The Most Important Games for the Jaguars are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Jaguars final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Jaguars fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Jaguars Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Jaguars (2‑1) vs Bengals (2‑1) |
36 | Jaguars Wins | 9% | 16% | 17% | 20% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 14% | 17% | 21% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 33% | ||
| Bengals Wins | 3% | 11% | 18% | 24% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 36% | ||
| Patriots (1‑2) vs Bills (3‑0) |
4 | Patriots Wins | 9% | 14% | 17% | 19% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 14% | 17% | 21% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 33% | ||
| Bills Wins | 7% | 14% | 17% | 21% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 32% | ||
| Cowboys (1‑2) vs Texans (0‑3) |
3 | Cowboys Wins | 7% | 14% | 17% | 21% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 32% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 14% | 17% | 21% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 33% | ||
| Texans Wins | 7% | 14% | 17% | 20% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 33% | ||
| Commanders (1‑2) vs Colts (1‑2) |
3 | Commanders Wins | 7% | 14% | 18% | 22% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 32% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 14% | 17% | 21% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 33% | ||
| Colts Wins | 7% | 14% | 17% | 20% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 33% | ||
| Seahawks (2‑1) vs Chargers (0‑3) |
2 | Seahawks Wins | 7% | 14% | 17% | 21% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 32% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 14% | 17% | 21% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 33% | ||
| Chargers Wins | 7% | 14% | 17% | 21% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 34% | ||
| Bears (2‑1) vs Jets (1‑2) |
2 | Bears Wins | 7% | 14% | 17% | 21% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 32% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 14% | 17% | 21% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 33% | ||
| Jets Wins | 7% | 14% | 17% | 21% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 33% | ||
| Forty-Niners49ers (3‑0) vs Broncos (2‑1) |
2 | Forty-Niners49ers Wins | 8% | 14% | 17% | 20% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 14% | 17% | 21% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 33% | ||
| Broncos Wins | 7% | 14% | 17% | 21% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 33% | ||
| Titans (0‑3) vs Ravens (2‑1) |
1 | Titans Wins | 8% | 14% | 16% | 19% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 14% | 17% | 21% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 33% | ||
| Ravens Wins | 7% | 14% | 17% | 22% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 32% | ||
| Chiefs (3‑0) vs Raiders (3‑0) |
1 | Chiefs Wins | 8% | 14% | 17% | 21% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 14% | 17% | 21% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 33% | ||
| Raiders Wins | 8% | 14% | 17% | 21% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 33% | ||
| Vikings (3‑0) vs Dolphins (0‑3) |
0 | Vikings Wins | 7% | 14% | 17% | 21% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 14% | 17% | 21% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 33% | ||
| Dolphins Wins | 7% | 14% | 17% | 21% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 33% | ||