The Most Important Games for the Bears are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bears final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Bears Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Bears (2‑1) vs Jets (1‑2) |
27 | Bears Wins | 9% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 18% | 11% | 9% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 17% | 11% | 9% | 43% | ||
| Jets Wins | 5% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 49% | ||
| Dolphins (0‑3) vs Vikings (3‑0) |
7 | Dolphins Wins | 9% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 15% | 10% | 9% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 17% | 11% | 9% | 43% | ||
| Vikings Wins | 8% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 17% | 11% | 9% | 44% | ||
| Falcons (1‑2) vs Saints (1‑2) |
2 | Falcons Wins | 9% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 17% | 11% | 9% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 17% | 11% | 9% | 43% | ||
| Saints Wins | 8% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 17% | 11% | 9% | 43% | ||
| Broncos (2‑1) vs Forty-Niners49ers (3‑0) |
2 | Broncos Wins | 9% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 17% | 11% | 9% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 17% | 11% | 9% | 43% | ||
| Forty-Niners49ers Wins | 8% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 16% | 11% | 9% | 44% | ||
| Rams (1‑2) vs Eagles (2‑1) |
2 | Rams Wins | 9% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 17% | 11% | 8% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 17% | 11% | 9% | 43% | ||
| Eagles Wins | 8% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 17% | 10% | 9% | 44% | ||
| Texans (0‑3) vs Cowboys (1‑2) |
2 | Texans Wins | 9% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 17% | 11% | 9% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 17% | 11% | 9% | 43% | ||
| Cowboys Wins | 8% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 16% | 11% | 9% | 44% | ||
| Colts (1‑2) vs Commanders (1‑2) |
2 | Colts Wins | 9% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 17% | 11% | 9% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 17% | 11% | 9% | 43% | ||
| Commanders Wins | 8% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 17% | 11% | 9% | 44% | ||
| Packers (1‑2) vs Buccaneers (0‑3) |
1 | Packers Wins | 9% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 16% | 11% | 9% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 17% | 11% | 9% | 43% | ||
| Buccaneers Wins | 8% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 17% | 11% | 8% | 44% | ||
| Chargers (0‑3) vs Seahawks (2‑1) |
1 | Chargers Wins | 9% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 17% | 11% | 9% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 17% | 11% | 9% | 43% | ||
| Seahawks Wins | 9% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 16% | 11% | 9% | 44% | ||
| Panthers (1‑2) vs Lions (2‑1) |
1 | Panthers Wins | 9% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 16% | 10% | 8% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 17% | 11% | 9% | 43% | ||
| Lions Wins | 9% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 17% | 11% | 9% | 43% | ||
| Cardinals (1‑2) vs Giants (2‑1) |
0 | Cardinals Wins | 9% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 17% | 11% | 9% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 17% | 11% | 9% | 43% | ||
| Giants Wins | 9% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 17% | 11% | 8% | 43% | ||