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Sat Oct 31 6:15 pm

Sunbelt Football - Week 9 of 13

South Alabama Jaguars Playoff Picture

Are the South Alabama Jaguars going to play in the Conference Championship game? The South Alabama playoff picture table presents the probabilities that the Jaguars will win the division and play in the Conference Championship game. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

West Division Playoff Standings
Record Rcrd Divisional Winner No Playoffs
Team Wi
Schedule Content
Number of Wins
-----
Hover/Touch Content
Recent Games
L GPi
Games Played
8 game season
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Louisiana Tech 3i
Louisiana Tech Recent Games

Won  Sat, Oct 03 vs Black Knights  31-29
Won  Sat, Oct 10 vs UL Lafayette   32-31
Won  Sat, Oct 17 @  LA Monroe      24-0 
Won  Sat, Oct 24 vs Old Dominion   26-0 
     Sat, Oct 31 @  South Alabama  
     Sat, Nov 07 @  Troy           
     Sat, Nov 14 vs Southern Miss  
     Sat, Nov 21 vs Arkansas St.   

0 3 60% 20% 10% 5% 3% 1% <1%
 
South Alabama 2
South Alabama Recent Games

Lost Sat, Sep 26 @  Kentucky       21-45
Won  Sat, Oct 03 vs LA Monroe      52-35
Won  Thu, Oct 08 @  Arkansas St.   56-49
Lost Tue, Oct 20 @  Marshall       13-20
     Sat, Oct 31 vs Louisiana Tech 
     Sat, Nov 07 @  UL Lafayette   
     Sat, Nov 14 vs Troy           
     Sat, Nov 21 @  Southern Miss  

1 3 22% 25% 20% 14% 10% 7% 2%
UL Lafayette 2
UL Lafayette Recent Games

Won  Sat, Oct 03 vs Arkansas St.   23-20
Lost Sat, Oct 10 @  Louisiana Tech 31-32
Won  Sat, Oct 17 vs Troy           33-6 
Lost Sat, Oct 24 @  Southern Miss  31-35
     Sat, Nov 07 vs South Alabama  
     Thu, Nov 12 @  LA Monroe      
     Sat, Nov 21 vs C. Carolina    
     Sat, Nov 28 @  Georgia St.    

2 4 7% 32% 24% 16% 11% 6% 4%
Arkansas St. 2
Arkansas St. Recent Games

Lost Sat, Oct 03 @  UL Lafayette   20-23
Lost Thu, Oct 08 vs South Alabama  49-56
Won  Sat, Oct 17 @  Southern Miss  23-13
Won  Sat, Oct 24 vs Georgia St.    38-32
     Sat, Nov 07 vs LA Monroe      
     Sat, Nov 14 @  C. Carolina    
     Sat, Nov 21 @  Louisiana Tech 
     Sat, Nov 28 vs Troy           

2 4 4% 11% 21% 25% 21% 13% 5%
Troy 2
Troy Recent Games

Won  Tue, Oct 06 vs Southern Miss  55-34
Lost Sat, Oct 17 @  UL Lafayette    6-33
Lost Sat, Oct 24 vs LA Monroe      14-21
Won  Thu, Oct 29 @  James Madison  24-21
     Sat, Nov 07 vs Louisiana Tech 
     Sat, Nov 14 @  South Alabama  
     Sat, Nov 21 vs Ga. Southern   
     Sat, Nov 28 @  Arkansas St.   

2 4 4% 8% 14% 20% 23% 23% 8%
Southern Miss 1
Southern Miss Recent Games

Lost Sat, Sep 26 @  Tulane         21-24
Lost Tue, Oct 06 @  Troy           34-55
Lost Sat, Oct 17 vs Arkansas St.   13-23
Won  Sat, Oct 24 vs UL Lafayette   35-31
     Sat, Oct 31 @  LA Monroe      
     Thu, Nov 05 vs James Madison  
     Sat, Nov 14 @  Louisiana Tech 
     Sat, Nov 21 vs South Alabama  

2 3 1% 3% 5% 10% 15% 26% 40%
LA Monroe 1
LA Monroe Recent Games

Lost Sat, Sep 26 vs Florida Atlantic 17-45
Lost Sat, Oct 03 @  South Alabama  35-52
Lost Sat, Oct 17 vs Louisiana Tech  0-24
Won  Sat, Oct 24 @  Troy           21-14
     Sat, Oct 31 vs Southern Miss  
     Sat, Nov 07 @  Arkansas St.   
     Thu, Nov 12 vs UL Lafayette   
     Sat, Nov 21 @  App. St.       

2 3 <1% 2% 6% 11% 17% 24% 41%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method


(2) Jaguars 1st Round Playoff Matchup Probabilities
Record Probability
Opponent W L
(1)James Madison 4 2 10%
(2)Appalachian St.App. St. 2 1 6%
(3)Ga. Southern 2 1 3%
(5)Marshall 2 2 1%
(4)Coastal Carolina 2 2 1%
(6)Georgia St. 1 3 <1%



Jaguars Conference Schedule
Current Week 9
Week Wk Opponent Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
5 LA Monroe
(1‑6)
52‑35 Home Sat Oct 3, 7:00 pm
6 Arkansas St.
(4‑4)
56‑49 Away Thu Oct 8, 7:30 pm
8 Marshall
(5‑3)
13‑20 Away Tue Oct 20, 7:30 pm
9 Louisiana Tech
(5‑2)
  Home Sat Oct 31, 3:00 pm
10 UL Lafayette
(5‑3)
  Away Sat Nov 7, 5:00 pm
11 Troy
(4‑4)
  Home Sat Nov 14, TBD
12 Southern Miss
(2‑5)
  Away Sat Nov 21, TBD
13 Appalachian St.App. St.
(5‑2)
  Home Fri Nov 27, 3:00 pm


Jaguars Nonconference Schedule
Week Wk Opponent Conference Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
1 SE Louisiana ‑‑ 39‑14 Home Sat Sep 5, 7:00 pm
2 Tulane
(4‑4)
American AthleticAm. Athletic 24‑28 Away Sat Sep 12, 7:00 pm
3 Ohio
(6‑2)
MACMAC 41‑36 Home Sat Sep 19, 7:00 pm
4 Kentucky
(7‑1)
SECSEC 21‑45 Away Sat Sep 26, 12:45 pm