Where are the Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Stephen F. Austin standings table presents the probabilities of the Lumberjacks winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 22 game season |
1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT |
| Stephen F. Austin | 11i Stephen F. Austin Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 17 @ N. Orleans 84-79 Won Mon, Jan 19 @ Nicholls St. 79-62 Won Sat, Jan 24 @ Lamar 88-81 Won Tue, Jan 27 vs NWestrn St 69-67 Sat, Jan 31 vs SE Louisiana Mon, Feb 02 vs McNeese Sat, Feb 07 vs Lamar Mon, Feb 09 vs E. TX A&M |
1 | 12 | 61% | 38% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| McNeese | 10 McNeese Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 17 @ UT-Rio 76-79 Won Mon, Jan 19 @ TX A&M C.C. 69-53 Won Sat, Jan 24 vs N. Orleans 82-63 Won Tue, Jan 27 @ SE Louisiana 76-66 Sat, Jan 31 @ Lamar Mon, Feb 02 @ Stephen F. Austin Sat, Feb 07 vs Incarnate W. Mon, Feb 09 vs H. Christian |
2 | 12 | 39% | 59% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Nicholls St. | 7 Nicholls St. Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 17 vs Lamar 80-90 Lost Mon, Jan 19 vs Stephen F. Austin 62-79 Lost Sat, Jan 24 @ SE Louisiana 61-67 Lost Tue, Jan 27 vs N. Orleans 62-80 Sat, Jan 31 @ E. TX A&M Mon, Feb 02 @ NWestrn St Sat, Feb 07 vs TX A&M C.C. Mon, Feb 09 vs UT-Rio |
5 | 12 | <1% | 1% | 20% | 19% | 18% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 7% |
| Texas A&M C.C. | 7 Texas A&M C.C. Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 17 vs SE Louisiana 68-56 Lost Mon, Jan 19 vs McNeese 53-69 Won Sat, Jan 24 @ Incarnate W. 79-71 Lost Mon, Jan 26 vs UT-Rio 55-64 Sat, Jan 31 vs H. Christian Mon, Feb 02 vs Incarnate W. Sat, Feb 07 @ Nicholls St. Mon, Feb 09 @ N. Orleans |
5 | 12 | <1% | 2% | 33% | 23% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 3% |
| New Orleans | 6 New Orleans Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 17 vs Stephen F. Austin 79-84 Won Mon, Jan 19 vs Lamar 89-76 Lost Sat, Jan 24 @ McNeese 63-82 Won Tue, Jan 27 @ Nicholls St. 80-62 Sat, Jan 31 vs NWestrn St Mon, Feb 02 @ E. TX A&M Sat, Feb 07 vs UT-Rio Mon, Feb 09 vs TX A&M C.C. |
6 | 12 | <1% | <1% | 14% | 17% | 18% | 16% | 13% | 9% | 13% |
| UT-Rio Grande Valley | 6 UT-Rio Grande Valley Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 17 vs McNeese 79-76 Won Mon, Jan 19 vs SE Louisiana 68-65 Won Sat, Jan 24 @ H. Christian 68-51 Won Mon, Jan 26 @ TX A&M C.C. 64-55 Sat, Jan 31 @ Incarnate W. Mon, Feb 02 vs H. Christian Sat, Feb 07 @ N. Orleans Mon, Feb 09 @ Nicholls St. |
6 | 12 | <1% | 1% | 15% | 18% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 11% |
| Lamar | 6 Lamar Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 17 @ Nicholls St. 90-80 Lost Mon, Jan 19 @ N. Orleans 76-89 Lost Sat, Jan 24 vs Stephen F. Austin 81-88 Won Tue, Jan 27 vs E. TX A&M 82-61 Sat, Jan 31 vs McNeese Mon, Feb 02 vs SE Louisiana Sat, Feb 07 @ Stephen F. Austin Mon, Feb 09 vs NWestrn St |
6 | 12 | <1% | <1% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 11% | 12% |
| Northwestern St.NWestrn St | 4 Northwestern St. Recent Games Won Mon, Jan 12 vs UT-Rio 64-63 Lost Sat, Jan 17 @ Incarnate W. 74-76 Lost Mon, Jan 19 @ H. Christian 80-82 Lost Tue, Jan 27 @ Stephen F. Austin 67-69 Sat, Jan 31 @ N. Orleans Mon, Feb 02 vs Nicholls St. Sat, Feb 07 @ E. TX A&M Mon, Feb 09 @ Lamar |
7 | 11 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 61% |
| Incarnate Word | 4 Incarnate Word Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 17 vs NWestrn St 76-74 Lost Mon, Jan 19 vs E. TX A&M 58-80 Lost Sat, Jan 24 vs TX A&M C.C. 71-79 Lost Tue, Jan 27 @ H. Christian 75-81 Sat, Jan 31 vs UT-Rio Mon, Feb 02 @ TX A&M C.C. Sat, Feb 07 @ McNeese Mon, Feb 09 @ SE Louisiana |
