The Most Important Games for the Chiefs are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Chiefs final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Chiefs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Chiefs Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Chiefs (3‑0) vs Raiders (3‑0) |
63 | Chiefs Wins | 26% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 16% | 10% | 8% | 24% | ||
| Raiders Wins | 14% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 19% | 11% | 9% | 28% | ||
| Forty-Niners49ers (3‑0) vs Broncos (2‑1) |
6 | Forty-Niners49ers Wins | 22% | 11% | 7% | 3% | 15% | 10% | 8% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 16% | 10% | 8% | 24% | ||
| Broncos Wins | 22% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 16% | 10% | 8% | 25% | ||
| Cowboys (1‑2) vs Texans (0‑3) |
5 | Cowboys Wins | 22% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 16% | 10% | 8% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 16% | 10% | 8% | 24% | ||
| Texans Wins | 21% | 11% | 7% | 3% | 16% | 10% | 8% | 25% | ||
| Patriots (1‑2) vs Bills (3‑0) |
3 | Patriots Wins | 23% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 15% | 10% | 8% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 16% | 10% | 8% | 24% | ||
| Bills Wins | 21% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 16% | 10% | 8% | 25% | ||
| Bears (2‑1) vs Jets (1‑2) |
2 | Bears Wins | 21% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 16% | 10% | 8% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 16% | 10% | 8% | 24% | ||
| Jets Wins | 21% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 16% | 10% | 8% | 25% | ||
| Dolphins (0‑3) vs Vikings (3‑0) |
2 | Dolphins Wins | 21% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 16% | 10% | 8% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 16% | 10% | 8% | 24% | ||
| Vikings Wins | 21% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 16% | 10% | 8% | 25% | ||
| Seahawks (2‑1) vs Chargers (0‑3) |
1 | Seahawks Wins | 22% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 16% | 10% | 8% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 16% | 10% | 8% | 24% | ||
| Chargers Wins | 21% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 16% | 10% | 8% | 25% | ||
| Bengals (2‑1) vs Jaguars (2‑1) |
1 | Bengals Wins | 22% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 16% | 10% | 8% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 16% | 10% | 8% | 24% | ||
| Jaguars Wins | 21% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 17% | 10% | 8% | 24% | ||
| Colts (1‑2) vs Commanders (1‑2) |
0 | Colts Wins | 22% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 16% | 10% | 8% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 16% | 10% | 8% | 24% | ||
| Commanders Wins | 21% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 16% | 10% | 8% | 25% | ||
| Titans (0‑3) vs Ravens (2‑1) |
0 | Titans Wins | 22% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 16% | 10% | 8% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 16% | 10% | 8% | 24% | ||
| Ravens Wins | 22% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 15% | 10% | 8% | 25% | ||