The Lions What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Lions play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Win Next Game | 10 | 1 | 0 | 75% | 8% | <1% | <1% | 13% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 9 | 1 | 0 | 69% | 9% | <1% | <1% | 16% | 4% | 2% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 9 | 2 | 0 | 57% | 11% | <1% | <1% | 21% | 7% | 2% | <1% |
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 86% | 4% | <1% | <1% | 8% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 69% | 9% | <1% | <1% | 16% | 4% | 2% | <1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 53% | 14% | <1% | <1% | 22% | 8% | 3% | <1% |
|
Best Case Scenario Bears beats Vikings Lions beats Colts Rams beats Eagles |
Worst Case Scenario Vikings beats Bears Colts beats Lions Eagles beats Rams |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | ||
| 7 of 7 | 100% | 16 | 1 | 0 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 6 of 7 | 86% | 15 | 2 | 0 | 99% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 5 of 7 | 71% | 14 | 3 | 0 | 79% | 14% | X | X | 7% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 4 of 7 | 57% | 13 | 4 | 0 | 33% | 27% | <1% | X | 38% | 2% | <1% | ^ |
| 3 of 7 | 43% | 12 | 5 | 0 | 4% | 13% | 3% | <1% | 48% | 28% | 4% | <1% |
| 2 of 7 | 29% | 11 | 6 | 0 | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 20% | 47% | 29% | 1% |
| 1 of 7 | 14% | 10 | 7 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 23% | 56% | 20% |
| 0 of 7 | 0% | 9 | 8 | 0 | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 23% | 75% |