The Most Important Games for the Chiefs are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Chiefs final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Chiefs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Chiefs Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Chiefs (10‑1) vs Raiders (2‑9) |
81 | Chiefs Wins | 67% | 23% | 4% | <1% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 66% | 24% | 4% | <1% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Raiders Wins | 40% | 37% | 10% | 1% | 12% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Forty-Niners49'ers (5‑6) vs Bills (9‑2) |
45 | Forty-Niners49'ers Wins | 81% | 10% | 3% | <1% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 66% | 24% | 4% | <1% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Bills Wins | 63% | 26% | 5% | <1% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Falcons (6‑5) vs Chargers (7‑3) |
10 | Falcons Wins | 67% | 25% | 5% | <1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 66% | 24% | 4% | <1% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Chargers Wins | 65% | 23% | 4% | <1% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Ravens (7‑4) vs Chargers (7‑3) |
9 | Ravens Wins | 67% | 25% | 6% | <1% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 66% | 24% | 4% | <1% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Chargers Wins | 66% | 23% | 4% | <1% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Bengals (4‑7) vs Steelers (8‑3) |
7 | Bengals Wins | 67% | 26% | 2% | <1% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 66% | 24% | 4% | <1% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Steelers Wins | 65% | 24% | 5% | <1% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Packers (8‑3) vs Dolphins (5‑6) |
1 | Packers Wins | 66% | 24% | 5% | <1% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 66% | 24% | 4% | <1% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Dolphins Wins | 66% | 24% | 5% | <1% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Colts (5‑7) vs Patriots (3‑9) |
1 | Colts Wins | 66% | 23% | 5% | <1% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 66% | 24% | 4% | <1% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Patriots Wins | 66% | 24% | 4% | <1% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Browns (3‑8) vs Broncos (7‑5) |
1 | Browns Wins | 66% | 24% | 5% | <1% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 66% | 24% | 4% | <1% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Broncos Wins | 66% | 23% | 5% | <1% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Texans (7‑5) vs Jaguars (2‑9) |
1 | Texans Wins | 66% | 24% | 4% | <1% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 66% | 24% | 4% | <1% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Jaguars Wins | 66% | 23% | 5% | <1% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Eagles (8‑2) vs Ravens (7‑4) |
0 | Eagles Wins | 67% | 23% | 4% | <1% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 66% | 24% | 4% | <1% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Ravens Wins | 67% | 23% | 5% | <1% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Commanders (7‑5) vs Titans (3‑8) |
0 | Commanders Wins | 66% | 24% | 4% | <1% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 66% | 24% | 4% | <1% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Titans Wins | 66% | 24% | 4% | <1% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Jets (3‑8) vs Seahawks (6‑5) |
0 | Jets Wins | 66% | 24% | 4% | <1% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 66% | 24% | 4% | <1% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Seahawks Wins | 66% | 24% | 4% | <1% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||