The Texas A&M-Commerce Lions What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Texas A&M-Commerce plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |
| Win Next Game | 1 | 0 | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 31% |
| Current Standings | 0 | 0 | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 36% |
| Lose Next Game | 0 | 1 | 4% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 40% |
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |
| Best Case Scenario | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 31% |
| Current Standings | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 36% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 4% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 40% |
|
Best Case Scenario Texas A&M-Commerce beats Houston Christian |
Worst Case Scenario Houston Christian beats Texas A&M-Commerce |
||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | ||
| 20 of 20 | 100% | 20 | 0 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 19 of 20 | 95% | 19 | 1 | >99% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 18 of 20 | 90% | 18 | 2 | 96% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 17 of 20 | 85% | 17 | 3 | 81% | 18% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 16 of 20 | 80% | 16 | 4 | 53% | 42% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 15 of 20 | 75% | 15 | 5 | 22% | 50% | 25% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 14 of 20 | 70% | 14 | 6 | 5% | 31% | 45% | 17% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 13 of 20 | 65% | 13 | 7 | 1% | 8% | 35% | 40% | 14% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 12 of 20 | 60% | 12 | 8 | <1% | 1% | 10% | 36% | 38% | 13% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 11 of 20 | 55% | 11 | 9 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 13% | 38% | 35% | 12% | 1% | <1% |
| 10 of 20 | 50% | 10 | 10 | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 14% | 38% | 34% | 10% | 1% |
| 9 of 20 | 45% | 9 | 11 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 16% | 40% | 32% | 10% |
| 8 of 20 | 40% | 8 | 12 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 17% | 41% | 40% |
| 7 of 20 | 35% | 7 | 13 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 18% | 79% |
| 6 of 20 | 30% | 6 | 14 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 3% | 97% |
| 5 of 20 | 25% | 5 | 15 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 4 of 20 | 20% | 4 | 16 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |
| 3 of 20 | 15% | 3 | 17 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 2 of 20 | 10% | 2 | 18 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 1 of 20 | 5% | 1 | 19 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 0 of 20 | 0% | 0 | 20 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |