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Fri Oct 2 12:30 am

NFL - Week 4 of 18

Forty-Niners Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Forty-Niners are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Forty-Niners final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Forty-Niners fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Forty-Niners Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Forty-Niners Resultant Playoff Probabilities
Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
Forty-Niners49ers
(3‑0)

vs
Broncos
(2‑1)
35 Forty-Niners49ers Wins 24% 15% 10% 7% 7% 7% 6% 25%
Current Probabilities 23% 14% 10% 7% 6% 6% 6% 28%
Broncos Wins 17% 14% 11% 7% 7% 7% 6% 32%
Dolphins
(0‑3)

vs
Vikings
(3‑0)
5 Dolphins Wins 25% 13% 9% 7% 7% 6% 6% 28%
Current Probabilities 23% 14% 10% 7% 6% 6% 6% 28%
Vikings Wins 23% 14% 10% 6% 6% 6% 6% 28%
Jets
(1‑2)

vs
Bears
(2‑1)
4 Jets Wins 23% 14% 10% 6% 7% 6% 6% 27%
Current Probabilities 23% 14% 10% 7% 6% 6% 6% 28%
Bears Wins 22% 14% 10% 6% 6% 6% 6% 28%
Chargers
(0‑3)

vs
Seahawks
(2‑1)
4 Chargers Wins 23% 15% 11% 8% 5% 6% 6% 28%
Current Probabilities 23% 14% 10% 7% 6% 6% 6% 28%
Seahawks Wins 22% 14% 10% 7% 6% 6% 6% 28%
Panthers
(1‑2)

vs
Lions
(2‑1)
3 Panthers Wins 24% 13% 10% 7% 7% 6% 6% 28%
Current Probabilities 23% 14% 10% 7% 6% 6% 6% 28%
Lions Wins 23% 14% 10% 6% 6% 6% 6% 28%
Eagles
(2‑1)

vs
Rams
(1‑2)
2 Eagles Wins 23% 14% 11% 7% 6% 6% 6% 28%
Current Probabilities 23% 14% 10% 7% 6% 6% 6% 28%
Rams Wins 23% 14% 9% 6% 7% 6% 6% 29%
Packers
(1‑2)

vs
Buccaneers
(0‑3)
1 Packers Wins 23% 14% 10% 7% 6% 6% 6% 28%
Current Probabilities 23% 14% 10% 7% 6% 6% 6% 28%
Buccaneers Wins 23% 13% 10% 7% 7% 6% 6% 28%
Saints
(1‑2)

vs
Falcons
(1‑2)
1 Saints Wins 23% 14% 10% 6% 6% 6% 6% 28%
Current Probabilities 23% 14% 10% 7% 6% 6% 6% 28%
Falcons Wins 23% 14% 10% 6% 6% 6% 6% 28%
Commanders
(1‑2)

vs
Colts
(1‑2)
0 Commanders Wins 23% 14% 10% 7% 6% 6% 6% 29%
Current Probabilities 23% 14% 10% 7% 6% 6% 6% 28%
Colts Wins 23% 14% 10% 6% 7% 7% 6% 28%
Texans
(0‑3)

vs
Cowboys
(1‑2)
0 Texans Wins 23% 15% 9% 6% 6% 6% 6% 28%
Current Probabilities 23% 14% 10% 7% 6% 6% 6% 28%
Cowboys Wins 23% 14% 10% 7% 7% 6% 6% 28%
Giants
(2‑1)

vs
Cardinals
(1‑2)
0 Giants Wins 23% 15% 11% 7% 6% 6% 6% 28%
Current Probabilities 23% 14% 10% 7% 6% 6% 6% 28%
Cardinals Wins 23% 15% 9% 6% 7% 6% 6% 28%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs