The Most Important Games for the North Dakota Fighting Hawks are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Fighting Hawks final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. North Dakota Fighting Hawks fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
North Dakota Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7* First Round Bye |
8 | 9 | |||
| Denver (9‑13) vs UMKC (4‑17) |
0 | Denver Wins | 2% | 10% | 43% | 25% | 13% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 9% | 43% | 26% | 13% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UMKC Wins | 3% | 9% | 43% | 26% | 13% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| North Dakota (12‑12) vs St. Thomas (16‑6) |
0 | North Dakota Wins | 5% | 18% | 47% | 20% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 9% | 43% | 26% | 13% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| St. Thomas Wins | 1% | 5% | 43% | 28% | 15% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| South Dakota (11‑11) vs Oral Roberts (5‑17) |
0 | South Dakota Wins | 3% | 10% | 42% | 24% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 9% | 43% | 26% | 13% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Oral Roberts Wins | 2% | 9% | 46% | 26% | 11% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| South Dakota St. (10‑11) vs Nebraska Omaha (10‑12) |
0 | South Dakota St. Wins | 2% | 9% | 40% | 28% | 13% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 9% | 43% | 26% | 13% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Nebraska Omaha Wins | 2% | 10% | 45% | 23% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||