The Most Important Games for the Lions are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lions final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Lions fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Lions Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Lions (9‑1) vs Colts (5‑6) |
61 | Lions Wins | 75% | 8% | <1% | <1% | 13% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 69% | 9% | <1% | <1% | 16% | 4% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Colts Wins | 57% | 11% | <1% | <1% | 21% | 7% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Rams (5‑5) vs Eagles (8‑2) |
26 | Rams Wins | 75% | 3% | <1% | <1% | 16% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 69% | 9% | <1% | <1% | 16% | 4% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Eagles Wins | 65% | 12% | <1% | <1% | 15% | 5% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Bears (4‑6) vs Vikings (8‑2) |
23 | Bears Wins | 74% | 12% | <1% | <1% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 69% | 9% | <1% | <1% | 16% | 4% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Vikings Wins | 69% | 8% | <1% | <1% | 16% | 5% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Forty-Niners49'ers (5‑5) vs Packers (7‑3) |
7 | Forty-Niners49'ers Wins | 70% | 11% | <1% | <1% | 14% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 69% | 9% | <1% | <1% | 16% | 4% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Packers Wins | 69% | 9% | <1% | <1% | 15% | 5% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Chiefs (9‑1) vs Panthers (3‑7) |
2 | Chiefs Wins | 70% | 9% | <1% | <1% | 15% | 5% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 69% | 9% | <1% | <1% | 16% | 4% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Panthers Wins | 69% | 9% | <1% | <1% | 15% | 5% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Seahawks (5‑5) vs Cardinals (6‑4) |
2 | Seahawks Wins | 70% | 9% | <1% | <1% | 15% | 4% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 69% | 9% | <1% | <1% | 16% | 4% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 69% | 9% | <1% | <1% | 15% | 5% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Buccaneers (4‑6) vs Giants (2‑8) |
2 | Buccaneers Wins | 70% | 9% | <1% | <1% | 15% | 5% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 69% | 9% | <1% | <1% | 16% | 4% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Giants Wins | 69% | 9% | <1% | <1% | 15% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Cowboys (3‑7) vs Commanders (7‑4) |
1 | Cowboys Wins | 70% | 8% | <1% | <1% | 17% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 69% | 9% | <1% | <1% | 16% | 4% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Commanders Wins | 70% | 9% | <1% | <1% | 15% | 4% | 2% | <1% | ||