8 | 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 14% | 67% |
| Houston Christian | 4 Houston Christian Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 17 vs E. TX A&M 81-70 Won Mon, Jan 19 vs NWestrn St 82-80 Lost Sat, Jan 24 vs UT-Rio 51-68 Won Tue, Jan 27 vs Incarnate W. 81-75 Sat, Jan 31 @ TX A&M C.C. Mon, Feb 02 @ UT-Rio Sat, Feb 07 @ SE Louisiana Mon, Feb 09 @ McNeese |
8 | 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 76% |
| East Texas A&M | 3 East Texas A&M Recent Games Lost Mon, Jan 12 vs TX A&M C.C. 50-61 Lost Sat, Jan 17 @ H. Christian 70-81 Won Mon, Jan 19 @ Incarnate W. 80-58 Lost Tue, Jan 27 @ Lamar 61-82 Sat, Jan 31 vs Nicholls St. Mon, Feb 02 vs N. Orleans Sat, Feb 07 vs NWestrn St Mon, Feb 09 @ Stephen F. Austin |
8 | 11 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 63% |
| SE Louisiana | 3 SE Louisiana Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 17 @ TX A&M C.C. 56-68 Lost Mon, Jan 19 @ UT-Rio 65-68 Won Sat, Jan 24 vs Nicholls St. 67-61 Lost Tue, Jan 27 vs McNeese 66-76 Sat, Jan 31 @ Stephen F. Austin Mon, Feb 02 @ Lamar Sat, Feb 07 vs H. Christian Mon, Feb 09 vs Incarnate W. |
9 | 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 88% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | >99% | ||
| (7)Lamar | 6 | 6 | <1% |
| (10)Houston Christian | 4 | 8 | <1% |
| (8)Northwestern St.NWestrn St | 4 | 7 | <1% |
| (3)Nicholls St. | 7 | 5 | <1% |
| (6)UT-Rio Grande Valley | 6 | 6 | <1% |
| (11)East Texas A&M | 3 | 8 | <1% |
| (12)SE Louisiana | 3 | 9 | <1% |
| (2)McNeese | 10 | 2 | <1% |
| (4)Texas A&M C.C. | 7 | 5 | <1% |
| (5)New Orleans | 6 | 6 | <1% |
| (9)Incarnate Word | 4 | 8 | <1% |
| Elimination | <1% | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | UT-Rio Grande Valley (10‑11) |
73‑60 | Home | Wed Dec 3, 7:00 pm |
| 7 | Texas A&M C.C. (11‑10) |
69‑60 | Home | Wed Dec 17, 9:00 pm |
| 9 | East Texas A&M (8‑13) |
75‑48 | Away | Mon Dec 29, 7:30 pm |
| 9 | Northwestern St.NWestrn St (6‑14) |
74‑64 | Away | Wed Dec 31, 4:30 pm |
| 9 | SE Louisiana (6‑15) |
73‑63 | Away | Sat Jan 3, 4:30 pm |
| 10 | McNeese (17‑4) |
64‑66 | Away | Mon Jan 5, 7:30 pm |
| 10 | Houston Christian (8‑13) |
85‑67 | Home | Sat Jan 10, 6:00 pm |
| 11 | Incarnate Word (9‑12) |
56‑46 | Home | Mon Jan 12, 7:00 pm |
| 11 | New Orleans (8‑13) |
84‑79 | Away | Sat Jan 17, 6:00 pm |
| 12 | Nicholls St. (8‑13) |
79‑62 | Away | Mon Jan 19, 7:30 pm |
| 12 | Lamar (11‑10) |
88‑81 | Away | Sat Jan 24, 7:00 pm |
| 13 | Northwestern St.NWestrn St (6‑14) |
69‑67 | Home | Tue Jan 27, 4:00 pm |
| 13 | SE Louisiana (6‑15) |
Home | Sat Jan 31, 6:00 pm | |
| 14 | McNeese (17‑4) |
Home | Mon Feb 2, 7:30 pm | |
| 14 | Lamar (11‑10) |
Home | Sat Feb 7, 6:00 pm | |
| 15 | East Texas A&M (8‑13) |
Home | Mon Feb 9, 7:30 pm | |
| 15 | UT-Rio Grande Valley (10‑11) |
Away | Sat Feb 14, 5:30 pm | |
| 16 | Texas A&M C.C. (11‑10) |
Away | Mon Feb 16, 8:00 pm | |
| 16 | Nicholls St. (8‑13) |
Home | Sat Feb 21, 6:00 pm | |
| 17 | New Orleans (8‑13) |
Home | Mon Feb 23, 7:30 pm | |
| 17 | Houston Christian (8‑13) |
Away | Sat Feb 28, 4:30 pm | |
| 18 | Incarnate Word (9‑12) |
Away | Mon Mar 2, 6:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Millsaps | ‑‑ | 103‑76 | Home | Mon Nov 3 |
| 1 | Arkansas St. (13‑8) |
SunbeltSunbelt | 90‑65 | Home | Fri Nov 7 |
| 2 | Rice (8‑12) |
American AthleticAm. Athletic | 81‑69 | Away | Tue Nov 11 |
| 2 | Abilene Christian (10‑9) |
WACWAC | 76‑66 | Home | Fri Nov 14 |
| 3 | Fresno St. (9‑11) |
Mountain WestMntn West | 78‑80 | Away | Tue Nov 18, 9:00 pm |
| 3 | Pepperdine (6‑16) |
West CoastWest Coast | 63‑60 | Away | Fri Nov 21, 9:00 pm |
| 4 | UT Arlington (13‑6) |
WACWAC | 61‑66 | Away | Sat Nov 29, 3:00 pm |
| 5 | UL Monroe (3‑18) |
SunbeltSunbelt | 96‑76 | Home | Sun Dec 7, 3:00 pm |
| 7 | Dallas | ‑‑ | 103‑55 | Home | Sun Dec 21, 2:00 pm |