PlayoffStatus.com

Tue Oct 14 12:30 am

NFL - Week 7 of 18

Jaguars What If?

The Jaguars What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Jaguars play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Jaguars What If?

Next Game - Rams (4‑2)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L T 1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
Win Next Game 5 2 0 12% 12% 10% 6% 16% 12% 10% 22%
Current Standings 4 2 0 11% 11% 9% 7% 15% 11% 9% 28%
Lose Next Game 4 3 0 6% 9% 9% 7% 14% 12% 10% 32%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
Best Case Scenario 14% 13% 10% 7% 14% 10% 9% 23%
Current Standings 11% 11% 9% 7% 15% 11% 9% 28%
Worst Case Scenario 6% 9% 8% 6% 16% 12% 11% 33%
Best Case Scenario
   Jaguars beats Rams
   Titans beats Patriots
   Chargers beats Colts
Worst Case Scenario
   Rams beats Jaguars
   Patriots beats Titans
   Colts beats Chargers
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L T 1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
11 of 11 100% 15 2 0 89% 11% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
10 of 11 91% 14 3 0 65% 30% 3% <1% 1% <1% ^ ^
9 of 11 82% 13 4 0 30% 41% 17% 2% 10% <1% <1% ^
8 of 11 73% 12 5 0 6% 25% 30% 10% 26% 3% <1% <1%
7 of 11 64% 11 6 0 <1% 6% 21% 19% 32% 18% 3% <1%
6 of 11 55% 10 7 0 <1% <1% 6% 17% 18% 34% 20% 5%
5 of 11 45% 9 8 0 <1% <1% 1% 7% 3% 19% 32% 38%
4 of 11 36% 8 9 0 <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% 2% 11% 85%
3 of 11 27% 7 10 0 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%
2 of 11 18% 6 11 0 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
1 of 11 9% 5 12 0 X X X X X X <1% >99%
0 of 11 0% 4 13 0 X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs