PlayoffStatus.com↓≡

Home ►NFL►AFC Playoff Picture►Jaguars Playoff Picture►Jaguars What If?
Thu Sep 11 11:30 pm

NFL - Week 2 of 18

Jaguars What If?

The Jaguars What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Jaguars play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Jaguars What If?

Next Game - Bengals (1‑0)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L T 1*
First Round Bye
 2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8
Win Next Game 2 0 0 12% 10% 9% 7% 8% 7% 7% 39%
Current Standings 1 0 0 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 6% 6% 44%
Lose Next Game 1 1 0 5% 9% 11% 10% 6% 6% 7% 47%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye
 2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8
Best Case Scenario 14% 10% 9% 7% 9% 7% 7% 38%
Current Standings 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 6% 6% 44%
Worst Case Scenario 5% 8% 10% 11% 6% 7% 6% 48%
Best Case Scenario
   Jaguars beats Bengals
   Seahawks beats Steelers
 Worst Case Scenario
   Bengals beats Jaguars
   Steelers beats Seahawks
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L T 1*
First Round Bye
 2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8
16 of 16 100% 17 0 0 99% 1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
15 of 16 94% 16 1 0 90% 9% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
14 of 16 88% 15 2 0 66% 29% 4% <1% 1% <1% ^ ^
13 of 16 81% 14 3 0 31% 43% 17% 2% 7% <1% <1% <1%
12 of 16 75% 13 4 0 8% 31% 33% 10% 17% 2% <1% <1%
11 of 16 69% 12 5 0 1% 10% 31% 21% 22% 12% 2% <1%
10 of 16 63% 11 6 0 <1% 2% 16% 27% 14% 24% 14% 4%
9 of 16 56% 10 7 0 <1% <1% 5% 22% 5% 19% 26% 24%
8 of 16 50% 9 8 0 <1% <1% 1% 12% 1% 6% 18% 62%
7 of 16 44% 8 9 0 <1% <1% <1% 5% <1% 1% 5% 89%
6 of 16 38% 7 10 0 <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% 98%
5 of 16 31% 6 11 0 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
4 of 16 25% 5 12 0 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
3 of 16 19% 4 13 0 X X X <1% X X <1% >99%
2 of 16 13% 3 14 0 X X X X X X X 100%
1 of 16 6% 2 15 0 X X X X X X X 100%
0 of 16 0% 1 16 0 X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs