The Most Important Games for the Forty-Niners are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Forty-Niners final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Forty-Niners fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Forty-Niners Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Cardinals (3‑9) vs Rams (9‑3) |
54 | Cardinals Wins | 22% | 8% | 4% | 1% | 28% | 18% | 12% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 4% | 2% | <1% | 35% | 25% | 14% | 7% | ||
| Rams Wins | 11% | 3% | 1% | <1% | 38% | 26% | 14% | 6% | ||
| Falcons (4‑8) vs Seahawks (9‑3) |
10 | Falcons Wins | 14% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 40% | 20% | 12% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 4% | 2% | <1% | 35% | 25% | 14% | 7% | ||
| Seahawks Wins | 13% | 3% | 2% | <1% | 34% | 26% | 15% | 7% | ||
| Bears (9‑3) vs Packers (8‑3‑1) |
4 | Bears Wins | 14% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 38% | 24% | 12% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 4% | 2% | <1% | 35% | 25% | 14% | 7% | ||
| Packers Wins | 13% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 34% | 24% | 15% | 7% | ||
| Chargers (8‑4) vs Eagles (8‑4) |
2 | Chargers Wins | 13% | 4% | 2% | <1% | 36% | 25% | 14% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 4% | 2% | <1% | 35% | 25% | 14% | 7% | ||
| Eagles Wins | 13% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 36% | 24% | 14% | 7% | ||
| Saints (2‑10) vs Buccaneers (7‑5) |
2 | Saints Wins | 13% | 5% | 2% | <1% | 35% | 24% | 14% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 4% | 2% | <1% | 35% | 25% | 14% | 7% | ||
| Buccaneers Wins | 13% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 35% | 24% | 14% | 7% | ||
| Commanders (3‑9) vs Vikings (4‑8) |
1 | Commanders Wins | 13% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 36% | 24% | 14% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 4% | 2% | <1% | 35% | 25% | 14% | 7% | ||
| Vikings Wins | 13% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 36% | 24% | 14% | 7% | ||
| Lions (7‑5) vs Cowboys (6‑5‑1) |
1 | Lions Wins | 12% | 4% | 2% | <1% | 36% | 25% | 14% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 4% | 2% | <1% | 35% | 25% | 14% | 7% | ||
| Cowboys Wins | 13% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 35% | 23% | 14% | 7% | ||