The Most Important Games for the Jaguars are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Jaguars final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Jaguars fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Jaguars Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Jaguars (5‑3) vs Texans (3‑5) |
51 | Jaguars Wins | 9% | 11% | 13% | 6% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 9% | 11% | 6% | 12% | 15% | 15% | 26% | ||
| Texans Wins | 3% | 6% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 16% | 34% | ||
| Dolphins (2‑7) vs Bills (6‑2) |
7 | Dolphins Wins | 8% | 9% | 10% | 5% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 9% | 11% | 6% | 12% | 15% | 15% | 26% | ||
| Bills Wins | 6% | 9% | 11% | 6% | 11% | 15% | 15% | 27% | ||
| Falcons (3‑5) vs Colts (7‑2) |
6 | Falcons Wins | 7% | 10% | 13% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 14% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 9% | 11% | 6% | 12% | 15% | 15% | 26% | ||
| Colts Wins | 6% | 9% | 10% | 5% | 12% | 16% | 15% | 26% | ||
| Raiders (2‑6) vs Broncos (7‑2) |
5 | Raiders Wins | 8% | 10% | 10% | 5% | 13% | 15% | 14% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 9% | 11% | 6% | 12% | 15% | 15% | 26% | ||
| Broncos Wins | 6% | 9% | 11% | 6% | 11% | 15% | 15% | 26% | ||
| Buccaneers (6‑2) vs Patriots (7‑2) |
5 | Buccaneers Wins | 7% | 8% | 10% | 6% | 12% | 15% | 15% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 9% | 11% | 6% | 12% | 15% | 15% | 26% | ||
| Patriots Wins | 6% | 9% | 11% | 6% | 11% | 16% | 15% | 26% | ||
| Chargers (6‑3) vs Steelers (5‑3) |
4 | Chargers Wins | 7% | 10% | 11% | 4% | 11% | 15% | 15% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 9% | 11% | 6% | 12% | 15% | 15% | 26% | ||
| Steelers Wins | 6% | 9% | 10% | 7% | 13% | 16% | 14% | 25% | ||
| Jets (1‑7) vs Browns (2‑6) |
4 | Jets Wins | 7% | 9% | 11% | 6% | 12% | 15% | 15% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 9% | 11% | 6% | 12% | 15% | 15% | 26% | ||
| Browns Wins | 6% | 9% | 11% | 5% | 12% | 15% | 14% | 27% | ||
| Vikings (4‑4) vs Ravens (3‑5) |
4 | Vikings Wins | 6% | 9% | 11% | 6% | 12% | 15% | 15% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 9% | 11% | 6% | 12% | 15% | 15% | 26% | ||
| Ravens Wins | 6% | 9% | 11% | 6% | 12% | 15% | 15% | 27% | ||