The Most Important Games for the Texas A&M-Commerce Lions are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lions final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Texas A&M-Commerce Lions fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Texas A&M-Commerce Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Texas A&M-CommerceTX A&M-Comm (1‑5) vs Houston Christian (2‑2) |
25 | Texas A&M-CommerceTX A&M-Comm Wins | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 31% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 36% | ||
| Houston Christian Wins | 4% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 40% | ||
| Stephen F. Austin (2‑2) vs UT-Rio Grande Valley (3‑3) |
3 | Stephen F. Austin Wins | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 36% | ||
| UT-Rio Grande Valley Wins | 5% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 36% | ||
| Northwestern St.NWestrn St (1‑3) vs Incarnate Word (3‑1) |
3 | Northwestern St.NWestrn St Wins | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 36% | ||
| Incarnate Word Wins | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 37% | ||
| SE Louisiana (2‑2) vs Nicholls St. (2‑4) |
2 | SE Louisiana Wins | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 36% | ||
| Nicholls St. Wins | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 37% | ||
| Texas A&M C.C. (1‑3) vs Lamar (1‑2) |
1 | Texas A&M C.C. Wins | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 36% | ||
| Lamar Wins | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 37% | ||