The Most Important Games for the Bears are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bears final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Bears Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Bears (4‑4) vs Patriots (2‑7) |
10 | Bears Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 86% | ||
| Patriots Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 92% | ||
| Texans (6‑3) vs Lions (7‑1) |
2 | Texans Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 86% | ||
| Lions Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 87% | ||
| Cowboys (3‑5) vs Eagles (6‑2) |
2 | Cowboys Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 86% | ||
| Eagles Wins | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 86% | ||
| Jaguars (2‑7) vs Vikings (6‑2) |
1 | Jaguars Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 86% | ||
| Vikings Wins | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 86% | ||
| Forty-Niners49'ers (4‑4) vs Buccaneers (4‑5) |
1 | Forty-Niners49'ers Wins | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 86% | ||
| Buccaneers Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 86% | ||
| Giants (2‑7) vs Panthers (2‑7) |
1 | Giants Wins | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 86% | ||
| Panthers Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 86% | ||
| Dolphins (2‑6) vs Rams (4‑4) |
0 | Dolphins Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 86% | ||
| Rams Wins | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 86% | ||
| Saints (2‑7) vs Falcons (6‑3) |
0 | Saints Wins | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 86% | ||
| Falcons Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 86% | ||
| Commanders (7‑2) vs Steelers (6‑2) |
0 | Commanders Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 86% | ||
| Steelers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 86% | ||
| Jets (3‑6) vs Cardinals (5‑4) |
0 | Jets Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 86% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 86% | ||