The South Alabama Jaguars What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how South Alabama plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Win Next Game | 5 | 2 | 15% | 22% | 25% | 36% | 1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 4 | 2 | 13% | 20% | 25% | 39% | 4% | ^ | ^ |
| Lose Next Game | 4 | 3 | 2% | 16% | 29% | 43% | 9% | ^ | ^ |
| Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 50% | 17% | 12% | 21% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 13% | 20% | 25% | 39% | 4% | ^ | ^ |
| Worst Case Scenario | X | 5% | 41% | 55% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
|
Best Case Scenario LA Monroe beats Arkansas St. South Alabama beats Southern Miss Troy beats UL Lafayette |
Worst Case Scenario Arkansas St. beats LA Monroe Southern Miss beats South Alabama UL Lafayette beats Troy |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | ||
| 2 of 2 | 100% | 6 | 2 | 31% | 40% | 29% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 2 | 50% | 5 | 3 | 2% | 18% | 38% | 42% | 1% | ^ | ^ |
| 0 of 2 | 0% | 4 | 4 | X | X | 3% | 78% | 18% | ^ | ^ |