The Most Important Games for the Colts are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Colts final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Colts fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Colts Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Colts (1‑2) vs Commanders (1‑2) |
15 | Colts Wins | 1% | 3% | 8% | 14% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 7% | 14% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 65% | ||
| Commanders Wins | <1% | 2% | 6% | 13% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 69% | ||
| Bengals (2‑1) vs Jaguars (2‑1) |
3 | Bengals Wins | 1% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 7% | 14% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 65% | ||
| Jaguars Wins | 1% | 3% | 7% | 12% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 66% | ||
| Cowboys (1‑2) vs Texans (0‑3) |
2 | Cowboys Wins | 1% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 7% | 14% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 65% | ||
| Texans Wins | 1% | 3% | 7% | 13% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 65% | ||
| Bears (2‑1) vs Jets (1‑2) |
2 | Bears Wins | 1% | 3% | 7% | 14% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 7% | 14% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 65% | ||
| Jets Wins | 1% | 3% | 7% | 14% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 66% | ||
| Patriots (1‑2) vs Bills (3‑0) |
1 | Patriots Wins | 1% | 3% | 7% | 13% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 7% | 14% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 65% | ||
| Bills Wins | <1% | 3% | 7% | 13% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 66% | ||
| Forty-Niners49ers (3‑0) vs Broncos (2‑1) |
1 | Forty-Niners49ers Wins | 1% | 3% | 7% | 14% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 7% | 14% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 65% | ||
| Broncos Wins | <1% | 3% | 7% | 14% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 65% | ||
| Dolphins (0‑3) vs Vikings (3‑0) |
1 | Dolphins Wins | 1% | 3% | 7% | 14% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 7% | 14% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 65% | ||
| Vikings Wins | 1% | 3% | 7% | 13% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 66% | ||
| Chargers (0‑3) vs Seahawks (2‑1) |
0 | Chargers Wins | 1% | 3% | 7% | 14% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 7% | 14% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 65% | ||
| Seahawks Wins | 1% | 3% | 7% | 14% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 65% | ||
| Chiefs (3‑0) vs Raiders (3‑0) |
0 | Chiefs Wins | 1% | 3% | 7% | 14% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 7% | 14% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 65% | ||
| Raiders Wins | 1% | 3% | 7% | 13% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 66% | ||
| Titans (0‑3) vs Ravens (2‑1) |
0 | Titans Wins | 1% | 3% | 7% | 13% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 7% | 14% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 65% | ||
| Ravens Wins | 1% | 3% | 7% | 14% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 65% | ||