The Most Important Games for Arsenal are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's qualifing probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Arsenal fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Arsenal Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qualifing Finish | Elimination | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
2* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
3* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
4* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
5* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
6* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
7* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
8* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | |||
| Arsenal (2‑1‑1) vs Sporting CP (3‑0‑1) |
53 | Arsenal Wins | 2% | 9% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 3% | ||
| Sporting CP Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 5% | ||
| Young Boys (0‑4) vs Atalanta (2‑0‑2) |
3 | Young Boys Wins | 1% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 3% | ||
| Atalanta Wins | 1% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 3% | ||
| Salzburg (1‑3) vs Leverkusen (2‑1‑1) |
3 | Salzburg Wins | 1% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 3% | ||
| Leverkusen Wins | 1% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% | ||
| Liverpool (4‑0) vs Real Madrid (2‑2) |
2 | Liverpool Wins | <1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 3% | ||
| Real Madrid Wins | 2% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% | ||
| Shakhtar (1‑2‑1) vs PSV Eindhoven (1‑1‑2) |
2 | Shakhtar Wins | 1% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 3% | ||
| PSV Eindhoven Wins | 1% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Feyenoord (2‑2) vs Manchester City (2‑1‑1) |
2 | Feyenoord Wins | 1% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 3% | ||
| Manchester City Wins | 1% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Slovan (0‑4) vs AC Milan (2‑2) |
2 | Slovan Wins | 1% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 3% | ||
| AC Milan Wins | 1% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% | ||
| Juventus (2‑1‑1) vs Aston Villa (3‑1) |
2 | Juventus Wins | 1% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 3% | ||
| Aston Villa Wins | 1% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Sparta Prague (1‑2‑1) vs Atletico Madrid (2‑2) |
1 | Sparta Prague Wins | 1% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 3% | ||
| Atletico Madrid Wins | 1% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% | ||
| Paris SG (1‑2‑1) vs Bayern Munich (2‑2) |
1 | Paris SG Wins | 1% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 3% | ||
| Bayern Munich Wins | 1% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Sturm Graz (0‑4) vs Girona (1‑3) |
1 | Sturm Graz Wins | 1% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 3% | ||
| Girona Wins | 1% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 3% | ||
| Club Brugge (2‑2) vs Celtic (2‑1‑1) |
1 | Club Brugge Wins | 1% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 3% | ||
| Celtic Wins | 1% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% | ||
| Zagreb (2‑1‑1) vs Dortmund (3‑1) |
1 | Zagreb Wins | 1% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 3% | ||
| Dortmund Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Bologna (0‑3‑1) vs Lille (2‑1‑1) |
1 | Bologna Wins | 1% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 3% | ||
| Lille Wins | 1% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Brest (3‑0‑1) vs Barcelona (3‑1) |
1 | Brest Wins | 1% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 3% | ||
| Barcelona Wins | 1% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Inter Milan (3‑0‑1) vs RB Leipzig (0‑4) |
1 | Inter Milan Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 3% | ||
| RB Leipzig Wins | 1% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% | ||
| Benfica (2‑2) vs Monaco (3‑0‑1) |
0 | Benfica Wins | 1% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 3% | ||
| Monaco Wins | 1% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| RS Belgrade (0‑4) vs Stuttgart (1‑2‑1) |
0 | RS Belgrade Wins | 1% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 3% | ||
| Stuttgart Wins | 1% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 3% | ||