The Jaguars What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Jaguars play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Win Next Game | 5 | 2 | 0 | 10% | 17% | 23% | 35% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 11% |
| Current Standings | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9% | 16% | 21% | 34% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 16% |
| Lose Next Game | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3% | 11% | 20% | 37% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 25% |
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 13% | 17% | 24% | 32% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 11% |
| Current Standings | 9% | 16% | 21% | 34% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 16% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 3% | 10% | 20% | 38% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 24% |
|
Best Case Scenario Ravens beats Bills Jaguars beats Colts Broncos beats Chiefs |
Worst Case Scenario Bills beats Ravens Colts beats Jaguars Chiefs beats Broncos |
|||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | ||
| 11 of 11 | 100% | 15 | 2 | 0 | 77% | 22% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 10 of 11 | 91% | 14 | 3 | 0 | 45% | 47% | 8% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 9 of 11 | 82% | 13 | 4 | 0 | 15% | 46% | 32% | 7% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 8 of 11 | 73% | 12 | 5 | 0 | 2% | 21% | 48% | 29% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 7 of 11 | 64% | 11 | 6 | 0 | <1% | 4% | 37% | 57% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| 6 of 11 | 55% | 10 | 7 | 0 | <1% | <1% | 15% | 72% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% |
| 5 of 11 | 45% | 9 | 8 | 0 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 63% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 25% |
| 4 of 11 | 36% | 8 | 9 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 37% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 61% |
| 3 of 11 | 27% | 7 | 10 | 0 | X | <1% | <1% | 13% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 87% |
| 2 of 11 | 18% | 6 | 11 | 0 | X | X | <1% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 98% |
| 1 of 11 | 9% | 5 | 12 | 0 | X | X | X | <1% | X | X | <1% | >99% |
| 0 of 11 | 0% | 4 | 13 | 0 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |