The Most Important Games for the Forty-Niners are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Forty-Niners final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Forty-Niners fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Forty-Niners Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Forty-Niners49ers (4‑2) vs Falcons (3‑2) |
56 | Forty-Niners49ers Wins | 13% | 16% | 13% | 7% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 13% | 12% | 7% | 11% | 8% | 8% | 30% | ||
| Falcons Wins | 4% | 10% | 13% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 38% | ||
| Jaguars (4‑2) vs Rams (4‑2) |
9 | Jaguars Wins | 11% | 14% | 13% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 13% | 12% | 7% | 11% | 8% | 8% | 30% | ||
| Rams Wins | 10% | 13% | 12% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 31% | ||
| Texans (2‑3) vs Seahawks (4‑2) |
7 | Texans Wins | 11% | 14% | 14% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 13% | 12% | 7% | 11% | 8% | 8% | 30% | ||
| Seahawks Wins | 10% | 13% | 11% | 7% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 30% | ||
| Lions (4‑2) vs Buccaneers (5‑1) |
6 | Lions Wins | 12% | 12% | 12% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 13% | 12% | 7% | 11% | 8% | 8% | 30% | ||
| Buccaneers Wins | 9% | 14% | 13% | 7% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 30% | ||
| Cardinals (2‑4) vs Packers (3‑1‑1) |
4 | Cardinals Wins | 11% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 13% | 12% | 7% | 11% | 8% | 8% | 30% | ||
| Packers Wins | 10% | 13% | 13% | 8% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 30% | ||
| Jets (0‑6) vs Panthers (3‑3) |
3 | Jets Wins | 11% | 14% | 12% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 13% | 12% | 7% | 11% | 8% | 8% | 30% | ||
| Panthers Wins | 11% | 14% | 12% | 7% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 30% | ||
| Vikings (3‑2) vs Eagles (4‑2) |
2 | Vikings Wins | 11% | 14% | 12% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 13% | 12% | 7% | 11% | 8% | 8% | 30% | ||
| Eagles Wins | 10% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 30% | ||
| Broncos (4‑2) vs Giants (2‑4) |
2 | Broncos Wins | 11% | 14% | 12% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 13% | 12% | 7% | 11% | 8% | 8% | 30% | ||
| Giants Wins | 10% | 13% | 13% | 7% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 30% | ||
| Commanders (3‑3) vs Cowboys (2‑3‑1) |
1 | Commanders Wins | 10% | 13% | 12% | 7% | 11% | 8% | 8% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 13% | 12% | 7% | 11% | 8% | 8% | 30% | ||
| Cowboys Wins | 10% | 14% | 12% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 30% | ||
| Saints (1‑5) vs Bears (3‑2) |
1 | Saints Wins | 11% | 14% | 12% | 7% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 13% | 12% | 7% | 11% | 8% | 8% | 30% | ||
| Bears Wins | 11% | 13% | 12% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 30% | ||