The Bears What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Bears play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Win Next Game | 12 | 4 | 0 | 51% | 49% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 11 | 4 | 0 | 19% | 70% | 3% | X | X | <1% | 7% | ^ |
| Lose Next Game | 11 | 5 | 0 | X | 83% | 5% | X | X | <1% | 11% | ^ |
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 87% | 13% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 19% | 70% | 3% | X | X | <1% | 7% | ^ |
| Worst Case Scenario | X | 83% | 5% | X | X | X | 11% | ^ |
|
Best Case Scenario Panthers beats Seahawks Bears beats Forty-Niners Falcons beats Rams |
Worst Case Scenario Seahawks beats Panthers Forty-Niners beats Bears Rams beats Falcons |
|||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | ||
| 2 of 2 | 100% | 13 | 4 | 0 | 68% | 32% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 2 | 50% | 12 | 5 | 0 | 3% | 97% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 0 of 2 | 0% | 11 | 6 | 0 | X | 41% | 19% | X | X | 1% | 40% | ^ |