The Most Important Games for the Cowboys are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cowboys final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Cowboys fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Cowboys Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Cowboys (2‑3‑1) vs Commanders (3‑3) |
21 | Cowboys Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 72% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 76% | ||
| Commanders Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 85% | ||
| Vikings (3‑2) vs Eagles (4‑2) |
4 | Vikings Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 76% | ||
| Eagles Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 77% | ||
| Saints (1‑5) vs Bears (3‑2) |
2 | Saints Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 75% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 76% | ||
| Bears Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 76% | ||
| Jets (0‑6) vs Panthers (3‑3) |
2 | Jets Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 75% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 76% | ||
| Panthers Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 77% | ||
| Jaguars (4‑2) vs Rams (4‑2) |
2 | Jaguars Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 75% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 76% | ||
| Rams Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 76% | ||
| Texans (2‑3) vs Seahawks (4‑2) |
1 | Texans Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 75% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 76% | ||
| Seahawks Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 76% | ||
| Broncos (4‑2) vs Giants (2‑4) |
1 | Broncos Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 76% | ||
| Giants Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 76% | ||
| Cardinals (2‑4) vs Packers (3‑1‑1) |
1 | Cardinals Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 76% | ||
| Packers Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 77% | ||
| Buccaneers (5‑1) vs Lions (4‑2) |
1 | Buccaneers Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 76% | ||
| Lions Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 76% | ||
| Falcons (3‑2) vs Forty-Niners49ers (4‑2) |
0 | Falcons Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 76% | ||
| Forty-Niners49ers Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 76% | ||