The Most Important Games for the Bears are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bears final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Bears Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Bears (4‑7) vs Lions (10‑1) |
0 | Bears Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Lions Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Dolphins (5‑6) vs Packers (8‑3) |
0 | Dolphins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Packers Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Vikings (9‑2) vs Cardinals (6‑5) |
0 | Vikings Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Cowboys (4‑7) vs Giants (2‑9) |
0 | Cowboys Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Giants Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Rams (5‑6) vs Saints (4‑7) |
0 | Rams Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Saints Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Jets (3‑8) vs Seahawks (6‑5) |
0 | Jets Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Seahawks Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Titans (3‑8) vs Commanders (7‑5) |
0 | Titans Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Commanders Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Chargers (7‑3) vs Falcons (6‑5) |
0 | Chargers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Falcons Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Eagles (9‑2) vs Ravens (7‑4) |
0 | Eagles Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Ravens Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Bills (9‑2) vs Forty-Niners49'ers (5‑6) |
0 | Bills Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Forty-Niners49'ers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Buccaneers (5‑6) vs Panthers (3‑8) |
0 | Buccaneers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Panthers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||