The Most Important Games for the South Alabama Jaguars are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Jaguars final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. South Alabama Jaguars fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
South Alabama Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Division Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| LA Monroe (3‑3) vs Troy (4‑2) |
0 | LA Monroe Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 11% | 27% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 13% | 26% | 52% | ||
| Troy Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 13% | 27% | 51% | ||
| UL Lafayette (2‑4) vs Southern Miss (4‑2) |
0 | UL Lafayette Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 11% | 22% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 13% | 26% | 52% | ||
| Southern Miss Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 13% | 27% | 51% | ||
| Marshall (3‑3) vs Texas St. (3‑3) |
0 | Marshall Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 14% | 27% | 50% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 13% | 26% | 52% | ||
| Texas St. Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 11% | 25% | 56% | ||