The Forty-Niners What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Forty-Niners play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Win Next Game | 5 | 4 | 0 | <1% | 2% | 6% | 7% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 72% |
| Current Standings | 4 | 4 | 0 | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 79% |
| Lose Next Game | 4 | 5 | 0 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 85% |
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Best Case Scenario | <1% | 2% | 8% | 10% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 70% |
| Current Standings | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 79% |
| Worst Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 85% |
|
Best Case Scenario Forty-Niners beats Buccaneers Jets beats Cardinals |
Worst Case Scenario Buccaneers beats Forty-Niners Cardinals beats Jets |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | ||
| 9 of 9 | 100% | 13 | 4 | 0 | 18% | 48% | 31% | 4% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 8 of 9 | 89% | 12 | 5 | 0 | 2% | 17% | 50% | 20% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| 7 of 9 | 78% | 11 | 6 | 0 | <1% | 2% | 25% | 31% | 7% | 18% | 12% | 4% |
| 6 of 9 | 67% | 10 | 7 | 0 | <1% | <1% | 5% | 22% | 1% | 10% | 23% | 40% |
| 5 of 9 | 56% | 9 | 8 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 87% |
| 4 of 9 | 44% | 8 | 9 | 0 | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% |
| 3 of 9 | 33% | 7 | 10 | 0 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 2 of 9 | 22% | 6 | 11 | 0 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |
| 1 of 9 | 11% | 5 | 12 | 0 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 0 of 9 | 0% | 4 | 13 | 0 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |