The Most Important Games for the Bears are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bears final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Bears Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Bears (3‑2) vs Saints (1‑5) |
33 | Bears Wins | 6% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 49% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 51% | ||
| Saints Wins | 2% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 61% | ||
| Eagles (4‑2) vs Vikings (3‑2) |
5 | Eagles Wins | 6% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 51% | ||
| Vikings Wins | 5% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 52% | ||
| Jets (0‑6) vs Panthers (3‑3) |
2 | Jets Wins | 5% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 50% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 51% | ||
| Panthers Wins | 5% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 52% | ||
| Texans (2‑3) vs Seahawks (4‑2) |
1 | Texans Wins | 5% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 51% | ||
| Seahawks Wins | 5% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 51% | ||
| Lions (4‑2) vs Buccaneers (5‑1) |
1 | Lions Wins | 6% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 52% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 51% | ||
| Buccaneers Wins | 5% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 51% | ||
| Jaguars (4‑2) vs Rams (4‑2) |
1 | Jaguars Wins | 5% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 51% | ||
| Rams Wins | 5% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 52% | ||
| Forty-Niners49ers (4‑2) vs Falcons (3‑2) |
1 | Forty-Niners49ers Wins | 5% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 51% | ||
| Falcons Wins | 5% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 51% | ||
| Cardinals (2‑4) vs Packers (3‑1‑1) |
1 | Cardinals Wins | 5% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 51% | ||
| Packers Wins | 5% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 51% | ||
| Commanders (3‑3) vs Cowboys (2‑3‑1) |
1 | Commanders Wins | 5% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 51% | ||
| Cowboys Wins | 5% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 51% | ||
| Broncos (4‑2) vs Giants (2‑4) |
1 | Broncos Wins | 5% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 51% | ||
| Giants Wins | 5% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 51% | ||