2% | <1% | 10% | 26% | 26% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 17% | 2% | <1% | 10% | 27% | 25% | 17% | ||
| Chiefs Wins | 2% | 17% | 2% | <1% | 10% | 26% | 25% | 17% | ||