The Bears What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Bears play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
Win Next Game | 5 | 4 | 0 | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 85% |
Current Standings | 4 | 4 | 0 | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 86% |
Lose Next Game | 4 | 5 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 92% |
Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
Best Case Scenario | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 85% |
Current Standings | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 86% |
Worst Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 92% |
Best Case Scenario Bears beats Patriots |
Worst Case Scenario Patriots beats Bears |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | ||
9 of 9 | 100% | 13 | 4 | 0 | 33% | 49% | 5% | <1% | 12% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
8 of 9 | 89% | 12 | 5 | 0 | 5% | 23% | 15% | 3% | 40% | 13% | 1% | <1% |
7 of 9 | 78% | 11 | 6 | 0 | <1% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 26% | 41% | 20% | 4% |
6 of 9 | 67% | 10 | 7 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 18% | 36% | 42% |
5 of 9 | 56% | 9 | 8 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 91% |
4 of 9 | 44% | 8 | 9 | 0 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
3 of 9 | 33% | 7 | 10 | 0 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
2 of 9 | 22% | 6 | 11 | 0 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |
1 of 9 | 11% | 5 | 12 | 0 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
0 of 9 | 0% | 4 | 13 | 0 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |