The Most Important Games for the Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lumberjacks final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Stephen F. Austin Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Stephen F. Austin (18‑3) vs SE Louisiana (6‑15) |
3 | Stephen F. Austin Wins | 63% | 36% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 61% | 38% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| SE Louisiana Wins | 48% | 49% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Houston Christian (8‑13) vs Texas A&M C.C. (11‑10) |
1 | Houston Christian Wins | 61% | 38% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 61% | 38% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Texas A&M C.C. Wins | 61% | 38% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| East Texas A&M (8‑13) vs Nicholls St. (8‑13) |
1 | East Texas A&M Wins | 61% | 38% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 61% | 38% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Nicholls St. Wins | 61% | 38% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Incarnate Word (9‑12) vs UT-Rio Grande Valley (10‑11) |
1 | Incarnate Word Wins | 60% | 39% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 61% | 38% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UT-Rio Grande Valley Wins | 60% | 38% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Northwestern St.NWestrn St (6‑14) vs New Orleans (8‑13) |
0 | Northwestern St.NWestrn St Wins | 61% | 38% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 61% | 38% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| New Orleans Wins | 60% | 39% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Lamar (11‑10) vs McNeese (17‑4) |
0 | Lamar Wins | 73% | 26% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 61% | 38% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| McNeese Wins | 57% | 42% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||