The Most Important Games for the Chiefs are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Chiefs final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Chiefs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Chiefs Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Chiefs (8‑0) vs Broncos (5‑4) |
48 | Chiefs Wins | 81% | 11% | 4% | 1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 79% | 12% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Broncos Wins | 66% | 18% | 6% | 1% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Colts (4‑5) vs Bills (7‑2) |
15 | Colts Wins | 82% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 79% | 12% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Bills Wins | 76% | 14% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Commanders (7‑2) vs Steelers (6‑2) |
9 | Commanders Wins | 81% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 79% | 12% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Steelers Wins | 77% | 13% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Lions (7‑1) vs Texans (6‑3) |
4 | Lions Wins | 79% | 13% | 3% | 1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 79% | 12% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Texans Wins | 78% | 12% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Jets (3‑6) vs Cardinals (5‑4) |
3 | Jets Wins | 79% | 11% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 79% | 12% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 78% | 12% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Titans (2‑6) vs Chargers (5‑3) |
3 | Titans Wins | 79% | 13% | 4% | 1% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 79% | 12% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Chargers Wins | 79% | 12% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Vikings (6‑2) vs Jaguars (2‑7) |
1 | Vikings Wins | 79% | 12% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 79% | 12% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Jaguars Wins | 79% | 12% | 4% | 1% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Bears (4‑4) vs Patriots (2‑7) |
1 | Bears Wins | 79% | 12% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 79% | 12% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Patriots Wins | 79% | 12% | 4% | 1% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Rams (4‑4) vs Dolphins (2‑6) |
0 | Rams Wins | 79% | 12% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 79% | 12% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Dolphins Wins | 79% | 12% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Ravens (6‑3) vs Bengals (4‑5) |
0 | Ravens Wins | 79% | 12% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 79% | 12% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Bengals Wins | 79% | 12% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||