The Most Important Games for the Bears are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bears final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Bears Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Bears (5‑2) vs Seahawks (4‑3) |
39 | Bears Wins | 7% | 5% | 1% | <1% | 32% | 20% | 14% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 5% | 1% | <1% | 26% | 18% | 14% | 31% | ||
| Seahawks Wins | 3% | 5% | 1% | <1% | 20% | 18% | 16% | 38% | ||
| Lions (4‑2) vs Vikings (6‑0) |
10 | Lions Wins | 7% | 6% | 1% | <1% | 22% | 17% | 14% | 32% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 5% | 1% | <1% | 26% | 18% | 14% | 31% | ||
| Vikings Wins | 5% | 4% | <1% | <1% | 28% | 18% | 14% | 31% | ||
| Eagles (2‑5) vs Commanders (1‑4‑1) |
3 | Eagles Wins | 6% | 5% | <1% | <1% | 26% | 18% | 14% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 5% | 1% | <1% | 26% | 18% | 14% | 31% | ||
| Commanders Wins | 6% | 5% | <1% | <1% | 26% | 18% | 14% | 31% | ||
| Chargers (0‑6) vs Rams (3‑4) |
2 | Chargers Wins | 6% | 5% | 1% | <1% | 27% | 18% | 14% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 5% | 1% | <1% | 26% | 18% | 14% | 31% | ||
| Rams Wins | 6% | 5% | 1% | <1% | 26% | 18% | 14% | 31% | ||
| Cardinals (2‑5) vs Cowboys (3‑4) |
1 | Cardinals Wins | 6% | 5% | 1% | <1% | 26% | 18% | 14% | 31% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 5% | 1% | <1% | 26% | 18% | 14% | 31% | ||
| Cowboys Wins | 6% | 5% | 1% | <1% | 25% | 19% | 14% | 31% | ||
| Falcons (3‑4) vs Buccaneers (2‑5) |
0 | Falcons Wins | 6% | 5% | 1% | <1% | 26% | 18% | 14% | 31% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 5% | 1% | <1% | 26% | 18% | 14% | 31% | ||
| Buccaneers Wins | 6% | 5% | <1% | <1% | 26% | 18% | 14% | 31% | ||