The Colts What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Colts play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
Win Next Game | 6 | 7 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 12% | 1% | 9% | 16% | 61% |
Current Standings | 5 | 7 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 1% | 7% | 14% | 68% |
Lose Next Game | 5 | 8 | 0 | X | <1% | <1% | 3% | <1% | 3% | 11% | 83% |
Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
Best Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | 1% | 21% | 1% | 9% | 15% | 53% |
Current Standings | <1% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 1% | 7% | 14% | 68% |
Worst Case Scenario | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 3% | 11% | 85% |
Best Case Scenario Jaguars beats Texans Colts beats Patriots Browns beats Broncos |
Worst Case Scenario Texans beats Jaguars Patriots beats Colts Broncos beats Browns |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | ||
5 of 5 | 100% | 10 | 7 | 0 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 40% | 9% | 34% | 14% | 1% |
4 of 5 | 80% | 9 | 8 | 0 | X | <1% | <1% | 17% | 1% | 16% | 41% | 26% |
3 of 5 | 60% | 8 | 9 | 0 | X | X | X | 3% | <1% | 1% | 14% | 83% |
2 of 5 | 40% | 7 | 10 | 0 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |
1 of 5 | 20% | 6 | 11 | 0 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
0 of 5 | 0% | 5 | 12 | 0 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |