The Most Important Games for the Bears are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bears final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Bears Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Bears (5‑3) vs Giants (2‑7) |
32 | Bears Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 55% | ||
| Giants Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 67% | ||
| Commanders (3‑6) vs Lions (5‑3) |
6 | Commanders Wins | 3% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 55% | ||
| Lions Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 56% | ||
| Ravens (3‑5) vs Vikings (4‑4) |
4 | Ravens Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 55% | ||
| Vikings Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 55% | ||
| Patriots (7‑2) vs Buccaneers (6‑2) |
4 | Patriots Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 55% | ||
| Buccaneers Wins | 3% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 56% | ||
| Saints (1‑8) vs Panthers (5‑4) |
4 | Saints Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 53% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 55% | ||
| Panthers Wins | 3% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 56% | ||
| Eagles (6‑2) vs Packers (5‑2‑1) |
4 | Eagles Wins | 3% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 55% | ||
| Packers Wins | 3% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 56% | ||
| Cardinals (3‑5) vs Seahawks (6‑2) |
3 | Cardinals Wins | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 55% | ||
| Seahawks Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 55% | ||
| Forty-Niners49ers (6‑3) vs Rams (6‑2) |
2 | Forty-Niners49ers Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 55% | ||
| Rams Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 55% | ||
| Colts (7‑2) vs Falcons (3‑5) |
2 | Colts Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 55% | ||
| Falcons Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 55% | ||