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Mon Nov 25 1:00 am

NFL - Week 12 of 18

Forty-Niners Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Forty-Niners are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Forty-Niners final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Forty-Niners fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Forty-Niners Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Forty-Niners Resultant Playoff Probabilities
Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
Forty-Niners49'ers
(5‑6)

vs
Bills
(9‑2)
14 Forty-Niners49'ers Wins <1% <1% 5% 5% <1% <1% 5% 85%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 2% 3% <1% <1% 3% 91%
Bills Wins <1% <1% 1% 3% <1% <1% 3% 94%
Vikings
(9‑2)

vs
Cardinals
(6‑5)
4 Vikings Wins <1% <1% 2% 4% <1% <1% 3% 91%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 2% 3% <1% <1% 3% 91%
Cardinals Wins <1% <1% 2% 2% <1% <1% 3% 93%
Saints
(4‑7)

vs
Rams
(5‑6)
2 Saints Wins <1% <1% 2% 4% <1% <1% 3% 91%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 2% 3% <1% <1% 3% 91%
Rams Wins <1% <1% 2% 3% <1% <1% 4% 92%
Titans
(3‑8)

vs
Commanders
(7‑5)
2 Titans Wins <1% <1% 2% 3% <1% <1% 4% 90%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 2% 3% <1% <1% 3% 91%
Commanders Wins <1% <1% 2% 3% <1% <1% 3% 92%
Jets
(3‑8)

vs
Seahawks
(6‑5)
2 Jets Wins <1% <1% 2% 4% <1% <1% 3% 91%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 2% 3% <1% <1% 3% 91%
Seahawks Wins <1% <1% 2% 3% <1% <1% 3% 92%
Panthers
(3‑8)

vs
Buccaneers
(5‑6)
1 Panthers Wins <1% <1% 2% 3% <1% <1% 4% 91%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 2% 3% <1% <1% 3% 91%
Buccaneers Wins <1% <1% 2% 3% <1% <1% 3% 92%
Dolphins
(5‑6)

vs
Packers
(8‑3)
1 Dolphins Wins <1% <1% 2% 3% <1% <1% 3% 91%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 2% 3% <1% <1% 3% 91%
Packers Wins <1% <1% 2% 3% <1% <1% 3% 91%
Chargers
(7‑3)

vs
Falcons
(6‑5)
1 Chargers Wins <1% <1% 3% 3% <1% <1% 3% 91%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 2% 3% <1% <1% 3% 91%
Falcons Wins <1% <1% 1% 4% <1% <1% 3% 91%
Eagles
(9‑2)

vs
Ravens
(7‑4)
1 Eagles Wins <1% <1% 2% 3% <1% <1% 3% 91%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 2% 3% <1% <1% 3% 91%
Ravens Wins <1% <1% 2% 3% <1% <1% 3% 92%
Bears
(4‑7)

vs
Lions
(10‑1)
0 Bears Wins <1% <1% 2% 3% <1% <1% 3% 91%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 2% 3% <1% <1% 3% 91%
Lions Wins <1% <1% 2% 3% <1% <1% 3% 92%
Cowboys
(4‑7)

vs
Giants
(2‑9)
0 Cowboys Wins <1% <1% 2% 3% <1% <1% 3% 91%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 2% 3% <1% <1% 3% 91%
Giants Wins <1% <1% 2% 3% <1% <1% 3% 92%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs