The Most Important Games for the Colts are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Colts final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Colts fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Colts Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Colts (4‑5) vs Bills (7‑2) |
28 | Colts Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 17% | 16% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 14% | 15% | 54% | ||
| Bills Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 4% | 12% | 16% | 62% | ||
| Lions (7‑1) vs Texans (6‑3) |
5 | Lions Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 6% | 13% | 14% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 14% | 15% | 54% | ||
| Texans Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 9% | 15% | 16% | 54% | ||
| Titans (2‑6) vs Chargers (5‑3) |
4 | Titans Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 14% | 15% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 14% | 15% | 54% | ||
| Chargers Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 14% | 15% | 55% | ||
| Chiefs (8‑0) vs Broncos (5‑4) |
4 | Chiefs Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 14% | 15% | 53% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 14% | 15% | 54% | ||
| Broncos Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 12% | 15% | 57% | ||
| Commanders (7‑2) vs Steelers (6‑2) |
2 | Commanders Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 14% | 15% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 14% | 15% | 54% | ||
| Steelers Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 6% | 13% | 16% | 55% | ||
| Cardinals (5‑4) vs Jets (3‑6) |
1 | Cardinals Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 13% | 15% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 14% | 15% | 54% | ||
| Jets Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 13% | 15% | 55% | ||
| Rams (4‑4) vs Dolphins (2‑6) |
1 | Rams Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 14% | 16% | 53% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 14% | 15% | 54% | ||
| Dolphins Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 14% | 15% | 54% | ||
| Vikings (6‑2) vs Jaguars (2‑7) |
1 | Vikings Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 15% | 15% | 53% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 14% | 15% | 54% | ||
| Jaguars Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 14% | 14% | 54% | ||
| Patriots (2‑7) vs Bears (4‑4) |
0 | Patriots Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 14% | 15% | 53% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 14% | 15% | 54% | ||
| Bears Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 13% | 15% | 54% | ||
| Ravens (6‑3) vs Bengals (4‑5) |
0 | Ravens Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 13% | 15% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 14% | 15% | 54% | ||
| Bengals Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 15% | 14% | 55% | ||