The Most Important Games for the South Alabama Jaguars are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Jaguars final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. South Alabama Jaguars fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
South Alabama Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Division Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Troy (3‑7) vs UL Lafayette (8‑2) |
19 | Troy Wins | 29% | 18% | 17% | 33% | 3% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 20% | 25% | 39% | 4% | ^ | ^ | ||
| UL Lafayette Wins | 10% | 20% | 26% | 40% | 4% | ^ | ^ | ||
| South Alabama (5‑5) vs Southern Miss (1‑9) |
13 | South Alabama Wins | 15% | 22% | 25% | 36% | 1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 20% | 25% | 39% | 4% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Southern Miss Wins | 2% | 16% | 29% | 43% | 9% | ^ | ^ | ||
| LA Monroe (5‑5) vs Arkansas St. (6‑4) |
8 | LA Monroe Wins | 18% | 31% | 18% | 25% | 8% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 20% | 25% | 39% | 4% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Arkansas St. Wins | 10% | 15% | 26% | 49% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Texas St. (6‑4) vs Georgia St. (2‑8) |
0 | Texas St. Wins | 13% | 21% | 24% | 39% | 3% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 20% | 25% | 39% | 4% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Georgia St. Wins | 12% | 19% | 27% | 38% | 4% | ^ | ^ | ||