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Thu Oct 29 11:30 pm

NFL - Week 8 of 18

Forty-Niners Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Forty-Niners are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Forty-Niners final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Forty-Niners fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Forty-Niners Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Forty-Niners Resultant Playoff Probabilities
Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
Lions
(4‑2)

vs
Vikings
(6‑0)
10 Lions Wins 34% 34% 10% 3% 3% 5% 5% 6%
Current Probabilities 31% 36% 10% 3% 3% 5% 4% 6%
Vikings Wins 30% 37% 11% 3% 4% 6% 5% 5%
Chargers
(0‑6)

vs
Rams
(3‑4)
4 Chargers Wins 31% 37% 11% 4% 3% 5% 4% 5%
Current Probabilities 31% 36% 10% 3% 3% 5% 4% 6%
Rams Wins 31% 36% 11% 3% 4% 5% 4% 6%
Falcons
(3‑4)

vs
Buccaneers
(2‑5)
2 Falcons Wins 32% 36% 10% 3% 3% 5% 4% 6%
Current Probabilities 31% 36% 10% 3% 3% 5% 4% 6%
Buccaneers Wins 31% 36% 11% 3% 4% 5% 4% 6%
Cowboys
(3‑4)

vs
Cardinals
(2‑5)
2 Cowboys Wins 31% 36% 11% 3% 3% 5% 5% 5%
Current Probabilities 31% 36% 10% 3% 3% 5% 4% 6%
Cardinals Wins 31% 37% 10% 3% 4% 6% 5% 6%
Eagles
(2‑5)

vs
Commanders
(1‑4‑1)
1 Eagles Wins 31% 36% 11% 3% 4% 5% 4% 6%
Current Probabilities 31% 36% 10% 3% 3% 5% 4% 6%
Commanders Wins 31% 37% 10% 3% 3% 5% 4% 6%
Seahawks
(4‑3)

vs
Bears
(5‑2)
1 Seahawks Wins 32% 35% 10% 3% 4% 6% 5% 6%
Current Probabilities 31% 36% 10% 3% 3% 5% 4% 6%
Bears Wins 30% 38% 11% 4% 2% 4% 4% 6%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs