The Colts What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Colts play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Win Next Game | 5 | 5 | 0 | <1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 17% | 16% | 43% |
| Current Standings | 4 | 5 | 0 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 14% | 15% | 54% |
| Lose Next Game | 4 | 6 | 0 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 4% | 12% | 16% | 62% |
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Best Case Scenario | <1% | 2% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 15% | 16% | 42% |
| Current Standings | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 14% | 15% | 54% |
| Worst Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 4% | 12% | 15% | 66% |
|
Best Case Scenario Chiefs beats Broncos Colts beats Bills Lions beats Texans |
Worst Case Scenario Broncos beats Chiefs Bills beats Colts Texans beats Lions |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | ||
| 8 of 8 | 100% | 12 | 5 | 0 | <1% | 26% | 30% | 6% | 34% | 4% | <1% | ^ |
| 7 of 8 | 88% | 11 | 6 | 0 | <1% | 4% | 20% | 17% | 35% | 22% | 1% | <1% |
| 6 of 8 | 75% | 10 | 7 | 0 | <1% | <1% | 5% | 16% | 20% | 40% | 17% | 2% |
| 5 of 8 | 63% | 9 | 8 | 0 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 4% | 26% | 40% | 22% |
| 4 of 8 | 50% | 8 | 9 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | <1% | 4% | 24% | 70% |
| 3 of 8 | 38% | 7 | 10 | 0 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 97% |
| 2 of 8 | 25% | 6 | 11 | 0 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 1 of 8 | 13% | 5 | 12 | 0 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |
| 0 of 8 | 0% | 4 | 13 | 0 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |