The Most Important Games for Aston Villa are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's qualifing probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Aston Villa fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Aston Villa Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qualifing Finish | Elimination | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
2* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
3* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
4* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
5* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
6* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
7* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
8* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | |||
| Aston Villa (3‑0) vs Barcelona (2‑1) |
22 | Aston Villa Wins | 44% | 20% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Barcelona Wins | 10% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| AEK Athens (1‑2) vs Real Madrid (3‑0) |
2 | AEK Athens Wins | 20% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Real Madrid Wins | 17% | 15% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Leipzig (1‑2) vs Manchester City (2‑1) |
2 | Leipzig Wins | 18% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Manchester City Wins | 18% | 15% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Fenerbahce (0‑1‑2) vs Liverpool (3‑0) |
1 | Fenerbahce Wins | 19% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Liverpool Wins | 17% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Villarreal (1‑2) vs Paris SG (3‑0) |
1 | Villarreal Wins | 19% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Paris SG Wins | 17% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Slavia Prague (0‑2‑1) vs Arsenal (2‑0‑1) |
1 | Slavia Prague Wins | 23% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Arsenal Wins | 16% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Feyenoord (1‑2) vs Inter Milan (1‑2) |
1 | Feyenoord Wins | 19% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Inter Milan Wins | 18% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Shakhtar (1‑1‑1) vs Sporting CP (2‑1) |
1 | Shakhtar Wins | 18% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Sporting CP Wins | 18% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Manchester U. (1‑2) vs Roma (1‑1‑1) |
1 | Manchester U. Wins | 18% | 15% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Roma Wins | 18% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| PSV Eindhoven (1‑1‑1) vs Club Brugge (2‑1) |
1 | PSV Eindhoven Wins | 18% | 15% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Club Brugge Wins | 18% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Real Betis (3‑0) vs Dortmund (2‑1) |
0 | Real Betis Wins | 18% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Dortmund Wins | 19% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Slovan (0‑3) vs Lask Linz (1‑2) |
0 | Slovan Wins | 18% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Lask Linz Wins | 18% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Lille (0‑3) vs Bodo (1‑2) |
0 | Lille Wins | 19% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Bodo Wins | 18% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Lens (1‑2) vs Como (2‑1) |
0 | Lens Wins | 19% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Como Wins | 19% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Atletico Madrid (1‑1‑1) vs Bayern Munich (1‑0‑2) |
0 | Atletico Madrid Wins | 19% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Bayern Munich Wins | 17% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Porto (0‑3) vs Napoli (1‑2) |
0 | Porto Wins | 18% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Napoli Wins | 18% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Viking FK (0‑2‑1) vs Sabah (1‑2) |
0 | Viking FK Wins | 18% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Sabah Wins | 19% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| GalatasarayGalatasary (1‑2) vs Stuttgart (2‑0‑1) |
0 | GalatasarayGalatasary Wins | 19% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Stuttgart Wins | 18% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||