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Wed Nov 20 9:15 am

UEFA Champions League - Week 9 of 20

Salzburg What If?

The Salzburg What If table presents qualifing probabilities depended upon how Salzburg plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Salzburg What If?

Next Game - Leverkusen (2‑1‑1)

  Resultant Record Qualifing Finish Elimination
  W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 2*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 3*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 4*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 5*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 6*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 7*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 8*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Win Next Game 2 3 0 6 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 4% 80%
Current Standings 1 3 0 3 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 94%
Lose Next Game 1 4 0 3 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 98%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Qualifing Finish Elimination
  1*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 2*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 3*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 4*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 5*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 6*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 7*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 8*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Best Case Scenario <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 4% 80%
Current Standings <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 94%
Worst Case Scenario <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 98%
Best Case Scenario
   Salzburg beats Leverkusen
 Worst Case Scenario
   Leverkusen beats Salzburg
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the qualifing probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Qualifing Finish Elimination
W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 2*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 3*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 4*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 5*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 6*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 7*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 8*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
4 of 4 100% 5 3 0 15 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 14% 23% 25% 18% 9% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
3 of 4 75% 4 4 0 12 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 11% 20% 23% 20% 12% 4% 1% <1% <1%
2 of 4 50% 3 5 0 9 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 94%
1 of 4 25% 2 6 0 6 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 4 0% 1 7 0 3 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this qualifing spot
  • X means the team cannot win this qualifing spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round bye in the knockout round