The Most Important Games for the Jaguars are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Jaguars final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Jaguars fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Jaguars Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Jaguars (11‑4) vs Colts (8‑7) |
92 | Jaguars Wins | 14% | 48% | 35% | X | <1% | 2% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 29% | 46% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 3% | ^ | ||
| Colts Wins | <1% | 1% | 61% | 1% | 3% | 27% | 6% | ^ | ||
| Jets (3‑12) vs Patriots (12‑3) |
72 | Jets Wins | 30% | 26% | 27% | <1% | 3% | 11% | 2% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 29% | 46% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 3% | ^ | ||
| Patriots Wins | 5% | 30% | 50% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 3% | ^ | ||
| Chiefs (6‑9) vs Broncos (12‑3) |
37 | Chiefs Wins | 16% | 41% | 27% | <1% | 1% | 13% | 2% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 29% | 46% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 3% | ^ | ||
| Broncos Wins | 6% | 24% | 54% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 3% | ^ | ||
| Chargers (11‑4) vs Texans (10‑5) |
25 | Chargers Wins | 9% | 29% | 59% | 1% | X | <1% | 3% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 29% | 46% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 3% | ^ | ||
| Texans Wins | 8% | 30% | 29% | X | 3% | 25% | 3% | ^ | ||
| Eagles (10‑5) vs Bills (11‑4) |
1 | Eagles Wins | 9% | 29% | 46% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 4% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 29% | 46% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 3% | ^ | ||
| Bills Wins | 8% | 29% | 46% | <1% | 1% | 13% | 2% | ^ | ||
| Browns (3‑12) vs Steelers (9‑6) |
0 | Browns Wins | 8% | 30% | 46% | X | 1% | 12% | 3% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 29% | 46% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 3% | ^ | ||
| Steelers Wins | 8% | 29% | 46% | 1% | 1% | 12% | 3% | ^ | ||
| Packers (9‑5‑1) vs Ravens (7‑8) |
0 | Packers Wins | 8% | 29% | 46% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 3% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 29% | 46% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 3% | ^ | ||
| Ravens Wins | 8% | 29% | 46% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 3% | ^ | ||
| Bengals (5‑10) vs Cardinals (3‑12) |
0 | Bengals Wins | 8% | 29% | 46% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 3% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 29% | 46% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 3% | ^ | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 8% | 29% | 46% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 3% | ^ | ||
| Dolphins (6‑9) vs Buccaneers (7‑8) |
0 | Dolphins Wins | 8% | 29% | 46% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 3% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 29% | 46% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 3% | ^ | ||
| Buccaneers Wins | 8% | 29% | 46% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 3% | ^ | ||
| Titans (3‑12) vs Saints (5‑10) |
0 | Titans Wins | 8% | 29% | 46% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 3% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 29% | 46% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 3% | ^ | ||
| Saints Wins | 8% | 29% | 46% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 3% | ^ | ||
| Raiders (2‑13) vs Giants (2‑13) |
0 | Raiders Wins | 8% | 29% | 46% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 3% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 29% | 46% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 3% | ^ | ||
| Giants Wins | 8% | 29% | 46% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 3% | ^ | ||