The Most Important Games for the Forty-Niners are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Forty-Niners final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Forty-Niners fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Forty-Niners Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Forty-Niners49ers (11‑4) vs Bears (11‑4) |
192 | Forty-Niners49ers Wins | 52% | X | X | X | 3% | 44% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 35% | 1% | 1% | X | 10% | 45% | 8% | ^ | ||
| Bears Wins | X | 4% | 2% | X | 24% | 52% | 19% | ^ | ||
| Panthers (8‑7) vs Seahawks (12‑3) |
8 | Panthers Wins | 34% | 3% | 2% | X | 15% | 39% | 8% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 35% | 1% | 1% | X | 10% | 45% | 8% | ^ | ||
| Seahawks Wins | 34% | X | X | X | 7% | 51% | 8% | ^ | ||
| Falcons (6‑9) vs Rams (11‑4) |
7 | Falcons Wins | 34% | 5% | 2% | X | 14% | 38% | 7% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 35% | 1% | 1% | X | 10% | 45% | 8% | ^ | ||
| Rams Wins | 34% | <1% | <1% | X | 9% | 48% | 8% | ^ | ||
| Bills (11‑4) vs Eagles (10‑5) |
4 | Bills Wins | 35% | 2% | X | X | 11% | 45% | 8% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 35% | 1% | 1% | X | 10% | 45% | 8% | ^ | ||
| Eagles Wins | 34% | <1% | 2% | X | 11% | 46% | 8% | ^ | ||
| Packers (9‑5‑1) vs Ravens (7‑8) |
3 | Packers Wins | 35% | 1% | 1% | X | 10% | 43% | 10% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 35% | 1% | 1% | X | 10% | 45% | 8% | ^ | ||
| Ravens Wins | 34% | 1% | 1% | X | 10% | 54% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Commanders (4‑11) vs Cowboys (6‑8‑1) |
0 | Commanders Wins | 35% | 1% | 1% | X | 10% | 45% | 8% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 35% | 1% | 1% | X | 10% | 45% | 8% | ^ | ||
| Cowboys Wins | 35% | 1% | 1% | X | 10% | 45% | 8% | ^ | ||
| Vikings (7‑8) vs Lions (8‑7) |
0 | Vikings Wins | 35% | 1% | 1% | X | 10% | 45% | 8% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 35% | 1% | 1% | X | 10% | 45% | 8% | ^ | ||
| Lions Wins | 35% | 1% | 1% | X | 10% | 45% | 8% | ^ | ||
| Bengals (5‑10) vs Cardinals (3‑12) |
0 | Bengals Wins | 35% | 1% | 1% | X | 10% | 45% | 8% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 35% | 1% | 1% | X | 10% | 45% | 8% | ^ | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 35% | 1% | 1% | X | 10% | 45% | 8% | ^ | ||
| Dolphins (6‑9) vs Buccaneers (7‑8) |
0 | Dolphins Wins | 35% | 1% | 1% | X | 10% | 45% | 8% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 35% | 1% | 1% | X | 10% | 45% | 8% | ^ | ||
| Buccaneers Wins | 35% | 1% | 1% | X | 10% | 45% | 8% | ^ | ||
| Titans (3‑12) vs Saints (5‑10) |
0 | Titans Wins | 35% | 1% | 1% | X | 10% | 45% | 8% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 35% | 1% | 1% | X | 10% | 45% | 8% | ^ | ||
| Saints Wins | 35% | 1% | 1% | X | 10% | 45% | 8% | ^ | ||
| Raiders (2‑13) vs Giants (2‑13) |
0 | Raiders Wins | 35% | 1% | 1% | X | 10% | 45% | 8% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 35% | 1% | 1% | X | 10% | 45% | 8% | ^ | ||
| Giants Wins | 35% | 1% | 1% | X | 10% | 45% | 8% | ^ | ||