The Most Important Games for the South Alabama Jaguars are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Jaguars final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. South Alabama Jaguars fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
South Alabama Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Division Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Arkansas St. (5‑4) vs Southern Miss (6‑2) |
0 | Arkansas St. Wins | X | X | <1% | 4% | 16% | 31% | 49% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 4% | 16% | 30% | 49% | ||
| Southern Miss Wins | X | X | X | 4% | 15% | 30% | 50% | ||
| UL Lafayette (3‑6) vs Texas St. (3‑5) |
0 | UL Lafayette Wins | X | X | <1% | 2% | 16% | 37% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 4% | 16% | 30% | 49% | ||
| Texas St. Wins | X | X | <1% | 6% | 14% | 25% | 55% | ||